9/30/2005 02:56:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -127, Detroit +117|W|P|112811023987081413|W|P|Friday Night|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/30/2005 07:07:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Welcome SBG fans to another edition of beating a dead horse. The 2005 Twins are officially dead. My role as part of the pocket protector crowd is to repeat the mantra. But first, some diversions. Most of my shirts don't have pockets! How annoying is this? I suppose it's a style thang. But, I find myself carrying pens in my pants pocket. Punto hit homerun last night and didn't slide into first. If you believe in intelligent design do you also have to believe in predestination? What's more important a "civilized process" for judicial confirmation or getting the right person? I mean, it's a lifetime appointment. I'd say a lot of people go through more to get a $15 an hour job. How many people have died from steroid abuse in Minnesota this year? Just asking because a 19 year old kid just drowned in the Red River the other night after a night of heavy drinking at a frat in Moorhead. I believe that this is the second alcohol related fatality associated with that frat in the last year. What do we tell the children? Oh, and just to beat the horse, the Twins haven't secured a winning season yet with three games to play. I can't wait for the season to end|W|P|112808319205366180|W|P|Equine Mortality|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/30/2005 08:36:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|As much as this season needs to end, watching the Twins lose to the Royals in September is better than not watching the Twins at all. It's more painful to watch, but less empty. :)

And right now is kinda fun, because walking into the Dome, I have no idea who's playing, or where they'll be playing. (This is also the reason I haven't been participating in the contest, and thus have lost my lead.)

And did I write here that I'm not convinced that the offense problems are totally Ullger? I think a chunk of the blame needs to go on the fact that we're a team of pitching and defense, and don't scout/sign/draft the good hitters, because our first rounds go to pitchers. But if some of these kids don't pick it up next year, then I'll completely agree that a change is needed (now I just think a change would be good).9/30/2005 08:42:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Here's to an offseason that reinstills hope. Hope left on a flight out of town a while ago.

Hopefully, Bartlett lifts weights and gets in the cage.

Hopefully, Kubel can come back.

Hopefully, Morneau gets it straightened out.

Hopefully, a few new pieces reinvoigorate this team.9/30/2005 09:11:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|SBG-

Jeez. I didn't mean to get you so riled up that you'd change your masthead. And, if the "dead horse" and "foaming at the mouth" comments were out of line, I apologize. Seriously.


Despite your hunches, I am not some "Batling" who has infiltrated the SBG site to cause trouble. I am a longtime reader (as you correctly guessed), but a first-time commenter. The Ullger bashing (although done in a tasteful and thoughtful way) just pushed me past the boiling point. I honestly thought you'd see it more as some literary sparring, than an attack on the (mostly) excellent content. I know you do this all for the low, low, price of free, and I respect that. And no, I don't want you to start showing us displays of Photoshop prowess, either. One site devoted to that is enough, thank you.


Yes, it was season that transcended frustration. The eternal hope evident in spring training evaporated into thin air as the season progressed. That said, I'll be there Saturday night with my Dad, drinking a $6 beer, rooting the team on but also thinking what might have been. (With or without Ullger.)

Respectfully,


Anonymous


PS - How about sharing your top ten better choices for Twins manager sometime.9/30/2005 11:14:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|No apology needed, anonymous. I was having fun with the masthead! Slide into first! Hee hee!

I have a sense of humor and that includes laughing at myself. I don't take this site very seriously. If I did, I'd be much more judicious in what I said.

Thanks for reading and feel free to comment any time. Even if you want to jab me! That's my policy. All non profane comments are welcome and encouraged!9/30/2005 11:21:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|SBG does laugh at himself, it's true, just like everybody else here is laughing at, err I mean, with him.

PS Brewers and Twins are tied with 3 games to go...9/30/2005 12:01:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|My policy has one exception, CC.9/30/2005 12:38:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Interesting thought about predestination. I've always thought that if you believe in an omnipotent God then you have to believe in predestination. i've never tied it to ID, though. Very thought provoking...9/30/2005 12:48:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|I disagree with you Shane, I'm with the free will camp with the omnipotent God. Our lives are not planned out with us just going through the motions. Just my belief though.

SBG, love you too.9/30/2005 02:04:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|An omnipotent God is literally all-powerful, but it doesn't necessarily follow that such a God has chosen to predetermine or control every aspect of life on Earth.

If intelligent design existed, we wouldn't have Daffy Duck managing the Minnesota Twins, nor Bud Selig running Major League Baseball.9/30/2005 02:15:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Bud's doing a good job, FW. Interleague play, wild card that makes baseball fans care about September, an actual drug policy (given he has to start one from scratch).9/30/2005 03:13:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|How about God being omniscient? If God is all-knowing, then He knows exactly what will happen, what choices we will make. In other words, He knows what will become of us. Either God is omniscient and our lives are predestined (given He knows everything) or He isn't as powerful or all-knowing as we think He is. I have a hard time reconciling this.9/30/2005 03:23:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Bud, your doing a HECKUVA job!

-GWB9/30/2005 10:13:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Bud looked the other way on the steroids issue for over a decade. He only started to do something once the BALCO leaks embarrassed him. He's also the guy who tried to contract our team--which we'll never forget. The way he handled the Expos' slow withdrawal from Montreal was a protracted insult to both the fans and the organization itself. He's discouraged private investment in stadium projects, and actively encouraged clubs to blackmail local communities into coughing up sweetheart deals on new stadiums--or else.

He presided over a canceled World Series, which not even WWII had managed to do before. He was in charge of the 7-7 tie of the All-Star Game, which happened in his own hometown. He helped choose the design for Miller Park, the worst MLB ballpark to open since, well, the Metrodome. He's stripped away some of the special pageantry of Opening Day by opening some seasons overseas when most Americans can't watch, or else putting one game on Sunday night. The wild card has its upside, but it also destroys meaningful division races.

I'm really not a big fan of interleague play as its set up; they should cut back the number of interleague series, and there's no reason why teams need a home/away set against a "regional rival" every season. Bud should also cut back the imbalanced intradivisional schedules. I get tired of seeing the same Central teams all year, while teams from the coasts come through just once or twice. The imbalances also have an unfair effect on the wild card races. But Bud won't do it. Why? Because all those Cards, Cubs, and Reds games in Milwaukee are such juicy plums for the Brewers. New York, Boston, and the TV networks love to have the Yankees-Red Sox 19 times a year. Annual home/away sets for Yankees-Mets and a handful of other intrastate rivalries is too lucrative to cut back by half.

Everything Bud does as Commissioner is to spin a buck, first and foremost. The integrity of the game not only takes a backseat, Bud often stuffs it in the trunk.10/01/2005 09:21:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Shorter version of FW's excellent post:

Bud, you're doing a HECKUVA job.

-GWB10/02/2005 03:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|FW,
Sure, Bud's fault he inherited a league rampant with drug abuse and had to take on the a very powerful players union to do something about it. It wasn't his call to do this, the player's union had to agree to it as well, and they fought tooth and nail against it. BALCO made them buckle and Bud took full advantage of it and institued what no other commissioner has been able to do.

Montreal all but shoved the Expos out, don't blame Bud for years of piss-poor attendance due to their owner's neglect and bad management. He was in a no-win situation and had to make a tough call, and the right one.

Pohlad volunteered to contract the Twins, get it straight. Don't make Selig your scapegoat for a pathetic owner.

Major corporations look for tax breaks and any other deals from states and cities prior to building their businesses there, MLB is doing the same.

Player's union is even more to blame than Selig on the missed World Series. They were the ones who decided to strike in August, causing no time to have a meangingful WS.

Miller Park the worst ballpark in MLB outside of the Metrodome? An attack clearly without merit. Read this article as proof you are totally off your rocker: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2005/baseball/mlb/08/31/fvi/ Miller Park is the #1 park in baseball.

All-Star game tie was the managers' fault through completely mismanaged use of players.

Absolutely no coorelation with wild-card races taking away anything from divisional title races. Completely separate issues.

Nice try on the scheduling, don't blame the Brewers for being in a good division unlike the Twins.

Bud has taken on the most powerful labor organization in sports and beaten it. He evoled the game to where it can survive and adapt. If it were up to people who "love the old ways" like you, the game would have no drug policy, a completely irrelevant last month of the season and a declining fan base. Bud has not saved baseball mind you, he has however made it healther and better.10/03/2005 06:17:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|All the little perks Bud tried to throw his team...err...his daughhter's team way, and they still became baseball's biggest laughingstock. It's been so bad that a .500 record is reason to throw a ticker-tape parade. heck, they still could'nt finish with a better record than a Twins team that mailed it in 3 weeks ago. So tommorrow the post-season starts without the Brewers. Then again, what's new. It's been starting without the Brewers for a generation and a half now. Give Bud credit. He suckered the gullible taxpayers of Wisconsin into footing the entire bill for a ballpark for the LA clippers of baseball for some time now.10/04/2005 11:01:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Anonymous, your post is so silly and baseless it's not even worth my time.9/29/2005 06:59:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|If you've ever listened to the Common Man "progrum" on KFAN, you know that he's the best radio guy out there. He refers to the two newspapers in town the "Fish Wrap Factories" on their respective West and East side. Good stuff. From the East Side factory today concerning Scott Ullger.
Ullger, who became the Twins' hitting coach before the 1999 season and is a close friend of manager Ron Gardenhire, was faced with a monumental task after the free-agent departures of veterans Corey Koskie and Cristian Guzman last offseason. The Twins have relied heavily on first-year starters to carry the offensive load, and players at key run-producing positions, such as first baseman Justin Morneau and third baseman Michael Cuddyer, have struggled. In addition, nagging injuries plagued leadoff man Shannon Stewart for most of the season, and he finished with a .274 average. But the Twins also have failed to execute the fundamentals, often struggling to drop down bunts and showing little patience at the plate. Ullger often has spent extra time this season working with hitters on bunting fundamentals.
A monumental task of replacing Cristian Guzman! Not like the A's, who have only had to replace Miguel Tejada and Jason Giambi! WTF with the excuses! Yes, Morneau has struggled. Has Cuddyer? His OPS isn't great, but it's only .002 behind Jacque Jones. And, since the All-Star break, he's been the best hitter on the team (OPS .807), even better than Joe Mauer. I don't have enough time right now, but I'd venture to guess that he's been the best hitter on the team since April. Yet, there he is, a prime example of who's struggling. Did the writer think this up himself? Or did he get that from the Twins brass? If he got it from the Brass, it shows how little they actually know about who's good and who isn't. They've continued to jerk Cuddyer around, playing him in the outfield instead of planting his ass at third base everyday and showing some confidence. If Stewart is hurt, sit him down. He played over 130 games despite hitting .274/.323/.388/.711. That's pathetic. Jones, who I gave the benefit of the doubt to last year because he went through the pain of losing his father -- well, he hit .250/.321/.443/.764 -- and made $5 million. This kid has some talent. He has pop in his bat. How has his approach at the plate improved over his career? Answer? It has not. The hitting coach is working hard. Is he working effectively? How about Hunter? What improvement can you point to in his hitting approach? His numbers have generally regressed from his big contract year. What about Rivas? He's had five years to learn under Ullger. If your name isn't David Wintheiser, you never want to see him playing in a Twins uniform again. He appeared to have talent when he came up. How did the hitting coach help him? And screw bunting. This team is last in that league in Equivalent Average, runs scored, slugging percentage. And we're talking about bunting? It's enough to make a rational person's head spin.|W|P|112799684296572630|W|P|Fish Wrap Factory on the East Side|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/29/2005 08:07:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Tragically, I think there are two reasons that Cuddyer is in the outfield right now. First, there is a shortage of outfielders right now (Jacque, Lewwww, Ryan, and Tyner) compared to infielders. And we saw prior to Cuddyer being out there that the outfielders were having fielding problems--missing the cut-off men.

However, I'm interested to know whether the Twins are taking Cuddyer away from third base (possibly auditioning Little Luis for the position), and if they're going to see him as a utility man next year, or an outfielder, or an infielder. Personally, I'd like to see him at third base again. From what I've seen in the last couple of days, his arm is stronger than Little Luis's, getting the ball from third to first faster. Time will tell.9/29/2005 08:34:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|JB -- You've let your lead slip in the contest!!!!9/29/2005 07:56:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|"Ullger, who became hitting coach before the 1999 season and is a close friend of Gardenhire...." Oy. It's as if the story were about some bureaucrat in the Bush administration. I guess we're never getting rid of him, so long as the Tool is around. Scotty, you're doin' a heckuva job!!9/29/2005 09:19:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|With the failure of the 2005 Twins resting so squarely on the shoulders of one Scott Ullger, or so sayeth SBG and the legions worshipping at the alter of Bill James, I decided I needed to learn more about this wretched man, whose bag of voodoo apparently is not strong enough to transform each masterful Twins� prospect into the next Ted Williams, when clearly that was their potential. I fired up the trusty computer and started scanning the so-called �internets� to see what I could find.

Amazingly, Ullger�s reach extends way beyond the baseball diamond. With one-fell Google search here�s what I found:

1. Was it Angelina Jolie crashing down the sanctity of the Pitt/Aniston marriage? Heck no. It was all Ullger.

2. Was it �deep throat� feeding the Pioneer Press Bat-Girl�s inflated site traffic statistics, in a blatant effort to enrage SBG into a foaming-at-the-mouth blog diatribe? Nope. It was Ullger.

3. Global warming? Yup. Ullger.

4. Souhan�s (err, excuse me, Top Jimmy�s) promotion to �Blogger attack-dog� columnist � was it a clever ploy by STRIB management. Guess again � It was Ullger.

5. Northwest Airline�s bankruptcy filing? Greedy, self-serving, asleep-at-the-switch executive management. Wrong! Ullger.

6. Bush. Gore. Florida? Uh, huh, Ullger.

7. The missing WMD? Saddam? The French? No way. Ullger.

8. John Kerry. All Ullger. All the time.

9. Mike Brown at FEMA? U-L-L-G-E-R.

10. Brad Zellar�s writing slump at Warning Track Power? Clearly Ullger�s unorthodox use of the Thesaurus couldn�t unlock his potential.

I was so tired I couldn�t continue. I�m sure there�s more, but I can�t bear to read anymore. How could we, the die-hard, Twins-loving fans allow this to happen? This man doesn�t just deserve to be fired. Could prison possibly be too harsh? Quick - let�s get him out of here so we can latch on to the next scapegoat.9/29/2005 10:20:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Great comment, anonymous. Too bad you didn't sign it so that we could properly attribute your brilliance. I have some ideas how you might be, though.

Having read your comment, I take everything back. Bring back the whole crew next year. Gardy, Ullgee, Stewee, Torii, Jonsey, Luiiii, Jay Cee, everyone.

This team was supposed to go to the World Series, but it missed the playoffs because it has the worst offense in the league. But, it's no one's fault. Oh yeah, it's Michael Cuddyer's fault.9/29/2005 11:26:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Funny, when someone is in charge of a group that rates as the worst in its field, that person usually can expect to be held accountable--and probably even be fired. Look at Scotty Ullger's track record and suggest that he be held accountable, however, and in some quarters of Twins Territory that's irrational scapegoating.

I don't blame the Twins hitting coach for all the ills of the world, just for the results of his own job performance. Fact is, despite boasting a top-flight farm system that has included some blue chip bats, the Twins offense is just as bad right now as it was in 1999, the first year Ullger was in charge of coaching the hitters.

When the season began, who thought the offense was heading all the way back to 1999 and Square One? When you have a top farm system and yet such poor performance at the major league level, at what point, if not now, is it OK to say that it may be time to see what happens with a different hitting instructor in Minnesota?9/30/2005 12:07:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Ouch..the sting. That hurt.

The writers who picked the Twins to get to the World Series are colleagues of the same bobos who picked the T-Wolves to get to the NBA Championship and the pathetic Vikings to get to the Super Bowl. Who are these geniuses? In each case, the fundamental problem is talent or lack thereof. Coaching? Probably doesn't make the top five reasons. (At least for me.)

C'Mon, do you really think now, with the hindsight glasses on, the likes of Bartlett, Cuddyer, Punto, and Morneau were going to carry this team to the series? The smart money knew a couple of rookies in the
three and four hole with a bunch slap-happy six hitters flailing away for 162 games wasn't going to work. Not this year. Not ever. We've had great pitching in a lousy division and it worked for three years. But, if Ryan doesn't right the ship with some real players next year all these blogs are going to dry up and then what am I gonna do?

I'll admit I was shaking a bony finger towards SBG, but alas, only in fun. I tease because I love. It's fun to see you beat the dead horse; once, and then it gets old. And further, I flinch and ache as much as you when I see the following:

1.) Punto sliding into first

2.) The sheer sight of Luis Rivas

3.) Jones not laying of that high fastball or shaking his head in disbelief after another cruddy at-bat

4.) Cuddyer anywhere but 3rd base - (Unless TR and Co. are committed to letting him play 2nd base, for good while they find a real 3rd baseman. And yes, I'd gamble on Youkilis if we could get him.)

5.) Hunter flailing away at three straight when he should be squeezing the juice out of the opposing pitcher.

6.) Romero sucking the life out of a close game.


No, I don't belong in the camp that said Guzman should have stayed. And I believe just as strongly a team should only have so many Canadians, so you can't pin that on me either. I'd even trade Hunter --for the right deal and a case of beer, preferably Sierra Nevada Pale Ale or Bell's Amber, but I'd prefer to have him here a few years more. Even as maddening as he can be - he is a cog if put into the right machine.

In my over caffeinated opinion, the Twins need: 1) A real lead-off man to set the table, 2.) Someone who hits for power and average at 2nd or 3rd base 3.) A real DH. They also need Morneau to figure it out or
join the scrapheap of first basemen since Kent Hrbek. I also don't think I'd be banking on making the Series with rookies or greenhorns as 40% of my rotation. I'd try and find a way to agonizingly keep Lohse around for one more go around. I would keep Mr. Liriano in the bullpen. I'd lose some of those other touted pitching prospects while you still have Santana, Silva and Radke.

No, Scotty Ullger's not my brother-in-law and I welcome you to take his head om a platter if you must.

You're right, sometimes management's just not good enough to get you to that next level. But, I think you might get better results by changing Terry Ryan.9/30/2005 04:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|If the "smart money" really knew that the Opening Day lineup was not going to work--and in fact would be the worst in the league--I hope you made a bundle, Anonymous.

If you believe that this group really is the least talented lineup in the league, and possibly even the majors, then that's where we will fundamentally disagree.

I expected Morneau to be a solid producer; not worse than Mientkiewicz. (Let's hope that he really did struggle because of the bad elbow.) I expected something like .275/.340/.460 out of Cuddyer (which is close to his production since May 1) in 550+ at-bats rather than ~420 AB's. I expected a lot more out of Stewart and Ford. I thought Bartlett could deliver at least Guzy-level offense if they let him play every day.

I had low expectations for Jones and didn't want him back, and he's played down to those expectations for most of the season, but it wouldn't shock me to see him bounce back with a new team & new coaches next year. (Ain't it strange how he seems to get a burst of new life after talking to Tony Gwynn?)
Torii had a typical-looking line for the 4 months he played, thanks to a monster June, be also struggled for most of the other 3 months in his season. Down as I've been on Rivas for the past three years, there's no question that even he set a new low for himself this year.

Most of the regulars had a very disappointing season and/or continued a trend of regression of the past few years. I think the GM has made some mistakes, but I also see a good deal of talent on the roster that apparently hasn't been served well by the coaching.9/30/2005 05:42:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|By the way, anonymous, I think that the centerfielder was talking World Series, not just the dumb sportswriters.

What the hell do you expect me to write? What else is there to say about this team? Should I write about how cute their butts are? Or photoshop some pictures of the players on women's bodies? Come to think of it, that might not be a bad idea. At least one (make that two) of the highly paid outfielders throws like a girl.

They started the season acting like they were the best team in the league, and they fell flat on their faces. Talk about beating a dead horse... the Twins lost 2-1 eleven times. Eleven! They beat the life out of me and every other person who wanted to follow them and write about them. Even my friend Seth, who is tireless optimistic has gotten beat down by this team. And after we were all dead, they got 13 hits and lost to the Royals 1-0.

And to further drive a spike into my heart, they tell me that they really like Jason Tyner.

I'm not the biggest anti-Ullger guy out there. But, I ask one question. Who has he helped? When Hunter was struggling (and he did, by the way, most of the season), he wasn't even talking to Ullger. He was talking to Jerry White.

Yes, I think Ullger should go. But, if you've read my page at all, which you obviously have -- nice reference to the Pioneer Press article on B-G, but foaming at the mouth? I think my report of Billions of readers was funny -- you would know that it is Ron Gardenhire that I want gone. And as long as that horse is still alive, I'll beat it.9/30/2005 09:01:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|I have to say, when things were going well for the Twins, it seemed that Gardy was a great manager. The whole "little team that could" line. (It should be pointed out that the A's are that team). But when things don't go well, it seemed that Gardy was not all that good of a manager. He seemed to want to deflect the blame onto other people rather than own up to his own shortcomings.

It's not all Gardy's fault, but he's not blameless. The infield is a mess and the outfield is underproducing. The offense is offensive to say the least. Dark days ahead for the Twins until they get some hitters. Pitchers can't carry this team forever.9/30/2005 02:28:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|One name keeps popping up in my head when I think of Ullger and his hitting magic.

DAVID ORTIZ. Ron "Papa Jack" Jackson, the hitting coach for Boston made a minor adjustment to Big Papi's swing and voila 47 homers and 146 rbi's.

Ullger how about a minor tweak of fatty or a little adjustment for JJ. How about a little something for Morneau. You certainly couldn't ruin Mauer's swing (even if you tried).9/30/2005 02:54:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Did anyone just hear Terry Ryan?9/30/2005 10:19:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|What did he say?9/29/2005 06:25:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|MINNESOTA -150, KC +140. Wow. Has Cleveland really hurt themselves. They have to sweep the White Sox this weekend to win the division and they have lost their lead in the Wild Card. Not good. Meanwhile, the evil empire is in first place in the East. I'm on the train, so not much time to write, but memo to Congress... shut up about steroids. It's not the biggest public health issue. I would say that underage drinking is just a teeny tiny bit more important. If you want to get serious about setting an example for youth, I suggest a daily 7:30 AM drug test for Congess members. If you are going to make the laws of the land, you ought to be drug free. And that includes alcohol. First time offense? How about expulsion. Set an example for the youts! Until then, get off your f$!@n& high horse.|W|P|112799395366381209|W|P|Thursday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/29/2005 08:58:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|Amen!
Johnny McCain to Fehr: "Don't you understnad that this is an issue of such transcendent importance that you should have acted months ago?"
AMR to Mack: "Don't you understand you lost my vote for good yesterday, you bloviating grandstander?"9/28/2005 10:18:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'll try to update at lunch.|W|P|112792073060454714|W|P|Contest|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/28/2005 08:12:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota-180, KC+160|W|P|112791333030373889|W|P|Wednesday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/27/2005 06:49:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'll take Johan and the Twins for 300, Alex.|W|P|112786500671813222|W|P|Jeopardy!|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/27/2005 07:21:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Mike Brown remains on the FEMA payroll as a consultant.
Brown told congressional investigators Monday that he is being paid as a consultant to help FEMA assess what went wrong in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, according to a senior official familiar with the meeting.
This just in... John Wilkes Booth has been hired to conduct an investigation into the assassination of Abraham Lincoln.|W|P|112782389756159064|W|P|Brownie, You'll Do a Heckuva Job|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/27/2005 04:25:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Like Tony Montana heading the DEA.9/27/2005 05:58:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|Like SBG heading Mensa9/27/2005 06:35:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Closed circuit to SBG: Mensa is an organization made up of individuals of high intelligence. A person doesn't qualify for membership unless s/he is in the top 2% of intelligence.

Moss thought you might like to know.9/27/2005 06:51:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|TJ, that's some harsh trash talk.

Moss, I know full well what Mensa is and I choose not to join.9/27/2005 08:21:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Like Bush's domestic security advisor reviewing the administration's performance regarding Katrina.

Like a former Texaco lawyer heading the investigation into price gouging at the pumps after Katrina.

Oh, wait... both of those things have really happened, too.

But the President accepted "responsibility," so never mind! It's OK!9/27/2005 09:48:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss knows you know, SBG. Just giving you the business...9/27/2005 11:12:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|FW -- It'd be funny if it weren't so disgraceful.9/27/2005 11:14:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Or if it weren't only scratching the surface of all the corruption.9/27/2005 06:49:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -300, KC +250.|W|P|112782187680385533|W|P|It's Santana. And it's the Royals.|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/27/2005 03:27:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|This hurts and I rather hope to be wrong but it's the Twins offense.

Royals

APH9/27/2005 04:21:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I know it's Santana against some KC pitcher with a 12+ ERA aginst in his last couple of starts, but this is the Twins after all. Take KC at +250. You can't win if you don't score.9/26/2005 10:31:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|1. The Twins lose 5-0 to KC. Some guy named "Thurston" Howell, who came into tonight's game with an ERA over seven holds the Twins hitless over five. But then, he had to come out because he'd already thrown almost 100 pitches. If these guys can shut out the Twins, kind of takes the luster off those three one run games by the Chisox. 2. Speaking of Chicago, the Mighty Whities lose to Detroit. They are 2-9 in their last eleven games not against the Twins. Oh, sprinkle in a 5-2 record against the Twins during that time and you can see how the Twins have prevented a complete meltdown. 3. The Teflon League does it again. The clock in the fourth quarter of the Pittsburgh/New England game left 52 extra seconds on the clock. And New England won on a last second field goal. Here's the absolutely infuriating thing -- a league official noticed it immediately and contacted officials in Pittsburgh, but nothing was done. Now, the media should get all over the league for this. But, I doubt they will. Imagine if the something like this happened in baseball. The sports media would hoot and holler and rip MLB like nobody's business. Not the NFL though. The press treats them differently. They can do no wrong, even when they do.|W|P|112779291915033601|W|P|Pathetic|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/27/2005 07:23:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|1) Moss doesn't think the extra seconds affected the game. Clock management kicks in at a certain point, and probably all that time would have been conserved. No harm, no foul.

2) Moss is becoming even more adamant that the Twins make a change in managing/coaching. Last nite, Dark "I'm the size of the Death" Star said that the Marlins have quit playing for their manager. Moss doesn't think he needs to look to Florida to observe the phenomenon.

The offense is a complete joke, the fundamentals have gone to hell, and obviously the coaches aren't able to fix things but only make them worse. Way past time for a change.9/27/2005 07:28:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|"No harm, no foul"

This is what I'm talking about. The Steelers scored with 81 seconds left. Really, though, it was 28 seconds left. New England had no timeouts, I don't believe. That 52 seconds made a big difference.9/27/2005 09:44:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|What do you expect from the only major professional league that still uses part-time, amatuer officials?

TEB9/26/2005 06:06:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -180, Kansas City +160. The season, and the contest, are winding down. The off season looks to be critical. Will the Twins be able to fix their offensive problems? Or has the era of good feeling started to slip away. Watching Liriano on Sunday, it seemed to me that he's still just a little raw. He throws hard, but Baker (who is a little older) is a better pitcher at this point. Still, he looks pretty good for such a young kid. The Indians got tripped up in the ninth in Kansas City. If Cleveland misses the playoffs by one game, that one will haunt them. Did you see the misplay out inthe field on the play that yielded the winning run? Ugh!|W|P|112773335620696117|W|P|Monday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/25/2005 09:12:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|1. Contest. Sometimes, you have to say, what the F@#$. I got an e-mail from FRW on Friday taking the White Sox for the next three games. The result? Look at the standings.
FRWAACBEMTWJTEBCHCSBGREDGEBAPHDEPANMAMR
9839567676472151655160-205-235-503-856
For the record, CHC did exactly the same thing and passed SBG. With one week to go, several contestants still have a shot. Good luck to everyone! 2. Hey, how about that Vikings game. It's amazing how a team can look so bad and then just crush the Saints this week. And Troy Williamson showed some life. Plus, Daunte Culpepper looked like the evil spirit that had been possessing him was exorcised. 3. If the White Sox hold on and win the division, they have the Twins to thank. Since Sept. 7, the White Sox are 2-8 in games against teams other than the Twins and 5-2 against the Twins. 4. I don't have a lot more to say tonight, but I did post a lot this weekend. Scroll down and read. Have a good week, everyone.|W|P|112770143584235632|W|P|Weekend Wrap|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/26/2005 10:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|For the record, SBG mocked me for picking the sweep. Now, I mock you: "Mock Mock! Mock Mock Mock!"9/26/2005 02:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Yeah, his word to me was "Gutsy!" I guess he thought the Sox were spiraling out of control. I just figured the Sox had the better pitchers in the last three games, the Twins offense still blows, and the Sox simply are the better team.9/26/2005 03:12:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Actually I thought it was gutsy to pick all three games at once considering your position in the contest. I should have been doing the same thing, but I had no guts to pick the heavy favorites day after day. And I couldn't get myself to pick the Twins, either. One loss would have meant a 310 point swing for anyone picking the Sox on Saturday and Sunday.9/25/2005 01:58:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Lavelle E. Neal III reports on the Twins first inning woes:
The Twins went down in order in the first inning on Saturday, the 21st consecutive game in which they have failed to score in the first inning. They haven't scored in that inning since Aug. 30 against Kansas City. The Twins have been outscored 100-68 in the first inning, the largest run difference in any inning this season.
Not surprising when you have the worst leadoff man in the league and Nick Punto "hitting" second. From Sid:
Dwane Casey was asked to describe the Timberwolves team he will take over when training camp opens Oct. 4. The new coach said Saturday: "Well, you always want Shaq [O'Neal], you always want Kobe [Bryant], you always want Michael [Jordan], you always want Scottie [Pippen]. I think we have a good NBA team. Our roster has a little bit of everything. So we have what we need. Do we want to continue to improve it, look to make trades and improve our roster at every opportunity? Yes."
Two things. One, we have a certain player who can be mentioned generally in the same company as those other guys. Two, that description is a far cry from what we thought about the team last year at this time, as in, we are challenging for an NBA championship.|W|P|112767924462741099|W|P|Sunday Tribuning|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/25/2005 09:01:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Chicago -210, Minnesota 185|W|P|112765691527590816|W|P|Sunday.|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/24/2005 09:29:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|After Saturday night, we have a new player in second place.
PlayerFRWAACBEMTWJTEBCHCSBGREDGEBAPHDEPANMAMR
Points883856767647215655160-205-235-503-856
Yep, that's our friend AAC in second place, 17 points behind FRW. Our friend TWJ is moving up, too. The contest is hot, even if our Twins are cold. Tonight's Picks: FRW: Chicago AAC: Chicago TWJ: Chicago CHC: Chicago|W|P|112761551283614172|W|P|Contest Update|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/24/2005 06:16:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Did you know that I have a subscription to Baseball Prospectus? James Click of BP analyzes who has been clutch and who hasn't. Send me an e-mail if you want to know how it's figured, but I wanted to show you this list, which has the 20 least clutch players in 2005. My favorite is listed at number 16. The lower the "Clutch" number the less of a clutch hitter you have been in 2005 relative to your overall performance.
NumberBatterTeamClutch
1Jimmy RollinsPHI-3.38
2Alex GonzalezFLO-3.21
3David BellPHI-2.89
4Casey BlakeCLE-2.71
5Jorge PosadaNYA-2.65
6Nick PuntoMIN-2.60
7Ron BelliardCLE-2.40
8Mike LowellFLO-2.38
9Miguel TejadaBAL-2.38
10Felipe LopezCIN-2.35
11Tike RedmanPIT-2.35
12John BuckKCA-2.34
13Jose ReyesNYN-2.31
14Neifi PerezCHN-2.31
15Rafael FurcalATL-2.28
16Derek JeterNYA-2.27
17Shawn GreenARI-2.21
18Julio LugoTBA-2.12
19Kevin MenchTEX-2.07
20Cristian GuzmanWAS-2.07
This doesn't mean that Jimmy Rollins has the worst numbers in the clutch of anyone in the league, it means that his performance in the clutch is the worst compared to what would be expected given his overall performance. Just think of it, though. Mr. Clutch, Derek Jeter, is one of the worst clutch hitters in the league this year. How can that be? Will the sun come up tomorrow? For the record, I don't really believe in "clutch" hitting (and neither does the author of this article). But, I've been sick to death listening to people denigrate A-Rod because he's not "clutch" and Jeter is. What this shows is that this year, Jeter has seriously underperformed in the clutch. The article doesn't show everyone, so I can't say exactly where A-Rod falls, but there's enough information given for me to determine that A-Rod has overperformed in the "clutch" this year. I think his clutch number is about 0.86 (0.00 would be average). For Twins fans who think that "Little" Nicky Punto has any value at all, consider this. He's hitting .242/.304/.331/.635, his EQu is .230 and he has a VORP of -2.1. That's right, he's not as good as a replacement player. To top it off, he's the 6th worst clutch hitter in the league. Nevertheless, the guy has had over 400 plate appearances this year. I know one category he leads the league in: slides into first base.|W|P|112760516208423864|W|P|But, Just Wait Until October|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/24/2005 05:46:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Jason Williams at the Pioneer Press reports that the Twins are looking at Jason Tyner as a possibility for the 2006 roster.
In the lineup as the leadoff hitter and left fielder for the fourth consecutive game Friday against Chicago, Tyner continued to impress the Twins in his bid to win a 2006 roster spot. The September call-up led off with a single, extending his hitting streak to 10 games. He is batting .300.
Williams reports that "Gardenhire likes that Tyner does little things well, such as running the bases, playing solid defense and executing bunts." Williams goes on to say that "[t]he Twins' inability to execute fundamental plays is big reason why they will not make the playoffs." To which I say, "Ugh!" Jason Tyner is a career .259/.296/.302/.598 hitter. He has 818 major league at bats and zero homeruns. In 40 ABs he's hitting .300/.333/.350/.683. That's about the softest .300 you are ever going to see. This guy is not a quality major league player. But, it's become clear that Lew Ford is completely out of favor (and sounds like a scapegoat), so we need a guy like this. Ugh! The Twins aren't making the playoffs because they don't execute fundamental plays. Yes, they've missed some bunts. But, the Twins have scored 655 runs, good for last in the American League. They've slugged .394, good for last in the AL. Their OBP is .324, good for tenth in the AL, but only .005 better than last place Seattle. Their EQa is .246, good for last in the 30 team major leagues. Their EQR (equivalent runs, normalized for park effects) is 588.8, last in the 30 team American League. The Twins didn't make the playoffs because they missed a few bunts or overthrew a cutoff man here or there. No, they missed the playoffs because they have absolutely the worst offense in the major leagues. Giving a guy like Tyner, as a 4th outfielder, 350 or so at bats (career EQa: .219) will not help. I suppose the 'tool thinks that because the White Sox are winning the division reportedly because of their speed, the Twins have to get speed, too. Heh.|W|P|112760378591508774|W|P|Tyner to be a Twin in 2006?|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/25/2005 04:43:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Let us pray that Terry Ryan understands the problem; and if he won't fire the Tool, may he at least tell him what's what and throw Gardy's wish list into the garbage.

This is the organization of Harmon Killebrew, dammit. At what point did they forget how to develop hitters like the Killer, and become infatuated with guys like Jason Tyner and Little Nicky Punto?9/25/2005 08:57:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|It must just make Killer sick to watch this nonsense.9/24/2005 09:39:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|From the Pioneer Press:
The Timberwolves said Wednesday they were cautiously optimistic that newly acquired point guard Marko Jaric was not injured during a locker-room fight at the European Championship. The Associated Press reported that Jaric had a fistfight with a teammate on Serbia-Montenegro's national team after their loss to France on Tuesday. Jaric's national team coach, Zeljko Obradovic, told the AP that Jaric brawled with Igor Rakocevic, who plays for Spain's Real Madrid.
Timberwolves fans will recall that Mr. Rakocevic occupied a uniform with the Hometown Five in 2003. He was probably the biggest joke in the history of the franchise (well, one of them, there have been a lot). He was supposed to be a backup point guard. Problem was, he wasn't good enough to be a backup point guard for the Gophers. He did nothing to help the franchise while he was here, and that continues to today.|W|P|112757310036848754|W|P|Fun in Timberland|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/24/2005 08:20:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Chicago -210, Minnesota 185. The Twins are mathematically eliminated, but the races are on fire. So is the SBG comtest. There's still time to get in. If not, SBG will have a contest for the playoffs!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Be sure to check that out. Also, SBG, The Mag will be entering the world of audioblogging soon! More fun and games.|W|P|112756962349085887|W|P|Sat's Game|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/23/2005 11:07:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|
PlayerFRWBEMAACTWJTEBSBGGEBREDCHCAPHDEPANMAMR
Points7837677565472155106-35-205-235-503-856
That's right, our buddy FRW is in the lead.|W|P|112753504782483123|W|P|We Have a New Leader|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/24/2005 01:08:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Regis, I think I'll stop now and keep the 783 dollars.9/23/2005 07:02:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I got the Twins tonight. Update: Now that the game has started, here are the entrants tonight. FRW: Sox CHC: Sox TWJ: Sox SBG: Twins RED: Twins|W|P|112752015400040328|W|P|The Slide Continues|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/23/2005 07:16:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Chicago -160, Minnesota 145. I have updated the contest below. AAC has made a big push and is threatening the lead long held by BEM. FRW is right there, too. TWJ is in striking distance.|W|P|112747787708180106|W|P|Friday Night|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/23/2005 03:47:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|Hot damn9/22/2005 10:32:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Good Evening, SBG Fans. Here are tonight�s topics. Discuss among yourselves. 1. Last week, I talked about luck. In that article, I postulated that the White Sox have been extremely lucky this year, while the Indians have been unlucky. Tonight, as the Indians continue to move up on the White Sox, starting tonight just 2.5 games behind the Pale Hose. As I write this, Cleveland is leading the Royals 4-1 and the White Sox and Twins are scoreless. I thought that I�d check out the expected wins again and see if there have been any changes. Boy, have there ever been changes.
TeamActualPWP2nd Order PWP3rd Order PWP
WLWLWLWL
Chicago916083.467.679.371.779.171.9
Cleveland896389.962.093.458.691.560.5
Minnesota777478.572.479.072.079.771.3
Look at that. The third order PWP has Cleveland with an expected 12 game lead over the White Sox. And the Twins are expected to be one game above the White Sox! Instead the Twins are a full 14 games behind. This is absolutely unbelievable. Will the Sox�s run of luck end? Maybe it is right now. 2. The Giants had it right there in front of them today. The Padres had already lost and they were facing former Twin Hector Carrasco. Bonds didn�t play today, and the Giants didn�t score. The Padres lead remains at five. 3. The Contest. As it gets down to the end, the contest has changed.
BEMAACFRWTWJTEBSBGREDGEBCHCAPHDEPANMAMR
7677566834472151511060-135-205-235-503-856
BEM has been in the lead forever. And she still is. But, AAC is only 11 points behind her in second place. And FRW (wonder who that is?) is in third, just 84 points back. It�s going to be tight until the end. TWJ still has a shot, as does TEB and maybe SBG. Heck, there are a lot of people still in the running. Friends, there are more than 10 games left in the season. If you want to get in, there�s still time!!!!! 4. AL Central update. The Twins and White Sox battled all night. Johan Santana shut down the White Sox again, allowing one run in eight innings. Jacque Jones homered. After eight, it was 1-1. The Twins mounted a threat in the ninth. With runners on first and third, Jacque Jones hit a two out chopper over the mound. Instead of running through the bag, in which case he might have been safe, he slid into first, and was out. I�ve just about jumped through the screen several times when Nick Punto when he slid into first this year. And now, at this point, Jones does it. F@#$. Santana with another no decision. Rincon loads the bases with one out in the ninth, but wriggles out. The Twins finally get some runs. And Chicago is looking like a loser. Hoo boy. Can you believe it???? Cleveland had a big lead, and frittered it away. But, they came back. They look like a winner late. The lead is just 1.5 games. Hey Bat-Girl, there was a reason why I told you to take the abuse in stride. Here the Twins are, putting the hurt on the Chisox late. 5. Yankees win. They open a one game lead over the Red Sox. The Red Sox are right behind Cleveland, just 1.5 behind the Wild Card leader. Of course, the Red Sox are just 3 games behind the White Sox. Can the White Sox actually miss the playoffs? Sound off on what you think.|W|P|112744677734472609|W|P|Thursday Night Thoughts|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/22/2005 07:04:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Johan is the man. Whities continue to fade.|W|P|112743394830359385|W|P|I Got the Twins|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/22/2005 10:31:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -170, Chicago +155|W|P|112740313617342384|W|P|Chisox Game on Thursday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/21/2005 09:28:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Our boys are out, but the playoff chase is hotter than a Saturday Night Special. 1. Boston loses, NY wins, and the Yankees are in first place. Randy Johnson pitches 8 innings allows 8 hits and one run. Matt Lawton hits a two run homer in a 2-1 victory... And ESPN.COM has Derek Jeter's face on the front page. God, I hate that. But, he�s the face of the Yankees, right? 2. It's Cleveland big over the Sox. The lead is 2 1/2 for the Sox. Cleveland has one game over the Sox. Baseball in September is the best thing ever. The situation changes from day to day. The situation changes from day-to-day. I still think the Sox have a chance to miss the playoffs. But, which Sox? Red or White? 3. Barry F'n Bonds went yard again today, and the Giants win. The Padres appear to be holding pace. This race isn�t all that close really, it�s all about Barry Bonds. Seriously, Barry F@#$ing Bonds. How�s he doing with a year off, three knee surgeries, no spring training, in the middle of the pennant race with the entire baseball watching his every move? AB R H 2B HR RBI BB SO AVE OBP SLG OPS 22 5 7 1 4 6 5 5 .318 .429 .909 1.338 He�s now just seven home runs from Ruth. Everyone talked about how he was going to face boos on the road. Remember how Raffy Palmeiro put the ear plugs in and basically shut it down? Bonds, defiant as always, practically welcomed the boos. He said, they�re supposed to boo me. I�m good. The boos cascaded down until he plunked a pitch into the upper deck. For an encore, he did it again today. I hope all of you recognize and appreciate the absolute greatness. Forget about the steroid talk. The guy is 41, hasn�t played for a year, and he picks up right where he left off. I don�t care what any one thinks. I don�t care what the pissants in the media say. He�s the best player alive. Set aside your feelings about him and appreciate and respect his greatness. 4. The Twins opened a huge can of whoopass on the A�s, avoiding a sweep. Mike Cuddyer was 4-4 with 3 2Bs and an HR. Scott Baker won again, and pitched all right. Liriano�s outing the other night wasn�t great, but it wasn�t terrible, even if he gave up 6 runs. 5. If you note above, I�m now a proud member of the pocket protector brigade. 6. I was watching CNN tonight and saw a plane land with its front landing gear wheels perpendicular to the back wheels. The pilot landed the plane right in the center of the runway. The front wheels basically burned up, but nothing bad happened. They were talking to the pilot who crash landed the plane in Sioux City 16 years ago and saved most of the people on that flight. I remember that night vividly. I went to the Twins game that night and Joe Carter hit three home runs and Albert (then Joey) Belle hit his first major league home run. The Twins got killed tonight, but that was one of the most incredible games I ever saw. Then, I got back to my hotel room and to hear about how the pilot had been able to save that plane without any hydraulics. The three homeruns didn�t seem that incredible anymore. That�s all for tonight. Time for bed.|W|P|112736092046378175|W|P|Wednesday Night Fever|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/22/2005 07:24:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I think you've forgotten that Jeter was promoted to Face of Baseball... and Creator of All Things Fine and Beautiful.9/22/2005 08:39:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Believe me, I haven't forgotten.9/21/2005 01:39:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Oakland -147, Minnesota +137|W|P|112732804839651424|W|P|Wednesday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/21/2005 09:36:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Damn, if I'd listened to my gut, I could've taken all 3 games in the series; but I don't like betting on prospects just up from the minors, and I particularly hate the feeling of betting against Liriano to get his first W. Betting on Zito to beat Radke, though, no problem! So I'll have to settle for the one payday in this set.9/20/2005 09:04:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|1. Going into Tuesday night, the Twins have held the opposition to two runs or fewer 47 times. They've won 34 of those games, a .723 winning percentage. The league average is a .855 winning percentage. The Twins .723 percentage is the worst in the league. Obviously, the Twins (and everyone else) win every game that they shut out their opponent. The Twins have held their opponents to one or two runs 40 times. They have won 27 of those games, a .675 winning percentage, by far the lowest percentage in the league (Colorado is second at .714). 2. Going into Tuesday night, the Twins are 5-42 in games in which they have scored two runs or less. Only 5 teams have a worse winning percentage in games in which they have scored two or fewer runs. I would have expected that the Twins would be a little better than that. Here's a shocker, seven teams have more games with two or fewer runs. Of course, six are in the NL and the other is Kansas City. 3. Barry Bonds hit his third homerun of the season tonight. After seven games, he has 19 at bats and is hitting .316/.417/.842/1.259. Sure it's only one week, but how many players can spend a full year without seeing live pitching and can come out and look like that? The Giants are five games out and have four left with the Padres. 4. The Twins offense is completely broken. They've actually, going into tonight's games, scored the fewest number of runs in the AL. I was reading over at Twins Territory and at other locations discussion of a potential Hunter trade. Obviously, I'm for trying to deal Hunter. I'm also in favor of making more deals. The free agent market appears slim and frankly, I'm not all that interested in the free agents that the Twins have signed recently (think Juan Castro). The only way I see this team improving is through trades. 5. Jason Tyner tonight made a throw from right field tonight that missed both cut off men, allowing a run to score from first. Bert made a comment that the coaching staff is irritated that some players are "going through the motions." Heh. I doubt that a guy like Tyner, who is trying to get back to the majors is "going through the motions." And besides, we've seen throws miss the cutoff man from wherever Jacque Jones has been playing for years. 6. I'm not ready to get on the Culpepper sucks bandwagon. I'll humbly submit that an NFL quarterback needs more coaching than any other athlete in team sports. I think Daunte has a lot of talent, but he needs coaching. And, pardon me if I think that the head doofus isn't quite up to the task. 7. That Chicago/Cleveland series is take no prisoners. Cleveland has just scored in the ninth to tie the game at six. Man, each team needs this game. Both Boston and New York won tonight. If Cleveland wins, they will be just 1.5 games back and a 1.5 game lead in the Wild Card over the Yankees. If they lose, they'll be 2.5 out in the Central and only 0.5 games ahead of the Yankees. On the other hand, if Chicago loses, they'll be only 3 games ahead of the Yankees and 1.5 over the Indians. And boy will the throats be getting tight. Last night's game was down to the wire. More of the same tonight. Chicago pulls it out. 8. Colorado hung 20 runs on San Diego tonight. They have had one of the worst offenses in the game. Sure it was in Denver, but they got 15 in the first three innings. San Diego? Well they got one run and dropped a game to the Giants. 9. David Ortiz had two more home runs tonight, giving him 46 for the year. Manny Ramirez had two home runs, too. It was a laugher tonight in Tampa Bay. 10. I wonder what A-Rod's career numbers will look like. At just 30 years old, he has 426 home runs and 1887 hits. If he stays healthy, 4000 hits is not completely out of the question. Neither is 800 home runs. You wonder at what point, people will stop focusing on his contract, stop saying "he'll never be Derek Jeter" (please!), and start to enjoy his greatness. I hate that he plays for the Yankees. But, there's no denying his singular talent. 11. In the fourth inning, with the A's leading 2-1, and with runners on 1st and 2nd, the A's did not bunt. If you remember, it was this situation with LeCroy on second and Ford at the plate earlier in the season when Ford didn't execute the bunt and was benched. So what happened tonight? The hitter reached on an infield single. Checking the old expected runs matrix, with the bases loaded and no one out, the A's could expect 2.3354 runs and at least one run 86.1% of the time. Let's see what Liriano can do. Struck out the first batter. Struck out the second batter. Two run single. And that's it for the night. The A's got another two run single. Four runs with two outs. Had the A's bunted, not a single run would have scored. This is why Oakland doesn't bunt. They play for the big inning. At 6-1, the game is now blown wide open. 12. Liriano wasn't what you would call brilliant tonight. He threw a lot of pitches early. Santana used to do the same thing. Throw a lot of pitches. It was when Santana got his pitch counts down that he became the best pitcher in the league. 13. I was going to write about Souhan's latest column, in which he denigrates Randy Moss. Instead, I'll let you read it and point out the problems with the conclusions made by Mr. Souhan. You see, Souhan went on the record as saying that things would be a lot better without Moss around. It's becoming apparent how ridiculous that position is. But, Souhan, who has been on quite a losing streak lately, apparently says he's wrong about as often as a certain former governor of Texas. So, instead of saying, hey, maybe the Vikings made a real mistake here, he rips Moss. Says Souhan:
Don't listen to the TV shills who tell you that two teams -- the Oakland Raiders and the Vikings -- will be defined by Moss this season. That's the easy story from the booth. It's the wrong story in the real world, where sport can be inexplicable and more than talent counts.
He then goes on to talk about Cris Carter and how this is the guy the Vikings really miss. Cris Carter is 40 years old. We miss Jim Marshall, Alan Page and Chuck Foreman, too. His discussion about the records of Vikings of the pre-Moss Carter years, the Moss-Carter years, and the post-Carter Moss years are supposed to be evidence that Carter was a winner and Moss is a "spectacular loser." To take this as evidence for Souhan's conclusion requires that all else be equal. Anyone who knows anything about the Vikings under Red McCombs knows that everything -- players, coaches, facilities, all were done on the cheap. The franchise was allowed to deteriorate -- and that embarassment is proof in Souhan's mind that Moss is a loser. I'm tired of this hack. From this point forward, I resolve not to discuss his half baked columns again.|W|P|112727682190427880|W|P|News and Notes|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/21/2005 03:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I've grown to despise sports analysis which pushes the idea that results on the field are a reflection of character. It may be that some guys who work hard are rewarded for their dedication to improving their game; but then some guys work hard and still bat .220 for a team that was out of the race by Memorial Day.

Moss is a HOF receiver. Maybe it was his time to leave Minnesota, but anyone who said the Vikings could replace that kind of talent with Travis Taylor, Nate Burleson, and healthy doses of Good Character was just trying to kid you, if not kid himself.

I don't necessarily root for the Bad Boyz. Some, like Ray Lewis, don't deserve to be celebrated. But Randy Moss ain't no Ray Lewis. Nothin' he's done that one of Dubya or Jeb's kids hasn't also done. ;)

On Culpepper: it's not Daunte's fault that his line can't block, he doesn't have a decent backfield to keep the defenses honest, and he's lost the great deep threat who could stretch out the secondary. Through 2 games, the Vikings' leading rusher has 35 yards on 9 carries--and that includes one run of 23 yards. Daunte is like Custer out there.9/21/2005 08:22:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|SBG: One, I hear that Liriano's throwing motion means he'll blow a shoulder mid-season. I did not get a chance to witness myself so is that true? That he just strong arms the ball without using his body?

Agree about Souhan. He tries so hard to be witty and it comes across as contrived. I'm sick of him. I still like Reusse but even Pat's efforts are half-baked. Reusse's stuff of late starts out great and then never has a "finish". I think he is just biding his time until retirement.

FW: I love the Custer line! Is that copyrighted already or can I quote you!?!?9/21/2005 09:24:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss' observations:

According to the Gardentool, the Twins are just unlucky and a few of those low-scoring losses could just as easily have been wins. Right.

The Twins clearly have the worst offense in the AL. The Royals have had to face the Twins' pitching staff for about 15 games so far, while in exchange the Twins have gotten to face the miserable Royals pitchers for those games. If the Twins batters would have to face the Twins pitchers, it would be even uglier than it already is.

SBG, did you see A-Rod's upper-deck, opposite-field shot last nite? Unreal.... The Ortiz homer(s) and the Bonds homer were also bombs, but they were pulled. A-Rod just demolished the pitch without fully turning on it.

One final thing -- did you see that AJ Pierzynski stepped on the back of the Indians' third baseman as he rounded the bag? It may not have been intentional, but he certainly didn't try too hard to avoid it and his foot hit squarely on the guy's back.9/21/2005 12:18:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Without commenting directly on the loss of the Moss threat, I think it is pretty hard to throw deep when your line cannot even block the front 4. Likewise, your running game isn't going anywhere if your line cannot generate some push.

I didn't see the Cincy game, but certainly against Tampa, the rookie Johnson and center Withrow looked overmatched.

BTW, how did Bowyer look last night? The game was not on local broadcast out here (I'm too cheap to pay for real cable) in the "extended" Bay Area. I saw that he threw quite a few pitches (38 over 8 PA).9/21/2005 01:30:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|COD: I'd be thrilled to be quoted on Vikings Underground!

Hey, Moss: you know the offense is sure to be fine next year, because if Gardy has his way, the lineup will have... more speed! Just what the doctor ordered, no?9/21/2005 01:36:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|BrianS -- Didn't see the end of the game last night. The line was much better the second game.

Moss -- didn't see A-Rod's shot. He's always had a lot of power to the opposite field.

COD -- Reusse is uneven. Sometimes he's great, sometimes he sucks. He's my favorite TC sports columnist, though.

FW -- I agree. I think Randy Moss could have done a lot to help his image by smiling more and spouting some cliches in the media like a lot of guys do. Instead, he gives a glimpse of who he is. To me he seems naive, uncomfortable in front of the camera, and although he's cocky, I don't think he really appreciates what he has in terms of talent. I find him interesting and I think watching him play football is thrilling.9/21/2005 01:45:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|FW: I heard that last night. More speed. Maybe Tyner can lead off all season. Pretty please, can Nick Punto hit second? That way, when Mauer has 60 RBIs in the three hole, we can say, well, Mauer's just not a good RBI guy.9/21/2005 02:39:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|FW: Indeed. Tool will have Tyner be the everyday LF, leading off. Tyner, he who is seeking his first ML homerun after 700+ ABs, all as an outfielder. Ugh.9/21/2005 03:11:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Item number 5: Bert's comment related to Jacques Jones missing both cutoff men. And he is the biggest culprit gong through the motions. Mised fly balls, diving for a ball that he had no choice for on Monday (it ended up bouncing off his head) throwing into the ground a few feet in front of him (five times since the all-star break), overthrowing everything, etc. It's clear that he is not motivated by free agency. Instead he's letting his poor hitting follow him out in the field.

That's not to say that Ford and Tyner were great last night either. They both missed cutoff men after Bert's comment.9/21/2005 03:50:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Was it Jones who prompted that comment? I thought at the time it was Tyner, but later I wasn't sure.

Jones has thrown like that for years. I pointed it out repeatedly last season as well. I don't think it's a lack of effort, he just doesn't have a consistent release point. Maybe it's a lack of effort in that he hasn't worked on it to improve his accuracy.

Yeah, the whole outfield stunk. Ford's dropping of a fly ball was terrible. I wonder about Ford sometimes. Is he too laid back? Or is he wound too tight? I don't know.9/21/2005 08:03:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|SBG, your guy The Common Man Dan Cole thought that Souhan wrote a pretty good column today.

Moss wonders who to believe....9/21/2005 09:20:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Moss -- I was driving back from a client meeting and I heard that. He also thought that the Moss trade was a good deal. He did say that they shouldn't have just given Moss away, but I have a hard time with the records as evidence nonsense. Carter left, Robert Smith was gone, and Tice came in. The defense went deeply south. All of this is apparently Moss' fault. I'd go with me, Moss.9/22/2005 04:32:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I looked up the Vikes' records at Football-Reference yesterday, and noticed just what you said, SBG. The last time the Vikings were any good, they had Robert Smith rushing for 1500 yards, Carter and Moss combined for 2700 yards, and Tice wasn't the head coach. Huh! Who knew that the team got so far only on the strength of Cris Carter's good character, though?

It's as if the local media learned nothing from the revelations of Kirby Puckett's private character. A player smiles, cooperates with the media, and talks about how he's all about The Team, and the reporters still just eat it up.9/22/2005 09:52:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Right on FW. But, you know, it's about more than math. Apparently, it's about unsupportable opinion.

-SBG, Charter Member of the Pocket Protector Brigade9/20/2005 09:04:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'll take the Twins.|W|P|112726828306756271|W|P|Tuesday Night|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/20/2005 01:44:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota +158, Oakland -173.|W|P|112724190679286415|W|P|Nice Round Numbers|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/19/2005 09:01:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Well, the possibility of trading Torii Hunter has got the Twins faithful talking. Aaron Gleeman, blogfather of this site, points out that Hunter's been a pretty good player over the past several years. Aaron points out that Hunter has had an average VORP of 32 runs over the last several years offensively. (VORP, or value over replacement player, is the number of runs a player creates over a replacement level player at that position with the same number of at bats. A team of replacement level players wins about 45 games.) How many players do you think are on pace for a VORP of 32 in 2005? 10? 20? Try 90. In other words, on average, every team has three players as good or better than Hunter offensively. But, is Hunter really a 32 VORP player? Certainly not over the life of his contract. In 2002, the season before Hunter signed his four year, $32 million contract, Hunter had a VORP of 50.8. If you remember correctly, Hunter had 20 home runs at the break. Sure, Hunter had tailed off a little in the second half, but Hunter looked for all the world like someone who was poised to break out into a superstar status. The Twins decided to lock him up for four years. Three years later, Hunter has had seasons of 19.8, 31.2, and 23.8 VORP, an average of 24.9 VORP. How many players in 2005 had a VORP better than 24.9 VORP? 110. Now, the Twins are poised to pay Hunter $10.75 million in 2006. Aaron characterized Hunter a little overpaid. By a little overpaid, he means about $4 million in 2006. And that's if you consider Hunter a 32 VORP player (with 15-20 VORP because of his defense). At 50 VORP, Aaron calculates his value at $6 million. Add in some intangibles related to his popularity, and Aaron pegs his value at $6.5-7 million. Now, subtract the 7 runs over replacement (32 to 25) that Hunter has actually performed over the life of his contract and project that to 2006, and you can subtract about $1 million fron Hunter's value. At $5.5-6 million of value, Hunter is due to be overpaid by about $5 million. Add in the $2 million buyout for 2007, and keeping Hunter for 2006 will require that the Twins overpay Hunter by about $7 million. When you consider that the Twins have a total payroll of $58 million, fully 12% or 1/8th of the Twins payroll in 2006 will be wasted by overpaying Hunter. But, SBG, Hunter is a leader. As Top Jimmy says, "It's about more than math." Friends, even Bat-Girl, who is an unabashed fan of Mr. Hunter, has admitted: "there's clearly been conflict between Torii and some of the new players." Indeed, Hunter (in)famously called out Morneau and Mauer for not playing through injuries in June, about the time that the Twins started their fade. I'm not about to blame Hunter for other players' failures. I don't believe in that. But, let's say I'm wrong. Let's say that leadership matters. I submit, that Hunter's conflicts with younger players have, if anything, caused problems. I'm much more inclined to lay those issues at the feet of the manager, but I'm not going to give Hunter credit for this amorphous "leadership" that he gets elsewhere. Reminds me of the "leadership" with which Jeter is credited. If Hunter was making $5 or $6 or even $7 million, I'd never advocate trading him. But at $10.75 million plus a $2 million buyout? That's way too much for the Twins. Here's the thing that Aaron points out. Hunter is actually worth more to a team like the Yankees than that Twins. The Yanks desperately need a center fielder next year. I'm not too excited about anything the Yanks have to offer -- a trade would need a third or fourth team to complete the deal to bring the type of players that the Twins need -- young, talented, and relatively inexpensive. And perhaps the Twins will need to package players (Lohse?) to make it happen. There is no doubt, however, that the Twins need to explore this trade. If Hunter can net the Twins two or three good players, that would be a hell of a good deal. The Twins have shown this year that their problem is a lack of quality players up and down their lineup. Look, three players at 20 VORP would be a net increase over Hunter, especially when you consider that the Twins have basically a replacement level player at 2B and about 10 VORP at 3B. Put Ford in center, get an infielder and an outfielder and/or a DH, and the Twins will be better off. The bottom line? I'm not emotional about players. I got over that when the Twins traded Frank Viola. I was absolutely livid when the Twins did that. I shut my mouth when Kevin Tapani and Rick Aguilera were key cogs in the 1991 World Championship just a year and a half later. When the Twins traded Chuck Knoblauch, undoubtedly their best player at the time, they laid the groundwork for the resurgance over the last five years. Contrast my attitude with Top Jimmy's. He says the Twins shouldn't even consider trading Hunter. Why? Top Jimmy lists twelve reasons. Reason #1: He's a winning player on a team with too few of them. SBG's response: 110 players have a better VORP this year than Hunters 3-year VORP average. Reason #2: He's a fierce competitor on a team with too few of them. SBG's response: Yeah, no one else on this team is a competitor. Not Santana. Not Nathan. Not Mauer. This is a BS reason. Reason #3: He's a marketable personality on a team with too few of them. SBG's response: No player has affected attendance over the last two years than Johan Santana. Reason #4: He made the diving, eyebrow-singing catch that saved a victory over Oakland and started the Twins on their 2003 second-half run. SBG's response: The Twins second half run in 2003 was all about pitching. Yes, Hunter has made some great catches over the years. No doubt. But, this is ridiculous. The Twins won in 2003 because Santana, and Radke were lights out in the second half. Before the All-Star break in 2003, the Twins had a staff ERA of 4.74. After the All-Star break, the Twins had a staff ERA of 3.96. But, hey, a single play probably changed everything. Whatever. Reason #5: He sank the White Sox in 2004 by demolishing their catcher on a play at the plate. Chicago wasn't heard from again. SBG's response: That was a helluva play, not doubt. Perhaps that got inside the White Sox' head. But, the Twins also had the best pitching staff in the AL last year. They were 10th in the AL in runs scored. The Twins have won because of their pitching staff. Reason #6: You know he cares. SBG's response: This is the kind of crap that has elevated Jeter in the media from a very good player to an all-time great, despite all evidence that he's not even the best shortstop on his team. Reason #7: You know he'll play hurt. SBG's response: See above. Reason #8: You know if the pennant is on the line and he has to crack a rib to make a catch, he'll crack a rib. SBG's response: See above. Reason #9: He's one of your best base stealers. SBG's response: This is true. He's one of the team's best base stealers. But, how important is this? Over the last two years, he's been successful about 75% of the time. That's about a break even percentage. Anything less than that and stealing bases is a losing proposition. I won't even mention that he got thrown out 54% of the time in 2003. (Oh wait. I did mention it.) Reason #9: He takes his leadership role seriously enough that he routinely goes into the training room to rally sore teammates back to the field. SBG's response: HaHa! I'm pretty sure that Justin Morneau and Joe Mauer said F@#$ that when they read it in the paper. Reason #10: He is the face of the franchise, the player kids want to be, the guy who symbolized the Twins' resurgence with his All-Star Game robbery of Barry Bonds. SBG's response: What does this have to do with winning games? Nonsensical. Yes, Hunter made a nice catch in the 2002 All-Star game. How has he done in the All-Star game since then? Oh yeah, nothing. Why? Because he hasn't been good enough to make the All-Star game since. Hunter is untouchable because he's a symboll? Yeah, and the earth is 6000 years old. Dinosaurs never existed. Reason #11: The Twins are in desperate need of righthanded production. Hunter is their most productive righthanded hitter. Trade him and you'd better get three good or two great righthanded bats in return, or you're treading water. SBG's response: The Twins need two great right handed bats in return? Hunter is a good right handed bat. Not great. I figure a couple of good players can be netted because he's an excellent defensive player and the Yankees are willing to overpay. But, does Top Jimmy actually think that Hunter is worth two great bats? Did I mention that 110 players have a better VORP this year than Hunter's three year average? Great? Equal to two great bats? Jimmy, are you Hunter's agent? Hunter's career OPS+ is 99, slightly below average (average is 100). Yet, we need to get two great bats to replace him or we're treading water? Reason #12: You never really know how new players will react in your clubhouse. SBG's response: Yeah, you wouldn't want someone who clashed with the young guys. For example, you wouldn't want some a-hole ripping the future of the franchise in the paper. That wouldn't be cool. Top Jimmy took a swipe at people like me, who have advocated in blogs to consider a Hunter trade. My position has been that the Twins should trade Hunter because he could bring value. I'd love to see them move Stewart, too, but that's going to be tougher, because he's not nearly the value that Hunter is. As I pointed out under an assumed name at Bat-Girl, the Twins have done quite well trading good players such as Frank Viola and Chuck Knoblauch. A trade like this could really propel the Twins forward to compete against a very good and young Cleveland team in 2006. Jimmy's swipe?
You can make a mathematical argument that he should go, but -- sorry to tell this to the pocket-protector crowd -- math isn't everything. (Uh-oh. The Internet nerd who knows Hunter hits only .183 with runners in scoring position when the Dow Jones industrial average slips below 10,000 is about to send me a nasty e-mail.)
Cute Jimmy. In my engineering career, I dealt with people like Jimmy all the time. People who don't understand numbers are afraid of them. People afraid of thinking differently ridicule those who are willing to consider all possible solutions. I've learned a few things about numbers and statistics outside of the baseball world. The baseball world has changed. Statistical analysis has changed the way people look at baseball. Some people choose to use statistics to guide them. Others say things like "you know he cares." Top Jimmy does address the fact that Hunter's approach at the plate is less than great. Jimmy's analysis?
Yes, [Hunter] swings at bad pitches. You know what? So does almost everybody else. Sometimes we Minnesotans become so focused on our teams that we fail to recognize that the game's greatest players flounder, too. If they didn't, Barry Bonds would hit .400 every year.
This is delicious. Even Bonds doesn't hit .400. Yeah, all he did last year was get on base 60.9% of the time, a record. His line? .362/.609/.812/1.421. The year before? .341/.529/.749/1.278. The year before that? .370/.582/.799/1.381. The year before that? .328/.515/.863/1.379. Yep. Bonds has really floundered. By the way, Bonds' average VORP from 2002-04 was 134. But, forget about Bonds, he's one of the two or three best hitters of all time. Hunter flounders more than the average bear. In fact, Hunter's career on base percentage is .319, .012 below the league average in that span. Why is he that far below average? Because he has no plate discipline. None. What about over the life of his contract? In 2003, he was .025 below the average. In 2004, he was .011 below the average. In 2005, he was .008 above the average. In other words, when it comes to getting base, our soon to be $10.75 million man was just a little below average over the life of his contract.|W|P|112719058580528487|W|P|Hunter Trade Talk|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/20/2005 12:23:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Yeah, but he's got sweet cheeks.9/20/2005 04:25:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|You'd think it should get harder for the Luddites to dismiss sabermetrics since the true believers at Yawkey Way won the World Series last year. I wonder how Jimmy might explain why Cleveland and Oakland are better than the traditionalist Twins this year, too.9/20/2005 09:12:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I've never been a huge Hunter fan, but I've always liked him. At the beginning of the year, I couldn't have imagined Torii gone. But he's gone right now, and we're no worse off, as far as standings go. I think in the last couple of months, Santana and Silva have become the Faces of the Twins: the leaders, the clubhouse comraderie guys, etc. I think Torii lost his best friends, was upset about it, and was (probably subconsciously) taking it out on the replacement guys. Mauer replaced AJ, Morneau replaced Mientkiewicz, and those were the guys Hunter grew up with (Cuddyer probably escaped because he's been around a few more years).

Should Hunter be traded? Dunno, but there's no outstanding reason why he's untouchable, either. And it hurts to say that.9/20/2005 09:25:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I thought Frank Viola was absolutely untouchable. He was my favorite player. I screamed about that trade for months on end. I was wrong. The lesson I learned was that almost no one is untouchable. I was sad to see Frankie go. He still remains one of my favorite all time Twins. But, I'm sure glad the Twins made that trade.9/20/2005 11:25:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Your wisdom is only rivaled by that of King Solomon of old. Plato, Socrates, Kant, Mill, Aristole, Hobbes, and Decartes all pale in comparison to thee.9/20/2005 11:34:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|This is tremendously solid; backing up with the numbers everything I have suspected about Hunter ever since I got into baseball stats early last year. Souhan's commentary shows ignorance ... this analysis is top drawer.

RTBinFFM9/19/2005 07:31:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Oakland -180, Minnesota 160. None of the leaders in the contest made any entries this weekend so the standings at least at the top remain about the same. The Twins can play spoiler again this week. I'd rather see Oakland in there than LA, but I don't care all that much. Cleveland has been playing extremely well lately. It's hard to ever count out the Yanks. It will be fun to watch the final couple of weeks unfold.|W|P|112713363466407978|W|P|Spoiler|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/18/2005 09:44:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|The Twins lose 2-1 for the eleventh time this season. The Vikings get totally embarassed humiliated by Cincinnati 37-8. The much improved defense gives up 504 yards. It would have been a lot more, if the Bengals hadn't had about 20 penalties. Daunte Culpepper, who is listed as player of the game at cbs.sportsline.com fired five interceptions. He has ten turnovers in two games. I get the feeling that my Sundays will be free a lot this fall.|W|P|112709834189770830|W|P|Joy and Sunshine|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/19/2005 07:38:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.9/19/2005 07:39:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Twenty-one losses when giving up three runs or fewer, by Moss' count. Ugh.

Punto gave away two runs yesterday, one on the bases and one in the field. Made an enormous difference in the game. But he didn't get yanked. Lew messes up a bunt and gets yanked on the spot. 'Tool has lost this team completely. Moss can't take it anymore.9/19/2005 08:50:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|Just when you think Gardy is in the most precarious position of head coaches in MN, Tice comes along and makes him look good.

I think Punto's playing himself out of starting next year. Who do we have for 2b prospects?9/19/2005 02:07:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|The Tool loves Punto. If TR doesn't sign a veteran starter to play 2B next year, I think Rodriguez or Maza would need to have an amazing spring training to take that job.9/19/2005 02:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|SBG: I need a lawyer to sue Mike Tice for not delivering what he promised. And the Bengals for Assault & Battery. And Michael Bennett for not disclosing he is not a football player. And Bud Grant for leaving when he did. And Drew Pearson for pushing off.

I think I have a case.9/19/2005 03:37:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I think the statute of limitations has run on the Drew Pearson thing. I'm thinking Bud is golden, too. Some of those other things look actionable, though.9/19/2005 03:38:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I said it before the season started, I'll say it again.

The Vikes will go nowhere with Mike Tice in charge.

TEB9/19/2005 10:42:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|If COD's case can be turned into a class action lawsuit I am willing to join as a plantiff.

Did I say that right? Regardless, I'm itching to take someone to court, mainly for false advertising.9/19/2005 11:49:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|You said that right.9/18/2005 10:39:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Chicago -106, Minnesota -104. Almost, but not quite, pick 'em. Do you think the Chisox are feeling a little tight these days? With a 3 1/2 game lead over Cleveland and a four game lead over the Yanks, it is at least possible that they won't make it. They still are an overwhelming favorite -- at 93% they have the best chance in the AL -- but today, they have their lowest chance since Aug. 24. And their chance of winning the AL Central? Just 67.4%, their lowest since June 22. Coincidentally, it was back on June 23 when I gave my ill-received advice to Bat-Girl with regards to White Sox fans who may have been taunting her readers. I said:
Here's my advice. Laugh it off. Admit that the bad guys are just playing better and our guys have not done it this year. Accept a little sass back. That's what good sports do. They take it when the other guy is dishing. At some point, maybe even later this year, the shoe will be on the other foot. And it will be time for a little "Sass" for the South Siders.
Emphasis added. We'll see how it turns out. Just a blip on the radar screen? Or a total collapse? We'll all be watching, for sure.|W|P|112705800825781067|W|P|Sunday|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/18/2005 05:58:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Since Cleveland has 6 games remaining with Chicago, they stand a decent chance of completing a miracle run to capture the division flag. But it all might be for nothing but bragging rights, anyway, since the White Sox are really in competition with the Yankees at this point. As long as Chicago holds that 5-game lead over New York (with 14 to play), they're in.

I know you like the .500 Projection game, SBG, so here goes: if Chicago plays .500 ball the rest of the way, they will finish with 97 wins. New York would have to finish with a 12-2 run just to tie, in that case. Even if Chicago collapses to a 4-10 record the rest of the way, the Yankees still would have to win 9 of 14 to tie. I doubt the ChiSox will win only 4 games the rest of the way. I look for them to win at least 6 more (with 4-game sets against Detroit and Minnesota, plus the 6 games with Cleveland), and that should be good enough to hold off even Mystique and Aura. I hope.9/18/2005 09:24:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Well said. The Sox are still in control, and a win today didn't hurt their cause.

Certainly, I'd rather see the White Sox and Indians in over the Yanquis. Most of all, I want to see an exciting race to the end.9/17/2005 11:08:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|It's hard to pick against Santana. He's the best pitcher in the league. However, I see that lineup, the huge line on Santana (-210) and I have to think, do I want to win this contest or not? I do. So, I'll breath deep and take the Sox today, even though Santana has absolutley owned them this year.|W|P|112697343280257270|W|P|My Saturday Pick|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/17/2005 05:07:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|DOH!

You shoulda known better than to bet against El Presidente.9/17/2005 08:17:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Yeah, what a dumb move on my part.9/17/2005 07:25:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Early game. Minnesota -210, Chicago +185.|W|P|112695999061231167|W|P|Saturday Morning|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/16/2005 09:58:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Look friends, the contest is updated!
PlayerBEMFRWTEBTWJAACSBGGEBREDCHCAPHDEPANMAMR
Points7675834153473192510-27-135-205-235-503-756
Friday Night: Picked the Chisox: SBG,TWJ,CHC,RED <-- Won 100 Picked the Twins: TEB,AMR <-- Lost 100 Oh yeah. The Twins lost 2-1 for the tenth time this year. Sigh.|W|P|112692662368435601|W|P|Contest Update|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/16/2005 07:10:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm taking the Chisox tonight.|W|P|112691584663136827|W|P|I've got the Bad Guys|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/16/2005 07:53:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Chisox -120, Minnesota +110. Well, the season is winding down. What was once seen as a potentially pivotal series is now a play out the string moment. Fall is now upon us, and baseball-wise, it was a summer of unfulfilled expectations. Some will no doubt say that the Twins can't compete in this economic climate. Do you believe that? I don't believe it. I think our guy TR has done a lot to compete. He is to be commended. Having said that, he's got to do more. I was listening to BP radio last night (did you hear I have a subscription?) and I heard something that I totally agree with. Loyalty is a bad trait when you run a baseball team. TR, by all accounts, is a good, decent human being. And that's great. But, unless he stops showing loyalty to guys like Rivas and Jones when it makes sense to move them, he will not do his job. In the offseason, TR needs to get serious. I'd start with the manager. When Art Howe was with the A's, they won some. Billy Beame fired him and he went to the Mets and stunk it up. In other words it wasn't the manager who was responsible for winning. As Aaron, or was it FW?, pointed out, the early signs are that the Twins won't make many moves. They'll focus on reducing attrition. They'll stay loyal. Those with an emotional attachment to (and cute nicknames for) players on the team will be pleased. I'm afraid it will be a cold winter. Update: I should read the paper more often. There is speculation today that Hunter could be traded.|W|P|112687739963564561|W|P|Chisox in Town|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/16/2005 01:25:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss hasn't read the newspaper articles, but has heard that Hunter put his MN home up for sale. The story is now on ESPN.com.9/16/2005 04:53:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|I heard TR on the radio today driving home from school and he was very reluctant to shed any light on the issue whatsoever. In the past he has shot down these types of rumors.9/15/2005 08:52:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Happy Friday, from your best buddy SBG. I don't have a good idea for a column tonight, so I thought I'd do some house cleaning. Contest Update:
PlayerBEMFRWTEBAACTWJSBGGEBREDAPHDEPCHCANMAMR
Points7675835153192471510-127-205-235-235-503-656
Wednesday: Picked the Twins: CHC, AAC, RED <-- Lost 122 Picked the Tigers: AMR <-- Won 112 I intended to pick the Twins, but I forgot to get my pick in. With 19 games left, there's a lot of room for movement. Saturday's Game I'm not sure if I'll be at the game on Saturday. I asked Lucy if she wanted to go to the game and she said:
We'll see if I make it. The Indians are now have a 83% likelihood of making the playoffs, almost exactly the same as Boston. I think the Indians are going to make and they will be a tough opponent. Unlike the Twins, they have an offense, with Travis Hafner (.962 OPS), Jhonny Peralta (.867), Victor Martinez (.834), Grady Sizemore (.830), and Coco Crisp (.814), all of which have a better OPS than the Twins' best hitter, Joe Mauer. Wouldn't be something if this team won the World Series? I think they have a real shot. That's it. That's all I've got. Have a good weekend!|W|P|112683793458282259|W|P||W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/16/2005 02:04:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I agree. If the Indians make it to the playoffs, I think they stand a better chance of winning the pennant than Chicago or the West winner.9/16/2005 04:21:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss concurs, and will be cheering for the Indians from here on out. Drew, are you on the bandwagon??9/15/2005 07:41:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Last night, I wrote about luck, the lack thereof, and so forth. I wanted to make one last point. Last year, I wrote that I wished that the AL Central were more competitive. Well, I got my wish in 2005. Unfortunately, the Twims were not. As you read the article below, imagine how much fun it would be if the Twins were fighting tooth and nail with the Indians and the White Sox. Every game would be exciting. Insteadm we are where we are. A golden opportunity to enjoy a pennant race is lost. Read on below.... SBG|W|P|112678859666069599|W|P|Luck Revisited|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/14/2005 10:54:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|"Sister luck is screaming out somebody else's name...." � The Black Crowes Just about every Twins blogger has spent a considerable amount of time bemoaning the Twins offense and with good reason. Just like a broken record, I could spout the stats to you. The Twins are 13th in the AL in Runs with 624. If the Twins had scored the league average in runs, 686, they would have an expected record of 82-63. They would be trailing Cleveland in the AL Wild Card race by 1.0 games. The Twins have the third lowest OPS in the American League at a paltry .721. If only we had some hitters that could get on base and knock the ball out of the park once in a while, we'd be a lot better off. (Side note: There is a .890 correlation between OPS and runs scored compared to a .828 correlation between AVE and Runs. That�s why we talk OPS instead of AVE. A correlation of 1 would be perfect. A correlation of -1 would be a perfect inverse relationship.) We've heard some other things, too. Everyone's favorite implement, 'tool, (in)famously cursed the Twins luck in one run games, saying that if only the result in 10 of those games were reversed in the Twins favor, things would be different. Personally, I think that's one of the stupidest things I've heard all year. At the time, the Twins were 20-20 in one run games. Old 'tool seemed to expect that the Twins should have been 30-10 in one run games or they were unlucky. In fact, the Pythagorean Winning Percentage (PWP) for the Twins right now has them with an expected record of 75-70, exactly what they are right now. That says the Twins aren�t lucky or unlucky. Forget all that talk about one run games. The Twins are right where they should be. Maybe. We�ll get back to that. What you may or may not have heard is that the White Sox have been lucky. At 88-55 before Wednesday night, the White Sox are seven games ahead of their expected record of 81-62. Just think. If the Twins had even a mediocre offense and the White Sox weren�t so damned lucky, we�d be ahead of them in the standings. My new best friend, Baseball Prospectus, (have you heard I have a subscription?) takes this whole PWP thing a step or two further. Rather than stopping with raw run totals, they go further and look at expected winning percentages (EqW, EqL) based on Equivalent Runs (EqR) and Adjusted Equivalent Runs (AEqR, AEqW, AEqL). I�m sure that right now, you are probably thinking, �SBG, what don�t you just say that the Twins have AssBats?� Why don�t I? Two reasons. One, someone else already explains it that way. Two, I think you actually might be interested in this stuff. EqR and AEqR are based off of Equivalent Average, which has a .922 correlation to runs scored. Why use these formula as opposed to plain old runs scored? Good question. EqR is a calculation that determines how many runs a team should score (or give up in the case of EqRA) based on a number of factors, including park adjustments. This formula doesn�t so much show what a team should be doing in terms of wins and losses, but rather, it shows a little bit more about luck. If a team has actually scored 500 runs, but has an EqR of 475, they�ve scored 25 more runs than they should have. That�s right, they are lucky. Using the old PWP on the EqR and EqRA numbers (known as a 2nd order PWP), the Twins should be, 75-69 going into Wednesday, exactly what they were. How about our friends the White Sox. They should be 78-65. That�s right friends. The White Sox have won 10 more games than they should have. Man, are they lucky. In fact, they are the luckiest team in the majors. AEqR and AEqRA are another adjustment that factors in the quality of opponent. Known as a 3rd order PWP, the Twins should be 75-69, exactly what they were. How about the White Sox? In a 3rd order PWP, they should be 77-66, just 2 1/2 games ahead of the Twins. It�s not so much that the Twins have been unlucky, it�s that the White Sox have been absurdly lucky. Without that luck, the Twins would be right there, right? Uh, no. Let�s add the Cleveland Indians to the mix. The records are as of the of play on Tuesday night.
TeamActualPWP2nd Order PWP3rd Order PWP
WLWLWLWL
White Sox8855816278657766
Indians8362846186598560
Twins7569756975697569
Look at that. In 2nd and 3rd Order PWP, the Indians should have a seven game lead over the White Sox. Instead, they trail by six games. It�s not just that the White Sox have been extremely lucky, it�s that the Indians have also been unlucky. Numbers like this seem to indicate that the White Sox will eventually fade either in the last couple of weeks or in the playoffs. Then again, maybe the baseball gods are smiling on the White Sox. Boston last year, White Sox this year? If the White Sox do win the World Series, I may just lay down a C-Note on the Cubs for next year. Nah. In any event, the Twins have no business complaining about luck at all. Or do they? Let�s take another look at that offense. BP predicts at the beginning of the year what they think players will do in the upcoming season. They don�t just give one number for players, they give a wide range of probabilities. They also provide a weighted mean, to account for a number of possibilities. (Note: EqA is normalized so that .260 represents an average major leaguer.)
PlayerWeighted MeanActual EqADifference
Hunter.283.271-0.12
Jones.271.260-0.11
Stewart.280.249-0.31
Cuddyer.283.247-0.36
Castro.232.2370.05
Rivas.252.218-0.34
Morneau.294.249-0.45
LeCroy.274.2750.01
Mauer.289.282-0.07
Punto.251.222-0.29
Ford.291.253-0.38
Look at that. Virtually no one had a better year than expected. Almost every key player had an EqA of at least 10 points below their weighted mean. Friends, 10 points is a lot, considering that EqA is normalized. This provides evidence that maybe the general manager isn�t at fault. Is it the hitting coach? Or is this evidence that the Twins were really unlucky in 2005? Hard to tell. But, what this does say is that this team had the potential to score a lot more runs, win a lot more games and challenge for a World Championship. Almost to a man, each and everyone of the position players failed to hit in a way that they were capable. This is more evidence to back up the assertion that this is the most disappointing Twins team of my lifetime.|W|P|112675676158020622|W|P|Luck|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/15/2005 02:19:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|That's some thorough, excellent work. I'm humbled and struck dumb. When I return to blogging on Monday, I think I'll just post some pretty pictures....9/15/2005 07:37:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Peder|W|P|For a bigger picture of the Twin's fortune, you should look at the last couple of years. I think that'll balance out your view of the Twin's luck.9/15/2005 07:58:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|There's a lot of truth in that, Peder. The Twins have outperformed and the Chisox have underperformed their PWP in each of the last three years. I intended to address that, but I didn't find 2nd and 3rd order PWPs. Plus, I forgot.

I didn't intend to cry woe is us. I wanted to show how unusual this 2005 season was. I wad going to use the word "unusual" instead of luck, but I wanted to use the BC line as an intro.9/15/2005 08:40:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|How hard would it be to put the Detroit Tigers in there? I keep thinking they should be better than they are.9/14/2005 09:23:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -122, Detroit +112. This is an afternoon game. I'm not sure right now of the starting time.|W|P|112670785917488782|W|P|Liriano's Debut|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/13/2005 07:47:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Contest Update:
PlayerBEMFRWTEBAACTWJSBGGEBREDCHCAPHDEPANMAMR
Points7675835154412471510-5-113-205-235-503-768
Tuesday at Detroit Picked Twins: SBG,CHC,AAC Picked Detroit: AMR(!) I should have paid out last place, too! Comment on Yesterday's Poll: It was very close -- but the Timberwolves were deemed to be the most disappointing team this year. I agree. I really thought that the T-Wolves had a very good shot at winning the NBA Championship. To not make the playoffs after 8 consecutive trips? Well, that was disappointing beyond belief. Twins Defense: Correct me if I'm wrong, but I've heard a lot about how this year's Twins team isn't as good defensively as last year's team. I wonder if that's true. Let's go to the numbers. Hey, did you hear that I have a subscription to Baseball Prospectus? Actually, these numbers are available without a subscription. In 2005, the Twins have a defensive efficiency of .702, good for 7th in the AL. The average defensive efficiency for the AL is .696, so the Twins have an above average defensive efficiency. I know what you're thinking. SBG, what is defensive efficiency? Well, it is the percentage of balls put into play by the opposite team result in outs. In other words, 70.2% of balls put into play turn into outs. Put in play doesn't include home runs, which aren't put into play. So, the 2005 Twins are a little above average. The 2004 team must have been way above average, right? Guess what. That's not the way it was. In 2004, the Twins had a defensive efficiency of .688, good for 10th in the 14 team AL. The average defensive efficiency in 2004 was .691, so the Twins are a better defensive team last year, right? Well, is defensive efficiency isn't the only metric. The number of extra base hits and double plays can be an indicator of defense as well. In 2004, the Twins gave up 247 doubles, 53 fewer than the league average. In 2005, the Twins are projected to give up 291, 16 fewer than the projected league average. Hmmm. What about double plays? In 2005, the Twins are on pace for 175 double plays, 21 more than the league average. In 2004, the Twins had 158 double plays, just 7 more than the league average. I have included triples below as well. The 2004 team had fewer triples, but I will maintain that the number of triples are somewhat insignificant.
YearDefensive EfficiencyDoublesTriplesDouble PlaysDIPS%
TwinsLeague AverageDifferenceTwinsLeague AverageDiff.TwinsLeague AverageDiff.TwinsLeague AverageDiff.Twins
20050.7020.696-0.0062752911629290175154211.11
20040.6880.6910.003247300532327415815171.00
20030.7010.696-0.005302299-324306114152-380.97
20020.7050.697-0.008280299193230-2124149-251.05
You will note that I have one number included at the end. It is DIPS%, that is, the difference between the defensive independent ERA and actual ERA. In 2005, the Twins have a DIPS% of 1.11, meaning that the Twins ERA is 11 percent lower than might be expected with an average defense. That is, if it weren't for the Twins defense, the Twins ERA would be 11% higher. In 2004, the DIPS% was 1.00, meaning that the Twins defense contributed basically nothing over the average to the ERA. And look, the 2003 defense was below average. Look, the 2005 defense has been the best of any of the last four years. If anyone tells you that part of the Twins problem this year is the defense, smile politely. Or tell them that the Twins defense has been, if anything, better than ever. Warning: Rant Ahead. I entered a question in the Baseball Prospectus chat today. I actually got my question answered.
StickandBallGuy (Minneapolis): As a fan, what is your reaction to seeing Barry Bonds playing again? Do you feel excitement in seeing an all-time great? Or do you wish he'd just retire? Christina Kahrl: I'm happy to see a great player playing, and I hope he continues to hit for as long as he's able. He's apparently very happy to remain in San Francisco, and I'd hope that's where he remains to the end. I say that even though I have a well-developed dislike of the Giants, but Bonds, the Cove, that park... what's not to like about all that? It's a bit of magic that you find in baseball in a way unlike any other sport. Here's hoping the Pads win, but Bonds helps put the fear of the Flying Spaghetti Monster in them down this last stretch.
I am amazed by the negative press that Bonds gets. Whether he's a nice guy or not, he's the very best in the world at what he does. I hope he continues to play for a couple of more years. Why? Because I enjoy watching greatness. That's why. I saw his first at bat last night. Wow, what a fantastic duel. A lot of people think that the game is better off without Bonds. I can't understand why. Yes, there may be steroids involved. But, friends, if Bonds was using, he's not the only one. Oh, and it wasn't against the rules. Look how far beyond everyone else he is. If others are using, too, and he's still that far ahead of everyone, he must be great. And he is. Ms. Kahrl wrote about Bonds today. Here's some of what she had to say.
Who are we supposed to believe when we discuss Bonds? Someone like Ray Ratto, or someone who's described Bonds to me as a man with two commitments--his children and his job--that he takes extremely seriously? Myself, I'm willing to give the benefit of the doubt to anyone I haven't met, virtually or in the flesh, and I'm especially willing to give that benefit to those whose personality we know merely from a collection of jock sniffers and the more dim bulbs manufactured by our nation's journalism schools. Add in the race angle, and I'm confident in saying that we know Barry Bonds about as well as we know Alexander the Great. As for Bonds' involvement with performance-enhancing drugs, I won't disagree that there are doubts, nor would I suggest that there shouldn't be. But I guess when talk drifts over to how we celebrate records and how they're set, I cannot help but think how Rickey Henderson was treated for setting the stolen base record while not saying anything particularly offensive afterwards, or how his setting the runs record was effectively overlooked. I think back on the glum "celebration" that was perfunctorily executed in 1997 in memory of Jackie Robinson, a bit of badly manufactured schmaltz used as a crutch for an industry more concerned with finding a marketing hook to erase memories of '94 than anything else.
I'm not qualified to talk about the impact of race in the coverage of Bonds. But, I do believe that it is possible that race is a factor. She continues later on.
For me, steroids is like cocaine was in the early '80s. It's a spectacular issue, which is to say, it is a spectacle. I don't think we can say with absolute confidence what either substance (or amphetamines) do to player performance. I don't think we can prove that any of these things perverted the game, or that they reflect anything more than that the game is played by our fellow men, prone to the same temptations, the same errors of judgment and the same mistakes.
What if Barry is guilty? More importantly, what if he's not guilty?
Bonds is caught in a bind: he'll never overcome reasonable doubt, so instead of being presumed innocent, he will always be condemned by a large number of people, for reasons as varied as reasonable doubt to conditioned dislike to overt racism, to name a few of what might be an unlimited range of possible responses to Bonds setting the home-run record. My problem is that I will never escape my doubt: to what extent Barry Bonds was condemned from the start, and how too-ready the media was to go for a rope.
Some of the dim bulbs and jock sniffers suggested that the Giants would be better without Bonds. Yeah right. Others pontificate that we would be better off if Bonds retired, thereby insinuating that he's not worthy of playing or breaking records. Who died and made them the judge of who is worthy and who isn't? I'll tell you this. I don't much care who holds records. What I care about is watching chase for records and excellence. When Bonds' comeback was imminent, ESPN's Pedro Gomez reported an alleged altercation with an unnamed teammate in June. Did anyone besides me think that the timing of this announcement was suspicious? And how about the fact that the other player wasn't named! This is absolutely atrocious "journalism." The ESPN ombudsman (and boy do they need one) agrees:
[S]ome viewers objected to what they perceived to be a double-standard by the media, ESPN included, in its coverage of athletes "accused" of using performance-enhancing drugs. [Lance] Armstrong gets a more objective treatment, they say, while others, such as Barry Bonds, are placed in a more defensive position of having to prove innocence. On Monday, while reporting the possible activation of Bonds, ESPN's Pedro Gomez -- the network's beat reporter for Bonds -- had a story that the Giants' slugger had been involved in a clubhouse scuffle with a teammate in June. Cynics -- including me -- questioned the pairing of the two stories, particularly when Bonds, under the glare of steroid suspicion for more than a year, was in a rare forthcoming mood. Gomez said he and producer Charles Moynihan had been working the clubhouse story for weeks, but did not want to go with it until they had "multiple sources" and had given Bonds a chance to respond. While Bonds did not go on camera, he told a team spokesman he had no problem with the unidentified player involved. I also wondered why it took two months to confirm the story, but Gomez was unavailable much of the summer because of family obligations, he said. Additionally, I'm surprised and disappointed that ESPN did not pursue the story even while Gomez was unavailable, and that the player involved in the incident with Bonds was not named. Still, teasing the clubhouse incident with the possible activation of Bonds adds to the perception by some viewers that ESPN doesn't play fair with everyone. Nor do the network's commentators and talk-show pundits -- many of whom could show more responsibility, fairness and restraint when discussing athletes who have been charged with and rumored to have committed, but not convicted of, illegal actions.
We all know the media doesn't play fair. The media likes to create heroes (ummm, Jeter? Armstrong?) and villians (Bonds). Their reporting is shaped to fit the stories, not to project an objective view. That's why those who think about what they see on television and in print are frustrated by the coverage that the mainstream media shoves down our throats.|W|P|112666610002823716|W|P|Defensive Thinking|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/14/2005 04:38:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I believe Bonds is treated unfairly not just because he's Black, but because he's a Black man who isn't affable and outgoing to the public, who doesn't try to cultivate relationships with reporters. The media reveres Black players like Puckett, Griffey, and Jeter. Black players who smile and joke, "respect the game" by paying deference to managers and coaches or legends of the game, and make time for reporters are Golden to the press. That's true of Black athletes in any sport.

The press tends to be ambivalent or antagonistic towards Black athletes who seem self-absorbed or uncomfortable with the publicity game, who don't charm the press, who don't pay their proper respects.

Compare Bonds to someone like Randy Johnson. Johnson has always been an awkward public speaker. He's prone to fits of moodiness and prima donna behavior. He tanked half a season while feuding with Seattle management in 1998; he's forced his way out of the two teams where he notched the most significant accomplishments of his career. He started off his relationship with the NY press by taking a swing at a photographer. Although he's routinely amongst the league leaders in hit batters, the reputation of a headhunter has never stuck to him like it's been attached to, say, Pedro Martinez. I could say much of these things about Roger Clemens, too. Yet the media have never made a big issue about the "character" of Johnson or Clemens. They're treated as great pitchers, and that's more or less that. Would that be true if Johnson or Clemens were Black?9/14/2005 09:54:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Thanks, TL. One of the things that has infuriated me about the coverage of steroids this year is the disappointment expressed in the media that bigger fish haven't been caught (Bonds). When guys like Rincon get caught, the media is upset -- why aren't they catching the big guys? There can only be one explanation according to these dim bulbs... the testing is flawed or corrupted. Because we know these guys have used in the past and are still using.9/14/2005 10:16:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Frightwig,
That was an incredible post! I could not agree more and frankly could not have put it better. Very well done!

I also agree with SBG that Bonds should play. It's something that when he comes to bat, the baseball world almost comes to a stop to watch. You just expect something incredible to happen.9/14/2005 02:39:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I disagree with much of what you have to say here, SBG, but you're certainly entitled to your opinion.

However, using Kahrl's op-ed piece to support your arguments does you more harm than good, IMO. It's a really, really horrible piece of writing, especially for someone complaining about the quality of the press coverage of Bonds.

For example, she says:

"Who are we supposed to believe when we discuss Bonds? Someone like Ray Ratto, or someone who's described Bonds to me as a man with two commitments--his children and his job--that he takes extremely seriously"

Well, let's examine that...Ray Ratto has access to the Giants' locker room any time he chooses. He has probably spent hundreds of hours in proximity to Bonds at games, charity events, etc. I might give the unnamed source cited by Kahrl who described Bonds as 'a man with two committments' some credence if Kahrl had let us know who this someone actually is. Seems to me if you're gonna write off Ratto as a jock sniffer and a dim bulb, you should at least let us know how your source is different.

And do you really expect us to believe Bonds takes his role as a father all that seriously when he's used his kid(s) as props more than once, and is almost assuredly guilty of adultery on an ongoing basis? Please. Even if it's true, what does that have to do with Bonds' personality, treatment of others, or use of steroids?

"As for Bonds' involvement with performance-enhancing drugs, I won't disagree that there are doubts"

Actually, there are no doubts. The only doubts one can express are whether or not he knew what he was using. And any reasonable person would have to say those doubts are thin, at best.

Steroids like cocaine? How? There are at least plausible arguments that using steroids enhances your ability to play baseball. I'd enjoy seeing someone try to make the case that using cocaine does the same.

This article is at least as bad as anything the dim bulbs ever dreamed of.

TEB9/14/2005 02:51:00 PM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|SBG,
Had you paid out last place, I would be right in the middle, because I would have started picking the teams I thought would lose (given the odds) about halfway through the contest, and those picks would have turned out right!
-AMR9/14/2005 03:18:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|Lemme guess, you had in your head today that you were going to do a nice little article on the the defense and how it's better this year, but this lead to that and you ended up doing a rant on Barry Bonds. Very well done nevertheless.9/14/2005 04:02:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|TJ -- actually, I had both in mind. I wanted to talk about Bonds given his return and I happened to stumble across this defense thing the night before.9/15/2005 03:02:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|TEB, I'd say there are still doubts about exactly what drugs Bonds may have used, how often he used them and in what kind of volume, and how much those drugs may have boosted his performance.

You know, it was convenient to conclude that Jason Giambi's peak years were entirely the product of steroids, when he was struggling to hit the ball out of the infield while presumably clean this past Spring. But what can we say with any certainty about him now that he's put up a .304/.457/.592 line on the season, and has really come on like a monster since June? Do you just assume that he's just taking a more sophisticated drug? Or is it possible that some players like Giambi or Bonds are great hitters, whether they're taking steroids, speed, creatine, Wheaties, or not?

Maybe I don't follow the Yankees news and gossip closely enough, but does it seem like the Giambi-took-steroids story has become Old News to the media already? It seems like I haven't heard anything about it since about May. Or about since he started producing for the Yankees again, in other words.

It's as if he's redeemed himself by falling so low and then climbing back up again. If not completely forgiven, it seems like the Character Police have granted him a conditional parole. True? If so, is it just a coincidence that he's also a White player who wears the sacred pinstripes?9/15/2005 09:43:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Who said anything about Jason Giambi?

All I did was point out what a poor piece of writing Ms Kahrl produced.

I'm also pretty sure it's established Bonds used "the clear" and "the cream," but he claims he didn't know what was in 'em.

TEB9/16/2005 02:23:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I believe that Bonds admitted using some products which seem to resemble topical steroids that some others like Giambi and Sheffield have called "The Clear" or "The Cream." Nobody has proven, to my knowledge, nor did he admit that he used steroids, how often he might have used "The Clear" or "The Cream" or any other steroid, or whether his usage extended to any other illegal performance enhancing drugs.

I mentioned Giambi in reference to the questions of how certain we can be about the effects of steroids and who is or isn't now worthy of breaking records, or making the All-Star Game or Hall of Fame, and being cheered for his accomplishments. That point and the issue of how media coverage may be driven by race were brought up in SBG's original column.9/13/2005 06:07:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I've got the Twins tonight.|W|P|112665285110549468|W|P|Back in the Game|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/13/2005 07:37:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -115, Derroit +105 Week One of the Seth Speaks football pool found me at 8-8, which is generally pretty crappy. I was two games behind the winner. I suppose that about what I deserve seeing as how I paid no attention to the pre-season. Kyle Lohse pitched well last night. That's a good thing. I didn't see the manager's comments after the game. Bert said on TV that this type of stuff should be kept in the clubhouse. I'm not sure exactly who he was talking about -- Lohse or 'tool. He's right. Airing dirty laundry in public is rarely a good idea. I've been of the belief that Lohse would not be here next year unless he turned into a right-handed Johan Santana purely for monetary reasons. That's why playing nice here is important. Overall, Lohse has been pretty good this year. That means he has value. Rather than just nontendering him, the Twins need to trade him. He should be able to bring the Twins value. That's why it was important that he start last night and that's why the manager should be praising him, even if he wqnts to grab him by the throat. Lohse, of course, has an interest in playing nice, too. Millions of them, actually. If the Twins deal Lohse, as expected, I predict he will be another name added to the Top Jimmy List of Bad People Shipped out of Minnesota. His leaving, like A.J. and Randy Moss, to name two, will be about money. Hopefully, the Twins will get value in return closer to the A.J. trade than the Moss deal. If 'tool realized this dynamic, good for him. If it was TR that forced his hand, then TR think about that. If it was out of necessity (rest for Radke, Santana), well ok. Last night it was the career minor leaguer, Chris Heintz carrying the water for the Twins. After the game he talked about what a great job Lohse did, how Lohse guided him through the game and how he located all three of his pitches. Friends, I believe Santana is pitching on Saturday morning. I gonna try to get Lucy to go and sit in the right field cheap seats. If you are interested in coming out early and seeing the Twins with your best buddy SBG, drop me an e-mail. I think it will be my last game of the season. The contest results are posted below. FW has made a charge. In lieu of a lot of thoughts on the Twins -- what more is there to say, I'll try to keep the contest results up to date.|W|P|112661681962262479|W|P|Tuesday Train Blogging|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/12/2005 09:26:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|After tonight, here are the standings in the contest
PlayerSBGDEPTWJGEBCHCFRWANMTEBAACREDAMRBEMAPH
Points51-2352470-213583-503515341-5-668767-205
If the contest would end today, BEM would win and FRW would be in 2nd place. Your best buddy SBG has fallen way back. For a detailed analysis, here is an XL Spreadsheet detailing the results to date.|W|P|112657865204880338|W|P|At Long Last|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/13/2005 10:51:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|Cower before me and my mighty ability to pick the wrong teams most of the time!9/13/2005 10:52:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.9/13/2005 02:56:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|Does that number represent the amount of money I would be up had I bet $100 on each game? Cuz if so...sweet.9/13/2005 04:01:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|That's what that means, TJ.9/13/2005 04:22:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Must... beat... SBG...9/12/2005 01:57:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -108, Detroit -102.|W|P|112655149192774645|W|P|Tonight|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/11/2005 09:30:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|If you read this column with regularity, you know that I've been pessimistic about the Twins' chances for some time. Back on July 6th, I said the following:
I think that if the Twins can make the playoffs then this will be the most impressive season that they've had since 2001 (I know. I'm a broken record on that one). I don't see it happening. The Twins simply do not have enough offensive firepower. More accurately, they have too many holes across the infield. It's pretty clear, at least in my mind, that the Twins will look back at the day that they signed both Jones and Rivas as the crucial day of the 2005 season. Plus, as you'll see below, other things are stacked up against the Twins. ... Over EACH of the past three seasons, the Twins have played the EASIEST SCHEDULE IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES. Now, however, there are two good teams in the division besides the Twins (make that one great team and one good team). The Twins' record in the division is the worst that it has been over the last five years, so far. Consider that the Twins have 13 more games left against the White Sox and things look kind of grim. In fact, if you factor out the 7-1 record against the Royals, the Twins are below .500 against the rest of the AL Central. But look. The Twins are winning outside the division at the best rate of the past five years. Pretty good! Factor out that 6-0 record against the Tampa Bay Devil Rays, and they are below .500 there, too. Of course, it's easy to cherry pick like that. But, the Twins have zero games against the D-Rays in the second half. They do have 11 left against the Royals (four here right before the break). But, the weighted winning percentage of their second half opponents is .525. Does that sound easy or tough? Well, let's put it this way. NO TEAM IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES HAS HAD A SCHEDULE THIS TOUGH IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE SEASON. The Twins' schedule has been .500 so far in the first half. So, the road gets a whole lot tougher in the second half. Let's consider the Twins' closest rival in the Wild Card, the Cleveland Indians. The Indians have played a .515 schedule in the first half and are a grand total of one game behind the Twins. Their second half schedule? They are playing a .467 schedule. That's right folks. .467. NO TEAM IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES HAS HAD A SCHEDULE THIS EASY IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE SEASON. I realize a lot can happen. A whole lot. Injuries, trades, whatever. But, from a strength of schedule standpoint, it would seem that the Cleveland Indians have a tremendous advantage over the Twins.
A couple of days later, on July 12th, I looked at the Twins schedule in the second half a little closer.
Over the course of the last three plus seasons, the Twins have been remarkably consistent. They have won about 48% of their games against winning teams and 63% of their games against losing teams. There's been a little variation, but in my mind, the results are remarkably similar. The Twins have 76 games left, 45 of those games against winning teams. Just plugging in the average winning percentages over the last three plus years, the Twins are projected to have a record of 89-73, which would be their worst record since they went 85-77 in 2001. Plugging in the best and worst percentages, and the Twins will likely win between 88 and 91 wins. Considering that the AL wild card winner has averaged 95 wins since 1996 -- the first year that the wild card came from a full season -- and the Wild Card looks daunting indeed. (Twice in 10 years the wild card winner won between 88 and 91 games. In every other year, the AL wild card winner has had more wins.) These results show that generally the Twins have NOT played better against winning teams. This is not surprising. One would expect that ANY team would do better against lesser teams. That's why the extremely large number of games left against winning teams concerns me. Let's try something else. Let's cut the results a little finer. We'll group results into four groups: below .460, .460 up to .500, .500 up to .560, and .560 and over. I'm not sure how this is going to turn out, so I'll go look. Here are the results from 2002-05:
Teams < .460Between .460 and .500Between .500 and .560Better than .560
WLPCTWLPCTWLPCTWLPCT
14984.6393221.6044946.5164658.442
52.1% of games9.9% of games11.8% of games26.0% of games
Not surprisingly, the Twins have done progressively worse against teams as their record improves. But, look... 52.1% of their games over three years are against bad teams, those who have fewer than 75 wins a year. How about 2005? So far, here's what the Twins have done.
Teams < .460Between .460 and .500Between .500 and .560Better than .560
WLPCTWLPCTWLPCTWLPCT
198.70498.5291615.51647.364
31.4% of games19.8% of games36.0% of games12.7% of games
As you can see, the Twins have played very few very good or very bad teams this as compared to years gone by. Thus, the Twins have played a lot more mediocre teams than they have in the past. The Twins have actually done a lot better this year against really bad teams. Their limited exposure to really good teams hasn't been good so far. But, again, they haven't played many of those games yet. But, they will. Here is a break down of the remaining games.
Teams < .460Between .460 and .500Between .500 and .560Better than .560
Games Remaining14112823
Total Percentage20.3%12.3%27.2%16.7%
Obviously, the schedule is tougher. The schedule this year has actually shifted into the middle range. Applying the historical percentages to these distributions predicts a Twins record of 88-74. Applying this year's percentages to these distributions predicts a Twins record of 86-76. Applying the historical percentages to the rest of the season predicts a Twins record of 87-75. Obviously, these numbers further reinforce the idea that the Twins will likely have a difficult second half. At worst, the Twins are projected (under these percentages) to play .500 ball in the second half. None of these numbers point to a post season berth.
Back then, I just didn't think the Twins could pull it off. Now, it's absolutely clear that they won't make it. Let's look at how the Twins have done against the varying levels of competition in the second half so far.
Teams < .460Between .460 and .500Between .500 and .560Better than .560
WLPCTWLPCTWLPCTWLPCT
64.60068.42934.4291015.400
17.9% of games25.0% of games12.5% of games44.6% of games
The Twins problem has been two-fold. Number one, the Twins have played a much tougher schedule, as I said that they would. Number two, the Twins have played worse against all levels of competition than they have over the previous three years. Notes and Stuff: On Saturday, Lucy and I went to the Renaissance Festival. We had a lot of fun. Lucy had never taken in this annual event (I had). We ate, watched shows, but we didn't buy any junk. A successful outing! Lucy liked the jousting the best. I enjoyed seeing Puke and Snot. I first saw them over 20 years ago. Still funny. On the way home, the guys on WCCO were complaining that the Cleveland paper had Wild Card standings that didn't include the Twins. They complained that the paper wasn't "respecting" the Twins. I wonder if the local media is still going to feed us with the crap that the Twins are in the Wild Card race now that they are 8 1/2 games behind Cleveland. Lucy and I went to another movie on Saturday night -- "The 40 Year Old Virgin." I picked it out. I had heard that it wasn't too bad. It was pretty funny and it had heart. Lucy and I went to a new restaurant in Eagan on Friday night called Jakes. We sat at our table for about 20 minutes without so much as a glass of water or any contact from a member of the wait staff. We wanted to see if they would actually ignore us. They did. We got up and left. The place was busy, but still, it was 20 minutes. You know what? I was wrong last week. I've changed my mind. I'm now glad that the Vikings got rid of Randy Moss. I'm sure the guys get along a lot better in the clubhouse. Wonderful. You know, when I'm contemplating whether to waste my Sunday afternoons watching football, the first thing I wonder is whether do the guys on the team get along? I noticed on Sunday that the team didn't have a disruptive player on the field. I feel so much better. That leads me to tonight's poll question.
Who Had the Most Disappointing Season
The 2005 Twins
The 2005 Timberwolves
Neither -- The 2005 Vikings will be more disappointing
Free polls from Pollhost.com
|W|P|112649565820993029|W|P|Last Rites|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/12/2005 04:33:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I've said it before: no Moss, no running game, and Tice is still the Head Coach = another disappointing year for the Purple.9/12/2005 07:21:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I agree, the Vikes looked horrible. Well, sorta. I thought the defense looked good for a lot of the game. The first Wiggins TD was called back on a horrendous botch by the refs. Who knows about the second one since the horrible production crew never showed a reply of the penalty. Also, when Hovan recovered that fumble I could have swore he was out of bounds - but no reply. And we had a punter who punted and a kicker who booted a 53-yard field goal.

So yes it was bad (would a real running back like Mewelde Moore help?), but I don't think it was as bad as all that.9/12/2005 10:50:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Anybody else think it was really stupid to kick the FG on 4th and goal from the 3 with 6 minutes left?

I mean, if you go for the TD on 4th and goal and don't make it, you need a TD.

If you make the FG...you need a TD. You're in almost the exact same position you were before you kicked the FG, only now you're giving the other team the ball most likely around the 25-30 yard line (after the kickoff) instead of giving them the ball on their own 3.

And you still need a TD.

-TEB

NOTE for SBG: I don't want to be a whiner, cause I know you're doing this out of the goodness of your heart, but any chance for a contest update soon?

The upside of the FG is only that the later TD will now possibly win the game instead of tie it.

But with half the 4th quarter gone, I think that upside is outweighed by the very real possibility that you won't have a better opportunity for that TD you need.

And can someone please explain to me how TB can run for 6 yards on 1st down when everyone in the world knows they're going to try to run out the clock? And then add 3 yards on second down?9/12/2005 01:56:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I hoped to get it done this weekend, but I was otherwise engaged. Sorry!9/11/2005 04:07:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota +145, Cleveland -160|W|P|112647288748116240|W|P|Sunday Night|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/11/2005 11:07:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|

Hi Friends.

|W|P|112645483614162936|W|P|It's Jags|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/10/2005 11:34:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Cleveland -130, Minnesota +120|W|P|112637009232720886|W|P|Saturday, at the Park|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/10/2005 03:55:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|What? No pictures of Jags? If he was such a beautiful cat, you would think his owners would want to show him off more. I guess I shouldn't be surprised. This isn't the first time my beauty has simply overwhelmed the competition.

(Also, Jags, you might want to work on your grammar a little bit)9/09/2005 01:49:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -165, Cleveland +150|W|P|112629178040505904|W|P|Friday At Cleveland|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/09/2005 09:29:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|5 runs of support in Johan's last 4 starts. PUKE9/09/2005 07:17:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I know. It's a short week. But TGIF anyway. I was reading an article at Baseball Prospectus yesterday about the Detroit Tigers. The article discussed the Tigs' rebuilding efforts. What got to me was a statement about properly identifying a team's potential. A GM doesn't want to overestimate its talent, of course, but what about underestimating it? The article says that teams that underestimate their talent can miss some great opportunities. What team did the author give as an example as one that did this? The Twins. Honestly, I'm not sure what the author means. Oh, I understand the concept -- a team that's better than the GM thinks is missing out if it doesn't go for it -- sign the big Free Agent and make a run for the title. What I want to know is when did the Twins underestimate their talent? Perhaps he's refferring to the prrvious off-season. There were bats available. Troy Glaus, Adrian Beltre (yikes), Richie Sexson. The Twins made a run at none of these players. I don't think the reasan why was because the team felt it wasn't good enough to make a push. No, I think there are diffferent reasons. Some subtle. Some not so subtle. First of all, the Twins aren't going to raise payroll much, that we know. Second, the Twins are adverse to moving their prospects or forfeiting draft picks. Third, the Twins have overvalued some of their players (you know who these players are). Fourth, the Twins, I think, are afraid of screwing up what has been a five year run of good teams. They've moved some guys, mainly I think to make budget, and these moves for the most part have worked out well. But I think they are afraid to tamper too much. The thing I've been screaming about all year -- keeping Jones & Rivas -- smells of fear. So does holding on to prospects too long (Resto) until they end up losing them for nothing. So does the impending retention of Stewart & Hunter. Look, I can appreciate that the Twins will never have the lineup of the Yankees and Red Sox, unless Warren Buffet decides to move out of Omaha, buy the Twins, and make them his personal plaything. And, I can appreciate the fear. I am sure that Terry Ryan is loathe to go back to 1999. Building for a consistent future is good too. Love the prospects. (Why haven't the hitters panned out much at the major league level?) But, as the pre-loony Tom Cruise once said, "Sometimes, you have to say 'What the F$%#@!.'" If you look at previous patterns in Minneapolis, a World Series Championship virtually guarantees stellar attendance for at least two more years thereafter. Let's face it, winning the AL Central had become a little boring. I'll admit some greed. I want the World Series played right here in Minneapolis. This will require a willingness to be willing to part with major league players and prospects (and managers?) at some point in order to improve the product on the field. I agree with the author of the BP article on one point. I think that the Twins have missed opportunities. Specifically, they missed an opportunity to contend this year by not taking a chance to improve the offense. Going forward, with an improved division, the Twins may sink into a non-contender position for an extended period unless they become less afraid of failure and more willing to go out and take a chance on something great.|W|P|112626980671147953|W|P|Fear and Loathing in Minneapolis|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/09/2005 01:41:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Perhaps I read it wrong, but what if they mean that TR consistently underestimates home grown talent and is therefore reluctant to call up legit prospects in favor of aging verterans who have proven their low value. Rivas comes to mind.9/09/2005 03:29:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|It seems like the decision not to upgrade the offence was simply a cost/benefit analysis. If the one legitimate move this was for Soriano, I can see a pattern in TRyan's behavior where they are remiss to make that deal if they cannot virtually guarantee the long term outcome. It must have been too uncertain in their eyes that they could strike a long-term deal.

I've not heard another name mentioned in the available group of players in 2005 who could be classified as a "sure thing." Also, had Lohse, Mays and Romero performed acceptibly, who is to say more moves would not have been made to upgrade the offense, with some tier two players such as Youklis, etc.9/08/2005 05:18:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'd be remiss if I didn't mention that the NFL was opening it's season tonight. I'm actually more interesting to see the Stones play (did you know I'm a fan?), but there's no denying that the NFL is run by some very smart people. The team owners basically print money and almost no criticism sticks to the league, ever. Let's just say that I prefer baseball and leave it at that. Of course, one of the great things about football is the football pool. I've participated in a few pools in my day, and I've made a few bucks. I'm playing again, but I no longer play for money. This may be the best football pool I've ever entered. Yep, I'm picking over at Seth Speaks. He's got quite a crew in his just for fun pool. Of course, there Seth and me. That alone makes it great. Right?? Ha! Everyone's favorite blogger and friend of SBG, TOM Aaron Gleeman is onboard. That's cool, too. The big deal, however, is that Seth has gotten Grant Balfour to play. That's right, the major league pitcher with the most unfortunate name ever is in the same pool with SBG. Should be fun. Look for your best buddy to kick everyone's ass. (The preceding sentence is not a prediction, but false bravado inspired by the violent game that is the NFL.) On that note, I wanted to say something about Seth and his site. I don't plug his page enough. First, no one gives more links to me than Seth. Second, no one works harder. Good God, Seth, how do you do it? Every day his site is jam packed with information. Want to know about last night's game? Seth's got it covered. How about Twins minor leagues? Covered. Other Twins bloggers? Covered. Good opinions with a positive viewpoint? Covered. Last night, Seth said he was disappointed in Ron Gardenhire. That wasn't the daily rantings that show up here, that was Seth, who doesn't spew crap like me on a regular basis. Man, Gardy, you've got Seth disappointed enough to go on record. That's an indication that people are definitely unhappy. Do you want unique analysis? How about Seth's pitch-by-pitch account of Felix Hernandez' first start? Yes, friends. Seth has it going on.|W|P|112621943969681646|W|P|Are You Ready for Some Football?|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/08/2005 05:49:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss concurs -- Seth is the hardest-working blogger in cyberspace! Moss is becoming a regular reader. Thanks, Seth!!9/08/2005 09:35:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|It seems SBG doesn't have the audacity to post his picks, as I did.

Also, even Ron Coomer agreed that Seth writes an ungodly amount.9/09/2005 08:14:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|TJ -- I intend to do some things with my picks going forward.9/09/2005 01:06:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Ryan|W|P|SBG and TJ-

As the 2004 Champion of the Seth Speaks Pick 'Em Challenge (a fact that was noticably absent in all the recent hullabaloo over the contest) I wish both of you the best of luck. The fact that I won last year (despite watching all of about a half dozen pro football games last year) goes to show that the contest is more about luck than skill, which gives everyone a fighting chance! I'm sure the two of you will do well.

Again, keep up the good work. I may be a former blogger now (although thoughts of an abbreviated comeback have entered my mind of late) I still enjoy reading most of the Twins blogs. Keep fighting the good fight!

-Ryan M.
Formerly of Twins Chatter

p.s. Did anyone happen to see that I was circled by Bert in K.C. the other week? My sign (rather creatively, I thought) said "Bircle Me Cert". :)9/07/2005 09:33:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I garnered a little negative response for my assertion that Carlos Silva had the right to spout off the other day. Thanks for the feedback. I think this team could use someone other than the usual suspects to step up and call people out. If you feel otherwise, that's fine, that's your opinion, just like this is my opinion. If you don't agree with me here, let me see how far our disagreement goes. Do you agree that Hunter should never have taken shots at Mauer and Morneau this year? Or does he get a free pass because he's the leader of the team? Do you agree that Gardy should keep his mouth shut about players? For instance, when he detailed what Ford had done -- questioning his decision to bunt with LeCroy on second -- was Gardy being a leader, or should he have shut his mouth? And if you think that the manager can rip the team and Hunter can rip his teammates, why draw the line at a guy like Silva? Perhaps you agree that neither Hunter shouldn't have said what he said. Then, why didn't he have to apologize? Remember when Gardy lit into Ford in the papers? All of a sudden Ford started hitting. Some people credited Gardy for lighting a fire under Ford. Hey, the offense started hitting after Silva's comments: 15 runs in two games? Overcoming two five run deficits? Think Silva will get credit for lighting a fire? I'll bet not. As for Koren Robinson, let me say this. The Vikings said they got rid of Moss, the pre-eminent receiver in the league and on the very short list of the all-time great receivers, in part because of his "baggage." I personally think that was a wrong-headed decision. But, for the Vikings to sign Koren Robinson is unbelievable. What the hell? Where's the logic? Here's what Top Jimmy said:
This move smacks of desperation. The Seahawks, like the Vikings, are a middling team with a good young quarterback and a coach who is one disappointing year away from broadcasting Arena League games. Robinson didn't fit there, and now he fits here? This signing comes a week after the Vikings pursued Peter Warrick, who couldn't make the perennially fungible Cincinnati Bengals. If the Vikings trusted their top receivers to be productive and healthy, they wouldn't need K-Rob.
I agree. Where I don't agree is the part where trading Moss was a good idea. We traded one problem child who is arguably the best player in the league and ended up with another (and bigger) problem child who most decidedly isn't. More egg on the face of Mike Tice. Personally, I don't see the Vikings making a big splash in the NFC this year. Every "expert" at ESPN picks the Vikings to win the NFC North, and I guess that might actually happen, given the downward slide in Green Bay. Four of those jokers picked the Vikings to go to the Super Bowl. Give me a break. I'm not buying that for a second. This team doesn't make the Super Bowl with Mike Tice at the helm. No way, no how. Tuesday night, the Stones were in St. Paul and I wasn't there. As a seven time veteran of Stones concerts, I suppose it isn't the end of the world, but, sigh, I wanted to see the boys one more time. I'll never forget the time I first saw the then 46-year old Mick Jagger. At the Metrodome in 1989, with Danny Gladden and Al Newman sitting a few rows behind me, the sounds of Continental Drift wafted ominously through out the dome when all of sudden a huge explosion ripped through the air and the heat of the biggest flash pots I've ever seen heated the dome by at least 50 degrees instantly. I couldn't believe the excitement. Keith Richards played the opening licks of Start Me Up and Jagger was present and he belted out that war horse (which was only eight years old then) with a voice that was surprisingly strong and clear. I literally screamed through out the entire song. I'll never forget it. I've seen a lot of concerts, but man, there's nothing like seeing the Stones. I still have that 16 year old t-shirt that I wore a bazillion times.
And Mick and the Boys got a good review. From the Pioneer Press:
In an energetic performance, the Rolling Stones show no signs of being ready to retire. Two songs into the Rolling Stones' Tuesday night concert at the Xcel Energy Center, Mick Jagger tugged at the waist of his red T-shirt, exposing a 62-year-old tummy so tight it would make a grown man (and woman) cry. But it wasn't just Jagger's abs that were in fine shape during the sold-out show. Forty-three years into a career that's earned them the billing as "The World's Greatest Rock Band," the Stones are still amazingly vital and a whole lot of fun.
Forty three years. They are the Roger Clemens of rock bands. What does the Strib say?
Wait a minute! Let me check my Rolling Stones ticket stub. It doesn't say Northrop Auditorium. It says Xcel Energy Center. But the Stones' showTuesday was the kind of intimate, low-frills, just plain ol' rock 'n' roll thatI'd been dreaming about for years from the world's greatest band. I'd swear I was at Northrop -- except for that floating stage bit (more on that later). Most importantly, Mick Jagger didn't have stories of scaffolding and endless ramps on which to run around, as we've seen on just about every post-1972 Stones tour. This was just a large, bare-bones stage -- perfect for manic Mick and his mincing moves and his spotlight-shy backup band. Indeed,this was the Mick Jagger show (he took his own curtain call at the end). Dressed in a red leather fedora, red T-shirt, black jacket (with red sequined Stones tongue-logos) and black jeans, he carried on like a hyper Prune Face on a Stick. Some 2,000 light years on, he remains an unparalleled frontman and athlete. While Jerry Rice is retiring from pro football at age 42, Jagger, 62, is still at the top of his game, prancing and primping for nearly two hours and, more significantly, singing with sass and consistent conviction.
Man, I've listened to hundreds and hundreds of hours of Stones tunes. Oh to be old enough in 1969 to have seen that tour, which was possibly the greatest tour of all time, and which produced the greatest live album of all time (Get Yer Ya-Ya's Out).

If you want to see the world's greatest band in its prime along with the complete anarchy of Altamont, get a hold of the documentary "Gimme Shelter" which documents the 1969 tour that ended infamously at Altamont Speedway outside of San Francisco. That show spun out of control and included the death of a young black man at the hands of the Hells Angels (caught on video and shown in the movie). The "victim," Meredith Hunter, was charging the stage and had a gun. Apparently, he was intending to shoot Mick Jagger, but he didn't make it. An unbelievable piece of video footage. Anyway, I wish I could have seen the show Tuesday night.
|W|P|112615125218162240|W|P|Wednesday Night|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com9/08/2005 08:18:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I think Carlos apologizing was a classy move. I also think that Hunter should've apologized to Joe and Justin. I always liked Hunter, but this year he started to annoy me a little bit. He seems to take his position as the leader of the team a little too far--kinda like a big brother who is generally good, but sometimes he acts like a jerk.9/08/2005 09:00:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Good comment, Beth.

I think that Carlos was told to apologize by the coaching staff. That's my opinion. I have great admiration for Mr. Silva, pitching very effectivelythe entire year on a bad knee. He's lead on the field. I think it's okay for him to apologize, but I also think someone should have said, hey, this guy is one of our leaders. Did anyone from the team say that? I'm not sure -- I didn't see it, but I'll also admit that I haven't scoured the media outlets thoroughly. If anyone has seen a show of support from Twins management for Mr. Silva, please let me know. I would appreciate it. Thanks.9/08/2005 09:01:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|By the way, I am with you on Hunter exactly. Last year, I was praising Hunter for the way he carried himself. This year? Your comments are spot on with my opinion.9/08/2005 02:53:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Moss was asked to be the leader of the team and was paid a leader's salary. He was more disruptive as a leader than he had been when he was just following cris carter around. They got rid of him in part because he was disruptive on the field, with taking plays and parts of games off, not because of off-the-field issues. They got three players and the salary cap room for three other players in return. Considering he is on the downswing of his career, and they needed five good players to compete, that's a good move.

Robinson is only being asked to replace a fifth receiver who's about to be convicted for felony possesion of a stolen weapon and felony drug possession. If he gives them 10 active games and a few good kick returns, they'd be thrilled. Not the same at all.9/08/2005 03:53:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|We'll see about Moss. I won't deny that Moss is controversial and he may have caused some dissension in the lockerroom. I think it's debatable, but I'll grant that it's possible fewer distractions will help the team.

But, on the downswing? You are kidding, right? He's 28, right in his prime. Cris Carter had about 10,000 receiving yards from 28 on. I'm not saying that he's got 10,000 more yards in him (he might, though), but come on.9/08/2005 05:42:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Cris Carter also was fanatical about fitness and diet, he was drug and alcohol free, and he did drills eight hours a day in the offseason. Moss never excercises, is a self-proclaimed junk-food junkie, admits to smoking weed and drinking, and hasn't visited Camp Carter since Cris retired.

Two receivers in history have put up great numbers after age 28: Cris Carter and Jerry Rice. Every other receiver started to decline at that age. Those two only did as well as they did because they were workout freaks.

Moss is more likely to decline than the average receiver because he has chronic ankle problems. I've heard rumors that this fact influenced the trade more thn the distraction stuff. The thought is to trade him when his value is highest so you can get more for him.

I wouldn't be surprised if he puts up two years of 1000+ yeards and 10+ touchdowns. But that's about it, unless he changes his ways. By then, Troy Williamson will be a star.9/08/2005 05:46:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|When I read "Moss was asked to be the leader of the team and was paid a leader's salary" in the comment by Annonymous, I assumed it was in fact, the Moss of SBG speaking in his crazy third-personness.9/08/2005 07:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|TJ -- so did I at first! :)

Anonymous --

Two receivers in history have put up great numbers after age 28: Cris Carter and Jerry Rice. Every other receiver started to decline at that age. Those two only did as well as they did because they were workout freaks.


Only Rice and Carter, huh?

Art Monk 8465 yds after 27
Steve Largent 6555 yds after 27
Tim Brown 11509 yards after 27
James Lofton 7702 yards after 27
Henry Ellard 9416 yards after 27
Andre Reed 6732 yards after 27
Irving Fryar 9720 yards after 27
Charlie Joiner 9929 yards after 27

Do you want me to go on? Or do you want to admit that your hatred for Moss has clouded your thinking?9/08/2005 10:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss was given the "Moss" moniker by SBG himself. The moniker has nothing to do with Randy Moss, or any other person.

But Moss writes in the third person to "honor" those athletes who speak in the third person, as if they are something larger than themselves. (It also harkens to the Seinfeld episode where Jimmy wears the jumping shoes. "Jimmy likes Elaine.") Moss hopes it doesn't bother TJ too much. It's just a shtick.

Moss would enjoy an NFL salary, though, and could lead a team as well as Randy.9/09/2005 02:36:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I'm just spouting what the Vikings brass has said. What do i really believe? It will be harder to run the ball without a vertical passing game. This will be counteracted by a more ballanced offensive approach in which Moss is not the first read on every play.

The big benefit is the saary cap room to improve the defense. If the guys the Vikings got can perform near their career peaks contrary to their ages, the team will be better without Moss than with him.

I don't hate Moss. He's among th top 3 or 4 receivers in the league. But he's not the best player in the league. Not even close. He has deficiencies: He can't run after the catch unless he's behind the defender; he needs to take plays off to catch his breath; and he's got injury problems.

He has shown that he cannot carry the team on his back. The team needed more, especially defensively. And trading Moss was the best way to get what it needed.9/09/2005 03:26:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|That would be true, if the Vikings had cap problems. They don't. They are way under the cap. They could have kept Moss and added all the players that they did and still have been under the cap.

The Vikings' unwillingness to spend anything above the minimum is what kept them from putting a team around him, especially defensively. Or to get a real head coach instead of promoting the offensive line coach (without any coordinator experience) to the top job.

My frustration is that they didn't have to get rid of him. They could have had a better team around him, which might have reduced the problems. Who said he had to lead? Just go out and catch a 100 balls for 1500 yards and 17 touchdowns.

Thanks for commenting. I appreciate comments even if you don't agree. :)