Ullger, who became the Twins' hitting coach before the 1999 season and is a close friend of manager Ron Gardenhire, was faced with a monumental task after the free-agent departures of veterans Corey Koskie and Cristian Guzman last offseason. The Twins have relied heavily on first-year starters to carry the offensive load, and players at key run-producing positions, such as first baseman Justin Morneau and third baseman Michael Cuddyer, have struggled. In addition, nagging injuries plagued leadoff man Shannon Stewart for most of the season, and he finished with a .274 average. But the Twins also have failed to execute the fundamentals, often struggling to drop down bunts and showing little patience at the plate. Ullger often has spent extra time this season working with hitters on bunting fundamentals.A monumental task of replacing Cristian Guzman! Not like the A's, who have only had to replace Miguel Tejada and Jason Giambi! WTF with the excuses! Yes, Morneau has struggled. Has Cuddyer? His OPS isn't great, but it's only .002 behind Jacque Jones. And, since the All-Star break, he's been the best hitter on the team (OPS .807), even better than Joe Mauer. I don't have enough time right now, but I'd venture to guess that he's been the best hitter on the team since April. Yet, there he is, a prime example of who's struggling. Did the writer think this up himself? Or did he get that from the Twins brass? If he got it from the Brass, it shows how little they actually know about who's good and who isn't. They've continued to jerk Cuddyer around, playing him in the outfield instead of planting his ass at third base everyday and showing some confidence. If Stewart is hurt, sit him down. He played over 130 games despite hitting .274/.323/.388/.711. That's pathetic. Jones, who I gave the benefit of the doubt to last year because he went through the pain of losing his father -- well, he hit .250/.321/.443/.764 -- and made $5 million. This kid has some talent. He has pop in his bat. How has his approach at the plate improved over his career? Answer? It has not. The hitting coach is working hard. Is he working effectively? How about Hunter? What improvement can you point to in his hitting approach? His numbers have generally regressed from his big contract year. What about Rivas? He's had five years to learn under Ullger. If your name isn't David Wintheiser, you never want to see him playing in a Twins uniform again. He appeared to have talent when he came up. How did the hitting coach help him? And screw bunting. This team is last in that league in Equivalent Average, runs scored, slugging percentage. And we're talking about bunting? It's enough to make a rational person's head spin.|W|P|112799684296572630|W|P|Fish Wrap Factory on the East Side|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Brown told congressional investigators Monday that he is being paid as a consultant to help FEMA assess what went wrong in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, according to a senior official familiar with the meeting.This just in... John Wilkes Booth has been hired to conduct an investigation into the assassination of Abraham Lincoln.|W|P|112782389756159064|W|P|Brownie, You'll Do a Heckuva Job|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
FRW | AAC | BEM | TWJ | TEB | CHC | SBG | RED | GEB | APH | DEP | ANM | AMR |
983 | 956 | 767 | 647 | 215 | 165 | 51 | 6 | 0 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -856 |
The Twins went down in order in the first inning on Saturday, the 21st consecutive game in which they have failed to score in the first inning. They haven't scored in that inning since Aug. 30 against Kansas City. The Twins have been outscored 100-68 in the first inning, the largest run difference in any inning this season.Not surprising when you have the worst leadoff man in the league and Nick Punto "hitting" second. From Sid:
Dwane Casey was asked to describe the Timberwolves team he will take over when training camp opens Oct. 4. The new coach said Saturday: "Well, you always want Shaq [O'Neal], you always want Kobe [Bryant], you always want Michael [Jordan], you always want Scottie [Pippen]. I think we have a good NBA team. Our roster has a little bit of everything. So we have what we need. Do we want to continue to improve it, look to make trades and improve our roster at every opportunity? Yes."Two things. One, we have a certain player who can be mentioned generally in the same company as those other guys. Two, that description is a far cry from what we thought about the team last year at this time, as in, we are challenging for an NBA championship.|W|P|112767924462741099|W|P|Sunday Tribuning|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Player | BEM | TWJ | TEB | SBG | RED | DEP | ANM | ||||||
Points | 883 | 856 | 767 | 647 | 215 | 65 | 51 | 6 | 0 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -856 |
Number | Batter | Team | Clutch |
1 | Jimmy Rollins | PHI | -3.38 |
2 | Alex Gonzalez | FLO | -3.21 |
3 | David Bell | PHI | -2.89 |
4 | Casey Blake | CLE | -2.71 |
5 | Jorge Posada | NYA | -2.65 |
6 | Nick Punto | MIN | -2.60 |
7 | Ron Belliard | CLE | -2.40 |
8 | Mike Lowell | FLO | -2.38 |
9 | Miguel Tejada | BAL | -2.38 |
10 | Felipe Lopez | CIN | -2.35 |
11 | Tike Redman | PIT | -2.35 |
12 | John Buck | KCA | -2.34 |
13 | Jose Reyes | NYN | -2.31 |
14 | Neifi Perez | CHN | -2.31 |
15 | Rafael Furcal | ATL | -2.28 |
16 | Derek Jeter | NYA | -2.27 |
17 | Shawn Green | ARI | -2.21 |
18 | Julio Lugo | TBA | -2.12 |
19 | Kevin Mench | TEX | -2.07 |
20 | Cristian Guzman | WAS | -2.07 |
In the lineup as the leadoff hitter and left fielder for the fourth consecutive game Friday against Chicago, Tyner continued to impress the Twins in his bid to win a 2006 roster spot. The September call-up led off with a single, extending his hitting streak to 10 games. He is batting .300.Williams reports that "Gardenhire likes that Tyner does little things well, such as running the bases, playing solid defense and executing bunts." Williams goes on to say that "[t]he Twins' inability to execute fundamental plays is big reason why they will not make the playoffs." To which I say, "Ugh!" Jason Tyner is a career .259/.296/.302/.598 hitter. He has 818 major league at bats and zero homeruns. In 40 ABs he's hitting .300/.333/.350/.683. That's about the softest .300 you are ever going to see. This guy is not a quality major league player. But, it's become clear that Lew Ford is completely out of favor (and sounds like a scapegoat), so we need a guy like this. Ugh! The Twins aren't making the playoffs because they don't execute fundamental plays. Yes, they've missed some bunts. But, the Twins have scored 655 runs, good for last in the American League. They've slugged .394, good for last in the AL. Their OBP is .324, good for tenth in the AL, but only .005 better than last place Seattle. Their EQa is .246, good for last in the 30 team major leagues. Their EQR (equivalent runs, normalized for park effects) is 588.8, last in the 30 team American League. The Twins didn't make the playoffs because they missed a few bunts or overthrew a cutoff man here or there. No, they missed the playoffs because they have absolutely the worst offense in the major leagues. Giving a guy like Tyner, as a 4th outfielder, 350 or so at bats (career EQa: .219) will not help. I suppose the 'tool thinks that because the White Sox are winning the division reportedly because of their speed, the Twins have to get speed, too. Heh.|W|P|112760378591508774|W|P|Tyner to be a Twin in 2006?|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
The Timberwolves said Wednesday they were cautiously optimistic that newly acquired point guard Marko Jaric was not injured during a locker-room fight at the European Championship. The Associated Press reported that Jaric had a fistfight with a teammate on Serbia-Montenegro's national team after their loss to France on Tuesday. Jaric's national team coach, Zeljko Obradovic, told the AP that Jaric brawled with Igor Rakocevic, who plays for Spain's Real Madrid.Timberwolves fans will recall that Mr. Rakocevic occupied a uniform with the Hometown Five in 2003. He was probably the biggest joke in the history of the franchise (well, one of them, there have been a lot). He was supposed to be a backup point guard. Problem was, he wasn't good enough to be a backup point guard for the Gophers. He did nothing to help the franchise while he was here, and that continues to today.|W|P|112757310036848754|W|P|Fun in Timberland|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Player | FRW | BEM | AAC | TWJ | TEB | SBG | GEB | RED | CHC | APH | DEP | ANM | AMR |
Points | 783 | 767 | 756 | 547 | 215 | 51 | 0 | 6 | -35 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -856 |
Team | Actual | PWP | 2nd Order PWP | 3rd Order PWP | ||||
W | L | W | L | W | L | W | L | |
Chicago | 91 | 60 | 83.4 | 67.6 | 79.3 | 71.7 | 79.1 | 71.9 |
Cleveland | 89 | 63 | 89.9 | 62.0 | 93.4 | 58.6 | 91.5 | 60.5 |
Minnesota | 77 | 74 | 78.5 | 72.4 | 79.0 | 72.0 | 79.7 | 71.3 |
BEM | AAC | FRW | TWJ | TEB | SBG | RED | GEB | CHC | APH | DEP | ANM | AMR |
767 | 756 | 683 | 447 | 215 | 151 | 106 | 0 | -135 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -856 |
Don't listen to the TV shills who tell you that two teams -- the Oakland Raiders and the Vikings -- will be defined by Moss this season. That's the easy story from the booth. It's the wrong story in the real world, where sport can be inexplicable and more than talent counts.He then goes on to talk about Cris Carter and how this is the guy the Vikings really miss. Cris Carter is 40 years old. We miss Jim Marshall, Alan Page and Chuck Foreman, too. His discussion about the records of Vikings of the pre-Moss Carter years, the Moss-Carter years, and the post-Carter Moss years are supposed to be evidence that Carter was a winner and Moss is a "spectacular loser." To take this as evidence for Souhan's conclusion requires that all else be equal. Anyone who knows anything about the Vikings under Red McCombs knows that everything -- players, coaches, facilities, all were done on the cheap. The franchise was allowed to deteriorate -- and that embarassment is proof in Souhan's mind that Moss is a loser. I'm tired of this hack. From this point forward, I resolve not to discuss his half baked columns again.|W|P|112727682190427880|W|P|News and Notes|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
You can make a mathematical argument that he should go, but -- sorry to tell this to the pocket-protector crowd -- math isn't everything. (Uh-oh. The Internet nerd who knows Hunter hits only .183 with runners in scoring position when the Dow Jones industrial average slips below 10,000 is about to send me a nasty e-mail.)Cute Jimmy. In my engineering career, I dealt with people like Jimmy all the time. People who don't understand numbers are afraid of them. People afraid of thinking differently ridicule those who are willing to consider all possible solutions. I've learned a few things about numbers and statistics outside of the baseball world. The baseball world has changed. Statistical analysis has changed the way people look at baseball. Some people choose to use statistics to guide them. Others say things like "you know he cares." Top Jimmy does address the fact that Hunter's approach at the plate is less than great. Jimmy's analysis?
Yes, [Hunter] swings at bad pitches. You know what? So does almost everybody else. Sometimes we Minnesotans become so focused on our teams that we fail to recognize that the game's greatest players flounder, too. If they didn't, Barry Bonds would hit .400 every year.This is delicious. Even Bonds doesn't hit .400. Yeah, all he did last year was get on base 60.9% of the time, a record. His line? .362/.609/.812/1.421. The year before? .341/.529/.749/1.278. The year before that? .370/.582/.799/1.381. The year before that? .328/.515/.863/1.379. Yep. Bonds has really floundered. By the way, Bonds' average VORP from 2002-04 was 134. But, forget about Bonds, he's one of the two or three best hitters of all time. Hunter flounders more than the average bear. In fact, Hunter's career on base percentage is .319, .012 below the league average in that span. Why is he that far below average? Because he has no plate discipline. None. What about over the life of his contract? In 2003, he was .025 below the average. In 2004, he was .011 below the average. In 2005, he was .008 above the average. In other words, when it comes to getting base, our soon to be $10.75 million man was just a little below average over the life of his contract.|W|P|112719058580528487|W|P|Hunter Trade Talk|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Here's my advice. Laugh it off. Admit that the bad guys are just playing better and our guys have not done it this year. Accept a little sass back. That's what good sports do. They take it when the other guy is dishing. At some point, maybe even later this year, the shoe will be on the other foot. And it will be time for a little "Sass" for the South Siders.Emphasis added. We'll see how it turns out. Just a blip on the radar screen? Or a total collapse? We'll all be watching, for sure.|W|P|112705800825781067|W|P|Sunday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Player | BEM | FRW | TEB | TWJ | AAC | SBG | GEB | RED | CHC | APH | DEP | ANM | AMR |
Points | 767 | 583 | 415 | 347 | 319 | 251 | 0 | -27 | -135 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -756 |
Player | BEM | FRW | TEB | AAC | TWJ | SBG | GEB | RED | APH | DEP | CHC | ANM | AMR | |
Points | 767 | 583 | 515 | 319 | 247 | 151 | 0 | -127 | -205 | -235 | -235 | -503 | -656 |
Team | Actual | PWP | 2nd Order PWP | 3rd Order PWP | ||||
W | L | W | L | W | L | W | L | |
White Sox | 88 | 55 | 81 | 62 | 78 | 65 | 77 | 66 |
Indians | 83 | 62 | 84 | 61 | 86 | 59 | 85 | 60 |
Twins | 75 | 69 | 75 | 69 | 75 | 69 | 75 | 69 |
Player | Weighted Mean | Actual EqA | Difference |
Hunter | .283 | .271 | -0.12 |
Jones | .271 | .260 | -0.11 |
Stewart | .280 | .249 | -0.31 |
Cuddyer | .283 | .247 | -0.36 |
Castro | .232 | .237 | 0.05 |
Rivas | .252 | .218 | -0.34 |
Morneau | .294 | .249 | -0.45 |
LeCroy | .274 | .275 | 0.01 |
Mauer | .289 | .282 | -0.07 |
Punto | .251 | .222 | -0.29 |
Ford | .291 | .253 | -0.38 |
Player | BEM | FRW | TEB | AAC | TWJ | SBG | GEB | RED | CHC | APH | DEP | ANM | AMR |
Points | 767 | 583 | 515 | 441 | 247 | 151 | 0 | -5 | -113 | -205 | -235 | -503 | -768 |
Year | Defensive Efficiency | Doubles | Triples | Double Plays | DIPS% | ||||||||
Twins | League Average | Difference | Twins | League Average | Diff. | Twins | League Average | Diff. | Twins | League Average | Diff. | Twins | |
2005 | 0.702 | 0.696 | -0.006 | 275 | 291 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 175 | 154 | 21 | 1.11 |
2004 | 0.688 | 0.691 | 0.003 | 247 | 300 | 53 | 23 | 27 | 4 | 158 | 151 | 7 | 1.00 |
2003 | 0.701 | 0.696 | -0.005 | 302 | 299 | -3 | 24 | 30 | 6 | 114 | 152 | -38 | 0.97 |
2002 | 0.705 | 0.697 | -0.008 | 280 | 299 | 19 | 32 | 30 | -2 | 124 | 149 | -25 | 1.05 |
StickandBallGuy (Minneapolis): As a fan, what is your reaction to seeing Barry Bonds playing again? Do you feel excitement in seeing an all-time great? Or do you wish he'd just retire? Christina Kahrl: I'm happy to see a great player playing, and I hope he continues to hit for as long as he's able. He's apparently very happy to remain in San Francisco, and I'd hope that's where he remains to the end. I say that even though I have a well-developed dislike of the Giants, but Bonds, the Cove, that park... what's not to like about all that? It's a bit of magic that you find in baseball in a way unlike any other sport. Here's hoping the Pads win, but Bonds helps put the fear of the Flying Spaghetti Monster in them down this last stretch.I am amazed by the negative press that Bonds gets. Whether he's a nice guy or not, he's the very best in the world at what he does. I hope he continues to play for a couple of more years. Why? Because I enjoy watching greatness. That's why. I saw his first at bat last night. Wow, what a fantastic duel. A lot of people think that the game is better off without Bonds. I can't understand why. Yes, there may be steroids involved. But, friends, if Bonds was using, he's not the only one. Oh, and it wasn't against the rules. Look how far beyond everyone else he is. If others are using, too, and he's still that far ahead of everyone, he must be great. And he is. Ms. Kahrl wrote about Bonds today. Here's some of what she had to say.
Who are we supposed to believe when we discuss Bonds? Someone like Ray Ratto, or someone who's described Bonds to me as a man with two commitments--his children and his job--that he takes extremely seriously? Myself, I'm willing to give the benefit of the doubt to anyone I haven't met, virtually or in the flesh, and I'm especially willing to give that benefit to those whose personality we know merely from a collection of jock sniffers and the more dim bulbs manufactured by our nation's journalism schools. Add in the race angle, and I'm confident in saying that we know Barry Bonds about as well as we know Alexander the Great. As for Bonds' involvement with performance-enhancing drugs, I won't disagree that there are doubts, nor would I suggest that there shouldn't be. But I guess when talk drifts over to how we celebrate records and how they're set, I cannot help but think how Rickey Henderson was treated for setting the stolen base record while not saying anything particularly offensive afterwards, or how his setting the runs record was effectively overlooked. I think back on the glum "celebration" that was perfunctorily executed in 1997 in memory of Jackie Robinson, a bit of badly manufactured schmaltz used as a crutch for an industry more concerned with finding a marketing hook to erase memories of '94 than anything else.I'm not qualified to talk about the impact of race in the coverage of Bonds. But, I do believe that it is possible that race is a factor. She continues later on.
For me, steroids is like cocaine was in the early '80s. It's a spectacular issue, which is to say, it is a spectacle. I don't think we can say with absolute confidence what either substance (or amphetamines) do to player performance. I don't think we can prove that any of these things perverted the game, or that they reflect anything more than that the game is played by our fellow men, prone to the same temptations, the same errors of judgment and the same mistakes.What if Barry is guilty? More importantly, what if he's not guilty?
Bonds is caught in a bind: he'll never overcome reasonable doubt, so instead of being presumed innocent, he will always be condemned by a large number of people, for reasons as varied as reasonable doubt to conditioned dislike to overt racism, to name a few of what might be an unlimited range of possible responses to Bonds setting the home-run record. My problem is that I will never escape my doubt: to what extent Barry Bonds was condemned from the start, and how too-ready the media was to go for a rope.Some of the dim bulbs and jock sniffers suggested that the Giants would be better without Bonds. Yeah right. Others pontificate that we would be better off if Bonds retired, thereby insinuating that he's not worthy of playing or breaking records. Who died and made them the judge of who is worthy and who isn't? I'll tell you this. I don't much care who holds records. What I care about is watching chase for records and excellence. When Bonds' comeback was imminent, ESPN's Pedro Gomez reported an alleged altercation with an unnamed teammate in June. Did anyone besides me think that the timing of this announcement was suspicious? And how about the fact that the other player wasn't named! This is absolutely atrocious "journalism." The ESPN ombudsman (and boy do they need one) agrees:
[S]ome viewers objected to what they perceived to be a double-standard by the media, ESPN included, in its coverage of athletes "accused" of using performance-enhancing drugs. [Lance] Armstrong gets a more objective treatment, they say, while others, such as Barry Bonds, are placed in a more defensive position of having to prove innocence. On Monday, while reporting the possible activation of Bonds, ESPN's Pedro Gomez -- the network's beat reporter for Bonds -- had a story that the Giants' slugger had been involved in a clubhouse scuffle with a teammate in June. Cynics -- including me -- questioned the pairing of the two stories, particularly when Bonds, under the glare of steroid suspicion for more than a year, was in a rare forthcoming mood. Gomez said he and producer Charles Moynihan had been working the clubhouse story for weeks, but did not want to go with it until they had "multiple sources" and had given Bonds a chance to respond. While Bonds did not go on camera, he told a team spokesman he had no problem with the unidentified player involved. I also wondered why it took two months to confirm the story, but Gomez was unavailable much of the summer because of family obligations, he said. Additionally, I'm surprised and disappointed that ESPN did not pursue the story even while Gomez was unavailable, and that the player involved in the incident with Bonds was not named. Still, teasing the clubhouse incident with the possible activation of Bonds adds to the perception by some viewers that ESPN doesn't play fair with everyone. Nor do the network's commentators and talk-show pundits -- many of whom could show more responsibility, fairness and restraint when discussing athletes who have been charged with and rumored to have committed, but not convicted of, illegal actions.We all know the media doesn't play fair. The media likes to create heroes (ummm, Jeter? Armstrong?) and villians (Bonds). Their reporting is shaped to fit the stories, not to project an objective view. That's why those who think about what they see on television and in print are frustrated by the coverage that the mainstream media shoves down our throats.|W|P|112666610002823716|W|P|Defensive Thinking|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com
Player | SBG | DEP | TWJ | GEB | CHC | FRW | ANM | TEB | AAC | RED | AMR | BEM | APH |
Points | 51 | -235 | 247 | 0 | -213 | 583 | -503 | 515 | 341 | -5 | -668 | 767 | -205 |
I think that if the Twins can make the playoffs then this will be the most impressive season that they've had since 2001 (I know. I'm a broken record on that one). I don't see it happening. The Twins simply do not have enough offensive firepower. More accurately, they have too many holes across the infield. It's pretty clear, at least in my mind, that the Twins will look back at the day that they signed both Jones and Rivas as the crucial day of the 2005 season. Plus, as you'll see below, other things are stacked up against the Twins. ... Over EACH of the past three seasons, the Twins have played the EASIEST SCHEDULE IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES. Now, however, there are two good teams in the division besides the Twins (make that one great team and one good team). The Twins' record in the division is the worst that it has been over the last five years, so far. Consider that the Twins have 13 more games left against the White Sox and things look kind of grim. In fact, if you factor out the 7-1 record against the Royals, the Twins are below .500 against the rest of the AL Central. But look. The Twins are winning outside the division at the best rate of the past five years. Pretty good! Factor out that 6-0 record against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, and they are below .500 there, too. Of course, it's easy to cherry pick like that. But, the Twins have zero games against the D-Rays in the second half. They do have 11 left against the Royals (four here right before the break). But, the weighted winning percentage of their second half opponents is .525. Does that sound easy or tough? Well, let's put it this way. NO TEAM IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES HAS HAD A SCHEDULE THIS TOUGH IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE SEASON. The Twins' schedule has been .500 so far in the first half. So, the road gets a whole lot tougher in the second half. Let's consider the Twins' closest rival in the Wild Card, the Cleveland Indians. The Indians have played a .515 schedule in the first half and are a grand total of one game behind the Twins. Their second half schedule? They are playing a .467 schedule. That's right folks. .467. NO TEAM IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES HAS HAD A SCHEDULE THIS EASY IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE SEASON. I realize a lot can happen. A whole lot. Injuries, trades, whatever. But, from a strength of schedule standpoint, it would seem that the Cleveland Indians have a tremendous advantage over the Twins.A couple of days later, on July 12th, I looked at the Twins schedule in the second half a little closer.
Over the course of the last three plus seasons, the Twins have been remarkably consistent. They have won about 48% of their games against winning teams and 63% of their games against losing teams. There's been a little variation, but in my mind, the results are remarkably similar. The Twins have 76 games left, 45 of those games against winning teams. Just plugging in the average winning percentages over the last three plus years, the Twins are projected to have a record of 89-73, which would be their worst record since they went 85-77 in 2001. Plugging in the best and worst percentages, and the Twins will likely win between 88 and 91 wins. Considering that the AL wild card winner has averaged 95 wins since 1996 -- the first year that the wild card came from a full season -- and the Wild Card looks daunting indeed. (Twice in 10 years the wild card winner won between 88 and 91 games. In every other year, the AL wild card winner has had more wins.) These results show that generally the Twins have NOT played better against winning teams. This is not surprising. One would expect that ANY team would do better against lesser teams. That's why the extremely large number of games left against winning teams concerns me. Let's try something else. Let's cut the results a little finer. We'll group results into four groups: below .460, .460 up to .500, .500 up to .560, and .560 and over. I'm not sure how this is going to turn out, so I'll go look. Here are the results from 2002-05:Back then, I just didn't think the Twins could pull it off. Now, it's absolutely clear that they won't make it. Let's look at how the Twins have done against the varying levels of competition in the second half so far.Not surprisingly, the Twins have done progressively worse against teams as their record improves. But, look... 52.1% of their games over three years are against bad teams, those who have fewer than 75 wins a year. How about 2005? So far, here's what the Twins have done.
Teams < .460 Between .460 and .500 Between .500 and .560 Better than .560 W L PCT W L PCT W L PCT W L PCT 149 84 .639 32 21 .604 49 46 .516 46 58 .442 52.1% of games 9.9% of games 11.8% of games 26.0% of games As you can see, the Twins have played very few very good or very bad teams this as compared to years gone by. Thus, the Twins have played a lot more mediocre teams than they have in the past. The Twins have actually done a lot better this year against really bad teams. Their limited exposure to really good teams hasn't been good so far. But, again, they haven't played many of those games yet. But, they will. Here is a break down of the remaining games.
Teams < .460 Between .460 and .500 Between .500 and .560 Better than .560 W L PCT W L PCT W L PCT W L PCT 19 8 .704 9 8 .529 16 15 .516 4 7 .364 31.4% of games 19.8% of games 36.0% of games 12.7% of games Obviously, the schedule is tougher. The schedule this year has actually shifted into the middle range. Applying the historical percentages to these distributions predicts a Twins record of 88-74. Applying this year's percentages to these distributions predicts a Twins record of 86-76. Applying the historical percentages to the rest of the season predicts a Twins record of 87-75. Obviously, these numbers further reinforce the idea that the Twins will likely have a difficult second half. At worst, the Twins are projected (under these percentages) to play .500 ball in the second half. None of these numbers point to a post season berth.
Teams < .460 Between .460 and .500 Between .500 and .560 Better than .560 Games Remaining 14 11 28 23 Total Percentage 20.3% 12.3% 27.2% 16.7%
Teams < .460 | Between .460 and .500 | Between .500 and .560 | Better than .560 | ||||||||
W | L | PCT | W | L | PCT | W | L | PCT | W | L | PCT |
6 | 4 | .600 | 6 | 8 | .429 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 10 | 15 | .400 |
17.9% of games | 25.0% of games | 12.5% of games | 44.6% of games |
Hi Friends.
|W|P|112645483614162936|W|P|It's Jags|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.comThis move smacks of desperation. The Seahawks, like the Vikings, are a middling team with a good young quarterback and a coach who is one disappointing year away from broadcasting Arena League games. Robinson didn't fit there, and now he fits here? This signing comes a week after the Vikings pursued Peter Warrick, who couldn't make the perennially fungible Cincinnati Bengals. If the Vikings trusted their top receivers to be productive and healthy, they wouldn't need K-Rob.I agree. Where I don't agree is the part where trading Moss was a good idea. We traded one problem child who is arguably the best player in the league and ended up with another (and bigger) problem child who most decidedly isn't. More egg on the face of Mike Tice. Personally, I don't see the Vikings making a big splash in the NFC this year. Every "expert" at ESPN picks the Vikings to win the NFC North, and I guess that might actually happen, given the downward slide in Green Bay. Four of those jokers picked the Vikings to go to the Super Bowl. Give me a break. I'm not buying that for a second. This team doesn't make the Super Bowl with Mike Tice at the helm. No way, no how. Tuesday night, the Stones were in St. Paul and I wasn't there. As a seven time veteran of Stones concerts, I suppose it isn't the end of the world, but, sigh, I wanted to see the boys one more time. I'll never forget the time I first saw the then 46-year old Mick Jagger. At the Metrodome in 1989, with Danny Gladden and Al Newman sitting a few rows behind me, the sounds of Continental Drift wafted ominously through out the dome when all of sudden a huge explosion ripped through the air and the heat of the biggest flash pots I've ever seen heated the dome by at least 50 degrees instantly. I couldn't believe the excitement. Keith Richards played the opening licks of Start Me Up and Jagger was present and he belted out that war horse (which was only eight years old then) with a voice that was surprisingly strong and clear. I literally screamed through out the entire song. I'll never forget it. I've seen a lot of concerts, but man, there's nothing like seeing the Stones. I still have that 16 year old t-shirt that I wore a bazillion times.
In an energetic performance, the Rolling Stones show no signs of being ready to retire. Two songs into the Rolling Stones' Tuesday night concert at the Xcel Energy Center, Mick Jagger tugged at the waist of his red T-shirt, exposing a 62-year-old tummy so tight it would make a grown man (and woman) cry. But it wasn't just Jagger's abs that were in fine shape during the sold-out show. Forty-three years into a career that's earned them the billing as "The World's Greatest Rock Band," the Stones are still amazingly vital and a whole lot of fun.Forty three years. They are the Roger Clemens of rock bands. What does the Strib say?
Wait a minute! Let me check my Rolling Stones ticket stub. It doesn't say Northrop Auditorium. It says Xcel Energy Center. But the Stones' showTuesday was the kind of intimate, low-frills, just plain ol' rock 'n' roll thatI'd been dreaming about for years from the world's greatest band. I'd swear I was at Northrop -- except for that floating stage bit (more on that later). Most importantly, Mick Jagger didn't have stories of scaffolding and endless ramps on which to run around, as we've seen on just about every post-1972 Stones tour. This was just a large, bare-bones stage -- perfect for manic Mick and his mincing moves and his spotlight-shy backup band. Indeed,this was the Mick Jagger show (he took his own curtain call at the end). Dressed in a red leather fedora, red T-shirt, black jacket (with red sequined Stones tongue-logos) and black jeans, he carried on like a hyper Prune Face on a Stick. Some 2,000 light years on, he remains an unparalleled frontman and athlete. While Jerry Rice is retiring from pro football at age 42, Jagger, 62, is still at the top of his game, prancing and primping for nearly two hours and, more significantly, singing with sass and consistent conviction.Man, I've listened to hundreds and hundreds of hours of Stones tunes. Oh to be old enough in 1969 to have seen that tour, which was possibly the greatest tour of all time, and which produced the greatest live album of all time (Get Yer Ya-Ya's Out).