7/31/2005 09:02:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Hello, SBG fans, and welcome to the post-trade deadline edition of SBG, The Mag. Well, the Twins didn't pull the trigger on anything before the trade deadline and with their dismal 4-8 road trip, the Twins come limping home (literally) with a four game deficit in the Wild Card standings. They come home to a seven game homestand against Boston and Oakland. Yes, if they sweep the A's they can make up that deficit. (Of course, they have two teams ahead of them.) But, that's not likely, now, is it. I'm not all that disappointed that they didn't get a rent-a-player like Alfonso Soriano. Soriano is a supremely talented player, but he wasn't going to be the difference maker. Soriano has an average or slightly worse (especially this year) OBP. In that sense, he fits right in with Hunter and Jones. But he's got a lot of punch. Already this year, he has 54 extra base hits. By comparison, Hunter leads the Twins with 38. Soriano has 26 home runs and has averaged 35 home runs a year in the three years prior to 2005. When's the last time a Twin averaged 35 home runs over a three year period? Harmon Killebrew, from 1969-71. So, Soriano would have been the best slugger this team has had since Killer. Better than Puckett? Better than Hrbek? In terms of hitting the ball over the fence, yes. The problem with trading for Soriano is that the Twins would never had been able to sign him next year. Soriano made $7.5 million this year and will likely be a $10 million player next year. In other words, he'd play for the Twins for two months. I'm sure that he would cost at least one good prospect (and probably a starting pitcher). Let's face it. Even with Soriano's bat in the lineup, this team is not going to win a playoff spot. I think, however, that the Twins need to get a player like Soriano on next year's team. This team's offense is, well, offensive. The Twins need a big right handed bat to anchor this offense. Torii Hunter has proved that he can't carry an offense. The Twins should move him to clear his $10 million off of their payroll. The Twins have room for one $10 million player. They need to give that money to an offensive player. Hunter has an OPS+ of 99 coming into this year. And as I discussed this weekend, Hunter's had a pretty crappy year for the most part. Nevertheless, Hunter has some value, even if he is making a ton of money. I'd try to convince the Yanks to take him. If they'd flip us Robinson Cano, I'd be ecstatic. I don't think that'll happen. I first mentioned this trade back on June 28. It was a lot more doable then. I'd also move Shannon Stewart, if possible. He's not worth his contract either, but I think it'll be hard to trade him. Why? Because he's an absolute liability in left field. He's turning into a statue out there and he throws like SBG. He's having his worst season as an everyday major leaguer offensively, by far. If Stewart doesn't hit, he's not worth having on the ballclub. Let's assume that trading Hunter and Stewart nets a good young player like Cano and prospects. It also clears $16 million off of the payroll. That's enough to sign an impact offensive player and another decent starter (or sign Jones, who's a better player than Stewart). With a cheap young starter and two more impact players, the Twins could be ahead by moving these guys. Then, assuming that Bartlett can play shortstop (and he might be ready now), the Twins could be upgraded without impacting the payroll. Of course, Pohlad could scrape some of the mold off of his billions and increase the payroll up to say $65 million and sign another bona fide offensive player. In any event, it's clear that the Twins have to make some major changes to retool this offense. Only Kansas City has scored fewer runs than the Twins this year (and only by one run). Drastic changes need to be made. Trading Hunter and Stewart and signing some real offensive players seems to be the logical move. What do you think? What should the Twins do to address their offensive woes? Leave a comment.|W|P|112286487143721749|W|P|No Trade, Little Hope|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com8/01/2005 12:41:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I can agree to a point, but moving Hunter would leave us with a HUGE hole in center field. Denard Span may be ready by mid season, but 2007 or even mid-2007 is more realistic. And if you thought finding a infielder who can hit was hard, finding a center fielder would be even harder. Remember, a number of teams wanted to move Soriano to center, because they already liked their second baseman.

Oh yeah, forgot about Lew. Well, he probably won't put up a sub .700 OPS next season (or this season for that matter), but he's inferior to Hunter in every ability except maybe OBP. Perhaps we could move Ford for something. I don't know, its going to be a fun offseason.

I'm pretty sure I saw Kubel play in center when I visited Rochester last year. I don't remember too much, but I've read he has a good arm. Perhaps this lineup next year:

DH - Stewart
SS - Bartlett
C - Mauer
RF - A good Hitter
1B - Morneau
LF - Jones
CF - Kubel
3B - Cuddyer/Tiffee/Williams/L-Rod
2B - Punto/Cuddyer/L-Rod

A lot of lefties in a row I guess, but it should score runs. Then again, so should this:8/01/2005 08:29:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Couldn't agree more SBG. It's been a nice run, but unless there is some radical philosophy change by Pohlad, then it's over. Time for Twins fans to jump off the bandwagon and become Brewers fans! Join on in to become fans of America's Team!8/01/2005 08:40:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Curt|W|P|How about Scott Ulger finding another job? Jones, Hunter, Morneau, Ford, and Rivas have all taken significant steps backward in the past couple years. I have no confidence in Ulger at all.

Curt in Grand Forks8/01/2005 08:42:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|Reusse said it best this morning, "The Vikings' first exhibition game arrives in 12 days against Kansas City. You probably didn't need permission, but go ahead, citizens ... point 100 percent of your attention for the local pros in that direction."8/01/2005 02:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|What, people are expecting bigger things from the Vikings this year?! That disappointment will be there waiting for you when the leaves have fallen off the trees. There's no need to make a rush for it.8/01/2005 03:39:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|FW: Thanks for the cannon fodder that I can use later this year :08/01/2005 08:06:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I don't know much about prospecting players, but I did look at Cano's minor league stats a month or two ago and felt he is playing way over his head in the majors right now. Not that I actually know anything.

Boone is released, when will the left shoe (TM) drop?8/01/2005 08:35:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|COD, Tice is still the coach, they traded Moss for picks, their top rusher is suspended for drug use, their #2 rusher is the QB, the team had no Pro Bowlers last season, and the defense last season was 26th in points allowed and 28th in YPG. Why should you expect the Vikings to become a serious contender this year?7/31/2005 07:10:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I thought I'd post my charts. There's absolutely no good news here. Let's be clear. This was lost in the first half of the season. What we are experiencing and will continue to experience is a very long denouement. It's time to cut this guy and play someone else. Anybody else. Hopefully we didn't give up anybody good here. Wouldn't you just be sick if it is anyone other than Luis Rivas? (For the record, I know it isn't Rivas.)
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
53390003.241.170.411
A while back, your best buddy SBG was the first Twins blogger to tell you definitively that the Twins wouldn't make the postseason. Why? Because of their brutal second half schedule. You'll see that the Twins have split games against Detroit and Baltimore, two teams that have fallen off in the second half. Against New York, Boston and LAA? Not so good. With 38 of their remaining 58 games left against teams north of .500, it just doesn't get any easier.
Twins Second Half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 up to .500 teams.500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-04-40-02-8
Like I've said, they aren't going to win the wild card. Look at Cleveland. They are tied with the Twins and their schedule gets much easier. Hello, third place in the Central.
Wild CardWLPctGB
Oakland5846.558-
New York5647.5441.5
Minnesota5450.5194.0
Cleveland5551.5194.0
Texas5351.5105.0
Toronto5351.5105.0
Baltimore5152.4956.5
|W|P|112285695384388338|W|P|Sunday Charts|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/31/2005 12:05:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I was going to take Boston today, but with a rookie pitching and Manny Ramirez out of the lineup again, I'm going with Brad Radke today. I think he'll give the Twins a good effort, enough to win. Minnesota is the pick today.|W|P|112283006569155745|W|P|Change of Heart|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/31/2005 12:15:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time Stamp: Minnesota over Boston7/31/2005 07:40:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|I like the Hunter column. I'm sorry to say that I unwittingly ripped you off without having read your article yet. I basically wrote the same thing: Hunter = overrated, Lecroy = underrated and looked at their MLVr and Rate2 as a barometer of exactly what they will do. We're on the same path. Nice work!7/31/2005 08:33:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota +120 Boston -130. The Twins once again couldn't solve David Wells. Wells, who weighs more and is older than SBG (and I'm taller), baffled Twins hitters for six innings, throwing up six doughnuts (surprisingly, he didn't eat them). In the seventh, Wells ran out of gas and the Twins got three straight hits to plate (mmmm, plate) two runs. Once again, I got this game right, even though I missed out on how it would be played. Wells was the story. Then again, a lot of starting pitchers have been the story this year against the Twins, who are just three runs better than the worst offense in the AL (they'd be 10th in the NL, where as you know the pitcher bats). The Twins are rumored to be going after Alphonso Soriano. I don't get it. Where will he play? I mean, J.C. Twin is anchored at 2B... I'll discuss Soriano later today.|W|P|112281751599216740|W|P|Sunday's Odds|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/31/2005 10:41:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|No mention of Mulholland putting yet another game in the books? I'm disappointed.7/31/2005 12:31:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I hate picking on the oldsters too much. It's not nice. Actually, I missed that part of the game.

Lucy and I went out for dinner, (the question was how is everything tonight -- talk about an open ended question!!!!) and I missed the three run inning. Really, though the game was over early when the Sox scored three in the first three innings.7/30/2005 05:55:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm going with the Red Sox. I'm not exactly impressed with David Wells at this point. This pick is an offensive pick. I think the pitching matchup is a little weak (unless Lohse has one of those "if only he'd do that all the time games"). They have some mashers. Boston's the pick for me.|W|P|112276424209924211|W|P|Saturday Night Pick|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/30/2005 05:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time Stamp: Boston over the Twins7/30/2005 10:56:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|The mainstream press, and the Twins themselves, will tell you that Torii Hunter's injury will be a terrible blow to the Twins. I'm not buying it. Yes, Hunter is a gold glove outfielder. Losing his defense will hurt a little. In his place will be Lew Ford. Lew's not a terrible outfielder, in fact he's a pretty good defensive outfielder. He's certainly better than Shannon Stewart, who's been stinking it up in left field for the Twins for years now. I'll grant that there will be a little bit of a drop off in the field. But, SBG, Hunter's the clean up hitter. His bat will be sorely missed! In a word: bullshit. For the season, Hunter has hit .268/.337/.452/.788. Among regular players, Hunter's OPS is third, behind THE MAN, Joe Mauer (.822) and Jacque Jones (.814). Justin "Let's Send Him to Rochester" Morneau's OPS is .785, almost identical to Hunter's. Overall, then, Hunter's bat is one of the better on the team. But, let's take a little closer look. At the close of play on May 31, Hunter was hitting .238/.305/.398/.703. What do we call numbers like that here at The Mag? Rivasland. (Rivas' career numbers are .261/.306/.382/.688.) Then, on June 1, Hunter was 5-5 with two doubles a home run and six RBI. From June 1 through June 8, a total of seven games, Hunter hit .552/.567/1.035/1.601. A hot streak to be sure. If you take this seven game stretch from Hunter's season numbers, and he is hitting .245/.311/.402/.713. I've been waiting for him to break out and get hot. Guess what, he hasn't. The following players have an OPS higher than .713 for the year: LeCroy, Mauer, Jones, Morneau, L. Rodriguez, Stewart, and Cuddyer. That's almost the whole lineup. Yes, Lew Ford will be "hitting" everyday and his numbers (.268/.311/.390/.704) have been disappointing, to be sure. But hey, he's been playing pretty much every day, anyway. The DH spot can now be manned on a full time basis (except when THE MAN does it) by Matthew LeCroy. LeCroy is hitting .277/.376/.473/.849. Substituting LeCroy into the lineup for Hunter is a substantial improvement, probably more of a benefit than the detriment of losing Hunter's excellent play in the field. Ah, but SBG, what about Hunter's leadership? Surely, that will be missed. I love questions like this. I swat them away like flies. This team is where it is and not 15 games below .500 because of the pitching staff. Santana, Radke, Silva, Rincon, Nathan et al. are primarily responsible for this season's winning record to this point. I'm pretty sure that Hunter has absolutely no impact on the pitching staff whatsoever. What about the offense? Check the stats. This team is pretty much the worst offensive team in the league. The Twins (454) are 12th in runs scored, ahead of only KC (450) and Seattle (450). Seattle plays in a severe pitcher's park. KC plays, well KC plays with a roster filled with minor leaguers. In short, this team has been a disaster offensively. Where exactly is Hunter leading this team? How has his "leadership" improved the play on the field? Is he leading by example? Except for a seven game stretch, he's been one of the worst bats in the lineup (J.C.Twin notwithstanding). Perhaps if he had developed a consistant approach at the plate (or rather, had developed a better eye) he could have shown other players the right way to hit. Instead, he goes up there and flails his way to Rivasland. I find this frustrating, because Hunter has a lot of talent. How about in the clubhouse? He's criticized both Mauer and Morneau in the paper. He's complained about the loss of Koskie in the paper. Torii, you go to war with the army you have, to borrow an unfortunate phrase. Anyone can complain about what isn't there. A leader helps those who are actually on the team succeed. These comments seem likely to have had a negative effect on morale more than anything else. If I were Torii, I'd be watching THE MAN, who shows every day on the field exactly the approach everyone should take at the plate. Hell, even Jones has been more patient (and consistent) than Hunter. Imagine that. Frankly, I don't believe (and you shouldn't be surprised by this) that leadership on a baseball team is all that important. Teams that win generally get along. Teams that lose generally don't get along. Teams playing in the Bronx are playing in a fishbowl and constantly have tension, regardless of whether they are winning. I don't think that Torii's "leadership" has helped or hurt the team much at all. The fact is, the Twins have a deficient lineup. And Torii himself hasn't been very good most of the time. The result? 454 runs through 102 games. LeCroy should have been taking Jacque Jones' spot in the lineup against lefties, but the manager doesn't see it that way. Had the manager been platooning Jones, this injury would have hurt a lot more. Then again, maybe the team would have had more wins at this point. I don't wish an injury on anyone, least of all a guy like Torii Hunter. I feel bad for Torii and I hope he heals quickly. But, if the Twins don't make the playoffs, don't accept Torii's injury as a good excuse. They weren't going to make it anyway.|W|P|112274214593566284|W|P|The Impact of Losing Torii|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/30/2005 07:27:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|"LeCroy should have been taking Jacque Jones' spot in the lineup against lefties, but the manager doesn't see it that way. Had the manager been platooning Jones, this injury would have hurt a lot more. Then again, maybe the team would have had more wins at this point."

This is exactly the point I think is important. Unfortunately now that Torii is out there's even a better chance that Gardo will be given a pass for his horrible line-up decisions.7/30/2005 10:10:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Hello, cat lovers, it's SBG writing the weekly cat posting here at The Mag. Lucy and I took Eleanor Rigby to the vet this morning. Jags and Theo tagged along. Elly had BAD BREATH! Terrible! I should have looked in her mouth, but I didn't. Seems she has a very serious case of Gingivitis, which the vet says was very unusual. She also had rather pungent urine smell, which may be related. The vet suspected that maybe she could have some feline leukemia, which is the death knell for any cat. Elly had been tested prior to our adopting her. We had her tested again, because the feline leukemia is contagious and we didn't want her with Jags and Theo if she were positive, unless of course, the boys were immunized. Turns out she doesn't have the leukemia. She does have to take an antibiotic for her sore mouth and hopefully this will end both of her smell problems. Lucy meanly refers to my little girl as "Smelly Elly." Needless to say, SBG's wallet was impacted by this trip to the vet. Oh well, the cats are being taken care of. No pictures today. Sorry! Oh yeah, I almost forgot. All three cats got weighed. Jags: 12.2 pounds, down from 12.5 pounds in November. The boy has been more active the last several months. He runs and jumps a lot more. I figured at one time that he weighed more than this, but lately I've seen that he hasn't really filled out that much. Nevertheless, the uncaring vet called him "fat." Theo: 11.2 pounds. This cat is fat, and he knows it. He's about 10 inches shorter, nose to tail, than Jags. Yet, he weighs only one pound less. I guess it's time to start regulating their food intake. Theo was quite scared with this trip. He was shedding profusely. Elly: 6.2 pounds. She's about 5 1/2 months old. She is losing her baby teeth, in fact, she lost a tooth at the vet today. Despite her mouth problems, she's a very good cat. She was quite frightened today by this trip. We got her in the elevator and she was meowing loudly and squirming. Really a homebody. Okay, Cheesehead Craig, settle down. I'll dig up a file photo or two of the cats.
I could get this particular picture everyday. Jags lies around like this all of the time. Theo looking to do some travelling. That's Elly's tongue, not her sore gumline.
SBG|W|P|112273667062081587|W|P|SBG on the Cats|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/31/2005 02:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Really, 11-12 pounds is within normal weight range for adult cats. Also, although feline leukemia is a terminal disease for many cats, it's a "death knell" only for about one-third of those diagnosed with the illness. One-third of cats with FLV are carriers of the virus but may live a normal, healthy life, and one-third of those diagnosed actually may kick the disease altogether. As long as the other cats in the house have been vaccinated, it should be safe to mix them with FLV cats, too. But I'm glad to hear that Elly is fine, aside from her gingivitus, so no worries!7/31/2005 03:07:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Lucy says Jags is "big-boned" and not fat! :)

Thanks for the info on FLV. I am still a relative newbie on cat care.8/01/2005 07:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Yeah, Jags looks fine to me. Theo might be a little chunky for his size, but doesn't look bad.7/30/2005 08:39:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Boston -200, Minnesota +180. This is the biggest spread we've seen. I think it's also interesting that there is a 20 point house cut here when there is usually 10, meaning that they are not sure how this is going to bet out. Last night, I correctly picked the BoSox and am now in the black. Silva, as I thought, pitched a whale of a game, and it was only a little league style play (if you didn't see it, you wouldn't believe it, the Twins were throwing the ball around like ten year olds and it led to two unearned runs -- two errors were charged on the play, but it should have been three) that prevented Silva from leaving the game trailing 2-1 (including about a 310 home run around Pesky's pole. Another great performance, but he left trailing 4-1. Then, the Twins offense came to life, scoring 5 times in the last three innings (including the one run that they had when Silva left). THE MAN, Joe Mauer, deposited a long home run into the BoSox bullpen, Terry Tiffee drilled a triple over Jesus, allowing J.C. Twin, who had walked, to score. Truly a holy play, that one. Jacque Jones, who has quietly been just about the best offensive player on this team this year not named Joe Mauer, crushed a two-run job. Alas, Crain and Romero combined to allow four runs in the eighth. The first batter of the inning reached on an error and Crain walked the next two. In comes Romero with the bases loaded and no one out. Twins fans everywhere knew it wasn't good. And it wasn't. John Olerud (who has, incidentally, been to SBGville -- his grandparents live in ND) cranked a granny and the game was over. The big news, of course is that Torii Hunter tore a tendon in his ankle in the first inning and is out four to six weeks. I think I'll address this later, but for now, I would say that it's not as big a loss as you might believe. SBG|W|P|112273156797295876|W|P|Saturday's Odds|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/30/2005 10:38:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss would like to point out that (in Moss' opinion, and after some thought on Moss' part) the official scorer got the errors correct on the little-league play. Mauer gets an error for missing the dribbling throw from Jones(?), permitting the runner to score, with Silva backing up. The throw by Silva back to Mauer at the plate did not result in any additional gain by the Red Sox, as the runner would have scored even without the errant throw. Thus, no error. Morneau backed up and threw cleanly to third, and then L-Rod proceeded to plunk Damon in the head. The second error goes to L-Rod for the throw, allowing Damon to score. An errant play can't be an "error" unless there is an advantage (i.e., an extra base or an extra out) gained by the other team.

It's definitely frustrating knowing the locals should have had a better chance to win that game.

Oh, and in case the 'tool didn't get the memo the first twenty or thirty times:

YOU CAN'T BRING IN ROMERO WITH RUNNERS ON BASE!! PULL YOUR HEAD OUT OF THE TOOL SHED!7/30/2005 12:46:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|It's debatable I suppose whether Damon could have got to third. Nevertheless, it was a bad play.

Ironically, it seems that Romero is about the only guy who comes into the game in this situation. That granny can't help his trade value.7/29/2005 05:08:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|The Twins are sending out their best pitcher (at least this year) tonight against the Red Sox. The Red Sox are sending out Bronson Arroyo. Both pitchers have been up and down a little recently, however, Silva has been better. I think that Silva gives the Twins a definitive pitching edge. Then, there's the offense. The Red Sox lead the American League in Runs Scored, with 552 in 101 games, an average of 5.47 runs a game. The Twins are 12th in the 14 team league with 449 runs, an average of just 4.45 runs a game. (In fact, the Twins have scored just four more runs than Seattle, who have scored the fewest runs in the AL in the same number of games. And Seattle plays in a pitcher's park.) Since the break, it's been even worse. The Twins are averaging a paltry 3.53 runs a game in their first 15 games since the break. In almost half of their games (seven of 15 and four of the last six), the Twins have scored two or fewer runs. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are averaging 5.64 runs a game since the break. It's really hard to pick against Carlos Silva. I think he will pitch a good game. But, there's about a 50-50 chance that the Twins will score nothing or next to nothing. I think the offense will stink it up again tonight. My pick is Boston.|W|P|112267603445919424|W|P|Hard to bet Against Silva|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/29/2005 05:27:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time stamp: Boston over Twins.7/29/2005 07:41:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Boston -154, Minnesota 144. This is correct!!!!! I will make a selection. I will also post standings this weekend.|W|P|112264095671566654|W|P|Line for 7/29 game v. Boston|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/28/2005 08:46:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Something I haven't done for a while is Shout Out! I don't have a lot to talk about tonight (the Twins game was pffft). So, it's time to get to it. First of all, a Shout Out! to Seth Stohs from Seth Speaks. Seth is a good friend of SBG, the Online Magazine. Thanks for the link earlier this week! Next, a Shout Out! to all of you who are playing the SBG contest. I hope you are enjoying it. Not being even close to the lead, I could be enjoying it more. Friends, if you have not yet gotten in, there is still time! Then, a Shout Out! to Drew. Thanks for writing your column on Lance Armstrong last weekend. Also, thanks for the article from the East Side fish wrap factory. Looks like there are some readers of this site over there, too. Billions, I tell you! Of course, a Shout Out! to Moss. Moss, I'm waiting for your contribution. Perhaps you are too busy! Not to forget, a Shout Out! to Big Henk. If you need help with your showdown with the neighbor, never hesitate to ask. Once again, a Shout Out! to Cheer or Die! What a great website you run. Good work. And finally, a Shout Out! to Aaron Gleeman. Stop by and read my site once in a while, AG! That's it. I'm out. SBG|W|P|112260245401670921|W|P|Shout Out!|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/28/2005 09:47:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|SBG: Thanks for the SO, but I don't even come close to what you've been posting here lately. Awesome analytical work. Maybe I can come to you later in the Vikes season to do a retrospective piece on Vikes kickers throughout history and their percentage of FG's made when kicking in 35-degree or lower temps in December when the moon is full during a leap year.

Just great pieces that I've thoroughly enjoyed. Keep it up! Maybe you could hire JC Twin to do some grunt work for you when he gets cut!7/28/2005 10:26:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Heavy Critters|W|P|And I'd like to give BIG UPS! to my main man RUN and his dope home slice D to the M to the C in this year's smash hit, "Krush Groove"

Word up to all my fly homies. Word is bond, yo. WORD IS BOND. Ain't no thing but a chicken wing.

Peace!

Bloody P7/28/2005 11:18:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|speaking of things you haven't done in a while...what happened to pepper?7/29/2005 07:48:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'll get the Pepper! thing going again, soon.

COD -- Do I have a need for a washed up egomaniac? I'll check. Perhaps he can format some documents or something. :)

Bloody P -- Drop me an e-mail. I have an idea.7/29/2005 09:45:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|And I'd like to send a shout out to you SBG! You've been writing some really good stuff recently. Sorry about my silence! Please know, however, that I am one of your billions of daily readers!7/29/2005 02:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|I concur with Shane. You've hit a creative and analytical vein lately and it's been a pleasure reading it.

You know, B-G calls her acolytes the Batlings, maybe we, your loyal followers, can be called the G-Strings?7/29/2005 02:57:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|No offense, CC, and thanks for the compliments, but I do not want to associate G-Strings with the demographic that regularly reads this page! :)7/28/2005 12:16:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Because I inadvertently messed up the odds for today's game, I have decided not to participate. SBG|W|P|112257101412729565|W|P|No Choice for SBG Today|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/28/2005 08:57:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota -160, New York +140. Note: I screwed this up. If no one had made a prediction, I would have changed these. But, people have predicted, so I have to leave it as is.|W|P|112255910153896879|W|P|Odds for Today|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/28/2005 07:30:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Friends, SBG needed a night off. No posting last night. I was pretty tired and I went to bed at about 9:30, and I don't know the outcome of the game. I'm assuming the Twins won, it was 7-3 in the ninth. Regardless, there were some positive things to take away from this game. First of all, the Twins got a very nice performance from Santana. It wasn't the type of performance that had us absolutely giddy, nevertheless, he held the Yanks scoreless for 7 innings, and that counts for something. The Twins need to win nearly every start by Santana for the rest of the year. He has to be the stopper. Second, Dick & Bert discussed Johan's pitching mechamics. Apparently, he's had problems maintaining the arm speed on his changeup - thereby causing it to be recognizable. Also his location is off. I guess maybe it's not because we miss Henry Blanco. Third, the Yankees look vulnerable. Al Leiter, who pitched great in his first Yankee start, threw about 120 pitches to get through five innings. That he allowed just one run was testament to the Twins ineptitude. He allowed, I believe, 13 batters to reach in five innings. One runner was thrown out at the plate and anmothwe erased on a double play, meaning the Twins had a .500 OBP against him. Talk about not getting a big hit. Anyway, my point is that the Yanks pitching is in ruins. They are one of the Twins' chief competitors. Perhaps the Twins can hold them off. Fourth, Li'l Harmon had a double and an HR. I didn't see the HR, but I did see the double. It was a beauty. Opposite field, off a lefty and booming off the wall. Right here at this page, you read that Li'l Harmon needs to stay with the big club. He needs to do it here. He's showing signs and once he learns to adjust here, he will be The Man (a). (a)? What's that???? Well, Joe Mauer is The Man. Friends, that's all I have. Today's game is a noon start. A win today would be nice. Carry on with what you were doing.|W|P|112255558747149501|W|P|Night Off|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/28/2005 08:30:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Andrew|W|P|Are you saying you went to bed in the ninth? You couldn't have stayed up another 10 minutes? Geeze SBG, what were you thinking?7/28/2005 08:59:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I actually fell asleep before that. I went to bed and turned on the radio for a second and caught the ninth inning score.7/28/2005 10:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Andrew|W|P|I suppose I shouldn't be too critical. I missed innings 2-top of 5. Late night Tuesday.7/28/2005 11:09:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I missed the whole Rincon debacle. It was 6-0 when I went to sleep and 7-3 when I woke up and went to bed.7/27/2005 05:21:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Heck, the guy is younger than your best buddy, SBG. And, he's a lefty, which means he should be able to pitch in long relief or as a LOOGY for another decade. But, he's facing another lefty tonight who's just a little better. I think Johan will do okay (Radke did fine last night) against the Bombers and I predict that even J.C. Twin will do some damage against Leiter tonight. My pick? The Twins. Update: I'll be around tonight, so go ahead and leave a comment, if you wish.|W|P|112250316199368669|W|P|Leiter is a Whippersnapper|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/27/2005 06:20:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|time stamp. I posted here at about 5:30, but forgot to put a time stamp. Twins over Yanks.7/27/2005 06:24:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|In the first inning, you see the lack of range of Captain October. Hunter hits a ball that Jeter has to dive for and can't make a play on.

In the bottom of the first, Jeter hits the same ball and Nick Punto gets to it easily.

Of course, Jeter dove for the ball and he gets credit for getting dirty.7/27/2005 07:07:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|After leaving the bases full in the first AND the second, the Twins break through in the third. What a beautiful sight. Li'l Harmon doubling off the left field wall off a left fielder. That's a great sign that the kid might be snapping out of it.

But then, J.C. Twin was thrown out at the plate by 30 feet. Did he run through a stop sign? Who would send him? I don't know the answer, but Bert said that Scotty Ullger was relying on a bad throw. Scotty, were you the guy that screwed up, or was it J.C. Twin?7/27/2005 07:10:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|God, Jeter is thrown out at the plate by plenty. The replay clearly shows that he was sent by his third base coach. So, the Yanks think they can run on Torii Hunter. That's funny.7/26/2005 08:53:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|
First things first. Odds for Wednesday's game: New York +125, Minnesota -135. If you haven't yet entered the contest, what are you waiting for?
Back on July 6th, I took a poll about the Twins chances. I had written how the Twins had a very tough second half schedule. At that time, the average record of the teams that the Twins had to play over the last 76 games was .525. I posited that Cleveland for one team, was one that could make a run at the Twins, with their easy second half schedule. Then I asked this question:
Given the relative Strengths of Schedule, how worried are you about the Indians?
Your Answers: Not at all. The Twins are a better team and they will show it in the second half of the season. 15% A little worried. I think that the Twins are better, but damn they have it easy. 30% A whole lot worried. Cleveland really looks like they have the inside track. 43% Damn, we just don't have a chance. Maybe next year. 8% I hate all your negativity, SBG! I'm going to go elsewhere and talk about Torii's cute butt. 5% Well, Cleveland hasn't played very well since then, and still they are just 1.5 games behind the Twins. They certainly still have a pretty easy schedule, as they have played a lot of their toughest second half games already. I'm not saying that Cleveland will win the wild card, nor am I saying that they are the favorites to do so. I'm just saying that a recent bad run is not enough to discount them. Meanwhile, the Twins have played some tough teams, and they've stumbled out of the gate here in the second half. In addition, the Oakland A's have bolted into the Wild Card lead. With tonight's loss to the Yankees and 18 of the next 21 games against the Yankees, White Sox, Red Sox and the A's, it's not out of the realm of possibility that the Twins could fall below .500 if they go south here. Of course, if they get hot, they could really make a move. They've shown no indication that they will make a move, however. Depite playing a tough schedule right out of the break, the Twins remaining 63 games have an average record of .525. How? The teams they have yet to play have continued to win. Check out Frightwig's chart. Since June 1, the Twins have been outplayed by pretty much every serious contender (except the Orioles). And now the Twins have to play a brutal schedule. Having said that, I wanted to take your temperature. And so tonight we have another poll:
How do you feel about the Twins playoff chances?
Great. They going to get in, no question.
Pretty Good. This team has won before.
50-50.
Not so good.
No chance.
More cats, SBG!
Free polls from Pollhost.com
Top Jimmy Gets His Knife Out
"Top Jimmy" Souhan got his knife out and skewered J.C. Twin today. Top Jimmy tells us that not only has he not hit worth a shit, he's a bad clubhouse guy. Sometimes, I just get tired. Top Jimmy, who gives a damn if J.C. Twin is a little boastful. If he would have hit, this information would never have come out. Nope, he would have been a key player. But, he hasn't hit -- so he's a bad guy, to boot. I could not give a damn about these kinds of things. I will say this. It sounds like a story passed on to Top Jimmy by the Twins brass. It seems to be an attempt to take the heat off of the Twins and distribute it to J.C. Twin. Instead of trying to solve this infield problem (which they should have dealt with in the off-season), the Twins decided to try to solve it on the cheap. Top Jimmy should have smelled this out when they made that deal. Instead, when the Twins traded for J.C. Twin, here's what Top Jimmy said.
This Twins team requires an infusion of savvy and confidence. [snip] Boone said all the right things -- even that he was happy to bat anywhere in the lineup. It's comforting to know he doesn't really think that way. The Boone wants to bat in the middle of the order. The Boone wants to rattle the ball off the big, white curtain. And that's the approach the entire team should take the rest of this season.
On July 15, just 11 days ago, Souhan proclaimed that the Twins needed to play with Boone's attitude. Now, his attitude is a problem. Here's what I had to say about that trade.
[H]ere's my reaction to the deal. One, before the deal, I wasn't for it... the Twins need punch in the lineup and they don't need a washed up second baseman to stink it up. Now that the deal is done, I'll look at what possibly Boone could do for the Twins (the deal's "upside"). Boone could be re-energized by a change of scenery. Perhaps he'll regain some semblance of his pre-2004 form and provide a spark offensively, just like Shannon Stewart did in 2003. Of course, the 2003 Stewart didn't come to Minnesota carrying the baggage of steadily declining numbers. Perhaps Boone will provide some enthusiasm in the clubhouse. I have to believe that things have been a little down in the Twins lockerroom lately. Torii Hunter's little prank the other day smells like a guy who's really concerned about the overall mood. Gotta think everyone's down. Then again, Boonie was crying like a baby on TV the other day. Prozac, anyone? Perhaps settling the second base job will get Rivas out of the lineup permanently. With Punto playing short (have you seen Castro's numbers lately? .240/.262/.358/.620!!! Horrible!) and Rodriguez playing third (how about another deal!!!) the lineup might be a little better. I don't know. I don't see this moving helping a whole lot, unless Boone reverts to his former self. I'll be interested to see what the Twins had to give up in this deal because they decided to sign Jacque Jones and Luis Rivas instead of going after some real infielders in the off-season. In any event, Twins fans should look at that day (Jones and Rivas signings) as the day when Terry Ryan's winning streak in the off season ended.
I was never for this deal. I really thought he was washed up. It was all about his performance on the field. He hasn't done it. Who cares if he is cocky or not. He has played like crap. If he had played great and been insufferable in the clubhouse, the fans would cheer his every move. It's really that simple. Now, it's about who they have to give up. I didn't say everyone should take his approach and eleven days later say that he didn't fit in. That was Top Jimmy. On that note, let's go to the charts. I'm tired of following this joker. The fourth biggest Has-Been in Twins history took the collar tonight.
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
44280003.217.182.399
Things are starting to get tough out there.
Twins Second Half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 up to .500 teams.500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-04-41-4
Third place, but just a game out. Did I mention that it's starting to get tough out there?
Wild CardWLPctGB
New York5345.541-
Oakland5446.540-
Minnesota5346.5351.0
Baltimore5148.5152.5
Cleveland5249.5152.5
Toronto5049.5043.5
Detroit5050.4954.0
Texas4950.4954.5
Last thought. I was watching the FSN special on 1965. Jim Kaat was talking about Sandy Koufax. Kitty Kaat, damn he's great. A near or deserving HOFer, he's a great conversationalist and baseball announcer. Miss you, Kitty! |W|P|112243003538020364|W|P|SBG Takes your Temperature|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/27/2005 08:27:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Moss was fairly neutral on the Boone deal, because it was so low-risk. But it has turned out worse than Moss would have expected. Boone of course can't hit, but he can't find himself on the field either. Cut the strings, TR!!

[Moss wonders whether Boone can be the PTBNL in the deal...Moss thinks that has happened before.]7/27/2005 08:51:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|I'm making this prediction SBG, go ahead and bookmark this to throw it in my face later. The Brewers will end up with a better record than the Twins come end of season. Brett "Bee" Bonnet was the deathknell for the team.7/27/2005 09:08:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|It's my personal opinion, but Bret Boone boasting before he came gave us hope; we wanted to believe that good things could happen. Bret Boone being arrogant now is just annoying, because he has nothing current to back it up; good things have not happened.7/27/2005 09:27:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'd like to be a fly on the wall in the clubhouse. Is this guy really spouting off after falling flat on his face? That's what I want to know.7/26/2005 05:29:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|With the odds so great in favor of the Yanks, it's tempting to take the underdog here, if only because a win could really net me some serious points. If were actually betting money, I'd stay away from this game because of the big spread. But, because I have no money riding on this one, I'll take the Yanks, if only because I think that Randy Johnson'll be able to keep the kiddies virtually hitless. Not because he's the Cy Young winning version of the Big Unit, but because our boys have been pretty silent lately with the lumber. Oh, and this tidbit on Joe Mauer from Reusse's column. Says Scotty Ullger:
He knows the strike zone so well. He already has the respect of the umpires. He got a little upset the other night, when Dale Scott called him out on a pitch 8 inches inside. Real calm, Joe said to him: 'You know the game's not over yet, Dale.' Scott said, 'I don't umpire like that.' Joe nodded and said, 'You should take another look at that pitch. You'll see it was inside.' Nobody's mad, but Joe got his point across.
It seems to me that perhaps the manager could take some lessons in dealing with people, especially umpires, from his 22-year old catcher. I'll be close to the computer tonight, so if you have a comment, leave it here. SBG|W|P|112241873366927454|W|P|Tough Choice|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/26/2005 05:59:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time Stamp: Yanks over Twins.7/26/2005 07:04:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|"I'll take the Yanks, if only because I think that Randy Johnson'll be able to keep the kiddies virtually hitless"

... "virtually hitless"? Right now it's looking like he is going to literally keep us hitless. This is pathetic. PROTECT THE PLATE WITH TWO STRIKES! Good lord...7/26/2005 07:29:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|What has frustrated me about playing the Yanks for most of the last several years is that no matter how they are playing at the time we face them they always seem to crush us. It's been a little better the last two years, but not a lot.7/26/2005 07:37:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|At least we've moved from the land of "literally hitless." A no-no for 5 2/3 innings.

How about this? Johnson has 9 Ks through six innings and yet has only thrown 72 pitches.7/26/2005 07:37:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|You know Ullger loves him because Mauer is like the straight-A student who sat in the front row and turned in top-notch work from day one, so he hasn't had to teach him anything; but even if every other kid in class is struggling, teacher can claim that star student as one of his own successes.

You make a good point about the manager. If Mauer's quiet, mature way of talking to umpires is such a virtue, then by implication Gardy must be the example of what NOT to do. And if A.J.'s prickly personality really turned umpires against the team, as management claimed after he left, then how long before Gardy must be fired for the very same reason?7/26/2005 07:48:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|The fact that Ullger said these things was almost left off the page. But, hey, at least he made a positive statement about the kid in the paper, something that has been all too rare by a member of the Twins coaching staff.7/26/2005 08:50:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|No runs, two hits. I guess that qualifies as virtually hitless.7/26/2005 09:25:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Taking Unit against the Twins was a no-brainer for me. Like you said SBG, the light-hitting Twins had absolutely no chance.7/25/2005 08:07:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Who's the Biggest Has-Been When He Debuted with the Twins of them all?

First Things First: The line for tomorrow: New York -200, Minnesota +180.

With the J.C. Twin situation playing out even worse than I anticipated, I had a thought today for a column that requires a little research. But first some background. Pretty much everyone in the free world knows that the Boston Red Sox sold Babe Ruth to the Yankees, setting in motion the Yankees' dominance of baseball for most of the last 85 years. Not as many people know that Ruth returned to play for Boston. The Boston Braves that is. In 1935, at the age of 40, Ruth played 28 games for the Boston Braves, hitting .181/.359/.431/.790. For Ruth, an OPS of .790 was absolutely disgraceful. But, even worse was the .181 batting average, which was a more important number back then. Ruth's days with the Braves were a "hide your eyes" type of moment. The greatest player of his era, he was reduced to a has-been, wearing a uniform with which he was not familiar. Flash forward to 1973. Wille Mays, a proud Giant in New York and then San Francisco, returned to the New York Mets (actually he was traded in 1972). The Say Hey kid hit an abysmal .211/.303/.344/.647. Once the greatest center fielder, he was now lost in the field, a truly sad sight -- and in a Mets uniform. My own personal pain was in 1975. I saw in person my first Twins hero, Harmon Killebrew, playing for the Kansas City Royals. He got caught in a rundown between third and home and he just fell down and allowed the Twins player to tag him out. It was certainly hard to take. I sure didn't appreciate watching him suffer through a .199/.317/.375/.692 season either. With Boone in a strange uniform, looking like a shell of his former self, I decided to determine who were the biggest has-beens when they debuted with the Twins. (I already know the answer to the absolutely biggest has-been.) Here are the criteria. The player has to have played their first game with the Twins in their 35 year old season or later. I will rank the players in terms of their overall career value from one to ten and their abilities at the time the Twins acquired them from one to ten. Then I will multiply the two ratings to determine the biggest has-beens (as opposed to never-weres). First, the scales. In terms of the careers value, I will assign points using the following criteria:
ValueDescription
10One of the very best all time at their position
9First Ballot Hall of Famer
8Hall of Famer or Deserving Thereof
7Reasonably Close to a Hall of Famer
6Very Good Player for a Number of Years
5Deserving All Star at Least Once
4Starter Worthy at Some Point
3Never More than a Role Player
2Short Career
1Cup of Coffee
Second, the ability of the player at the time of the Twins' acquisition.
ValueDescription
10An outright embarassment to their legacy (Reserved for HOFers)
9Perhaps the worst player in the league
8No discernable skills remaining no value whatsoever
7Severely diminished - almost no value
6Limited to special roles
5Bench player
4Border line every day player
3Bona fide starter in the major leagues
2All-Star Caliber Player
1One of the very best in the game
Whew! That took some time. Surprisingly, the Twins have had only 31 players who debuted with the Twins in their 35 year old season or later. A couple of these players were Cubans in the early sixties who only had a cup of coffee in the majors, period. I've whittled down the list and come up with the ten biggest has-beens in Twins History. Here they are.
NameValueConditionScoreComments
Steve Carlton1010100Carlton won 329 games in the majors and four Cy Young awards. Top five in strikeouts. One of the very best left handed pitchers of all time. But, by the time he came to the Twins in 1987, he was a total embarassment. He pitched in nine games in 1987, starting 7 and had a 1-5 record with a 6.70 ERA. Left off the playoff roster. Amazingly, he came back the next year and allowed 20 hits and 19 runs (18 earned) in 9 2/3 innings. He was beyond done, yet he refused to believe the obvious. His career ended when he was released on April 28, 1988.
Jesse Orosco6954A very good player for a long time, Orosco pitched until he was the worst player in the league. He pitched for six different teams after the age of 42. Refusing to quit until they tore the uniform off his back, he pitched 4 1/3 innings in eight appearances(!).
Vic Wertz7749Probably best known for hitting a 460 foot out in the 1954 World Series that was caught by Willie Mays, Wertz was a four time all-star and seven times was in the top ten in the league in home runs. His career OPS+ of 121 was nearly that of Kirby Puckett's (124). Ended his career with the Twins in 1963, hitting .136/.240/.341/.581 in 44 at bats. His condition may have been worse, but I never saw him play. He did hit .324/.357/.486/.843 in limited duty in 1962.
Bret Boone6742Actually may not merit a 6 in value. He's not the worst player in the game right now, but he is severly diminished. His hitting and fielding woes merit him a big old seven and the fourth biggest has-been to debut with the Twins.
Tippy Martinez5840Another flyer taken in 1988, the Twins quickly realized that he was going nowhere fast. Eight earned runs in four innings for the Twins spelled the end of his career.
Joe Niekro5735Yet another experiment in 1987, he was absolutely dreadful, but became famous for taking an emery board out to the mound.
Don Baylor7535Baylor was a one-time MVP, but nothing more than a bench player in 1987. Acquired at the trade deadline, he hit one home run for the Twins: but it was in Game 6 of the World Series.
Terry Mulholland5630Yes, he was a starter for part of the year last year, but seriously, he's got very little value. Works hard, is wily, cagey, and he throws about as hard as I do.
Jose Offerman5630Aaron Gleeman's favorite pinch hitter, he actually did okay last year. But with no defensive skills remaining and very little power, he was quite limited.
Dave Winfield9327A first ballot hall of famer and one of the great all around athletes of his time, he was a bona fide starter (at DH) in the league when he arrived in Minnesota. But he was a shadow of his former self. Thus, his inclusion on this list as a has-been was warranted.
A few qualifiers. Obviously, this list is subjective and a quick little project. I tried to factor in how far a player had fallen by multiplying a player's career value by their condition. Winfield was certainly much better when he arrived (at the age of 41!) than a lot of other guys on this list. But, he was a shadow of his glory days. I knew when I started this project that Steve Carlton would top this list. No question about it. I was surprised to find that Vic Wertz had been a Twin. The list certainly might be out of order in your mind. But, it is what it is, a list of names from the Twins past (and in one case, present).|W|P|112234373901789561|W|P|Mirror, Mirror on the Wall...|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/26/2005 03:35:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Good list.

Honorable mention, though, has to go to Mike Trombley. I know it wasn't his Twins debut, but his "comeback" in 2002 is about the epitome of washed-up.7/26/2005 03:41:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Brian|W|P|You won't find any sports story this good in that Commie paper, the STrib.

And to think they get paid and you don't!7/26/2005 03:54:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Ah, Mike Trombley. I see a vision of a grand slam in the rain. I see Mike Trombley causing Twins fans everywhere to curse out loud. It's all clear to me now.

Yes, he was as washed up as washed up gets. He was also 35 when the Twins reacquired him. He failed to make the list only because of a technicality. A "9" on the condition and a three or four on the career value would have put him on the list.7/26/2005 04:25:00 PM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|Thanks for remembering TJ Mulholland. I'd say your scoring was right on.

I had never really heard of Offerman until he made the club last year.7/26/2005 04:42:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Well, it looks like Souhan is off the Boone Bandwagon. Did you see that hatchet job in the Strib today? Man, that was cold. I knew Boone was washed up even before he got here and didn't mind saying so; the day of the trade, I said Boone looked like an offensive downgrade on every in-house 2B but Rivas, and his defense this year was worse than all the in-house alternatives, too. But for a newspaper columnist to go from supporter of an acquisition to slicing the player to pieces in 2 weeks must be some kind of new record.7/26/2005 04:52:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Poor Jose Offerman! Over 1500 hits collected in obscurity!

Probably best known for signing a four-year $20 million contract with the Red Sox in 1999 and then falling pretty much flat on his face. Did not play in the majors in 2003 (released by the Expos!! in spring training), but became that important left handed pinch hitter last year for the Twins.7/26/2005 05:15:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Yeah, FW, I shook my head when I read that.7/24/2005 08:35:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|What a busy weekend here at the World's Greatest Online Magazine. Well, maybe this isn't the world's greatest online magazine, but it's the best one that I write, and that counts for something. Well, maybe that doesn't count for much either, but I will say that there has been a lot of activity here. First of all, I have posted an update to our contest here. Congratulations to BEM, who has the lead after a week. Your benevolent leader is, uh, trailing. Secondly, Lucy discussed Eleanor Rigby here. Finally, I rambled on about the Twins and various other minutae all weekend. Go ahead and peruse the page below. Whew! I'm tired from all this writing! Fortunately, I have earned a brief respite. My friend Drew, the first participant in my once and future game called Pepper!, has been threatening to write something for this page for some time. He's finally come through and has written a reflection on Lance Armstrong's seventh Tour de France. Take it away, Drew and thanks for your contribution!
Drew's Take on Lance Armstrong
I mentioned to SBG on Friday afternoon that he should post an article about Lance Armstrong, given that the guy was about to win an unprecedented seventh straight Tour de France. I knew by SBG�s hesitation that he had little interest in the subject, so I immediately mentioned that I write up something for the Magazine. SBG said he�d heard similar promises from me before, but never saw any real substance. Well, Mr. Editor, here you go�[And yes, the whole Lance Armstrong thing is a little bandwagon, but that�s the nature of the Twin Cities� sports scene. So, hop on and let�s go for a ride.] Now, before I begin, I should warn you that I know nothing about cycling. I don�t follow the sport, can hardly name another rider besides Lance, and don�t even own a road bike myself. However, I get the general idea. Get on bike. Ride for three to five hours. Climb mountains. Descend at speeds normally reserved for military aircraft. And, for purposes of the Tour de France, do that for about a month straight. (A quick aside: I�m really surprised that no one has mentioned how unpatriotic it is to refer to this contest as the Tour de France. Shouldn�t it be called the Tour de Freedom, especially since a guy from Texas has owned the thing for the better part of the last decade? To be safe, I�ll just call it the Tour.) That�s my knowledge about cycling, however, I know one thing: Lance Armstrong kicks a**. Outside a few other individuals (whom I�ll get to in a minute), he may be the greatest athlete I�ve ever seen. And it�s not because he�s won seven Tours. No, it�s the way he�s won them. There are two things that are just flat out amazing about Lance. First, it�s that he�s invincible. I know Shaq likes to think of himself as Superman, but the fact is that he can�t make a basket if he�s more than five feet from the hoop. Lance, on the other hand, is a superman. Check the Internet and you�ll find stories about how is the best conditioned athlete doctors have ever seen. (It has to with the way his body processes oxygen. There�s a recent article in a major medical journal that describes this in detail.). But, that�s just the start. The guy never seems to make a mistake on the bike. He matches every attack with utter ease. He rides uphill like most riders do going down. He never loses. Plus, there�s the whole-overcoming-a-near-fatal-bout-of-cancer thing. The other amazing thing about Lance is the way he beats his opponents. He doesn�t so much beat his opponents as completely destroy them. He seems to take pleasure in doing so. Every once in awhile some rider will challenge Lance and take off on an attack. Lance appears to say to the guy �Okay, give it your best shot because I�m going to match that and blow you away.� It�s almost as if Lance likes to see the other rides punish themselves before he takes them out. You get the feeling that the other riders sometimes just want to quit, throw their bikes into the lovely French countryside, and cry for awhile. Just imagine the feeling a rider must have to look back and see Lance bearing down on him. Game. Over. Okay, there�s more than two things that are amazing about Lance: How about the fact that he�s made himself the definition of cool by participating in a rather uncool sport? When you think of cyclists, you generally think of tight shorts and people delivering packages. But, because of Lance, now you think of rock-star girlfriends, trendy fashion accessories, and a bad-a** athlete who dominated the world�s most difficult race for seven straight years. How about the fact that he appears to be tougher than a middle linebacker, again while participating in a sport where most of the athletes look about as intimidating as jockeys and marathon runners? I get the feeling that if Lance were to walk into a biker bar (Harley, not Trek) that guys would step aside and then buy him a beer. How about the fact that he keeps winning despite the fact that most of his competitors are more juiced up than pro wrestlers? Let�s be honest, the only sport with a bigger drug problem than cycling is probably track & field. But, that�s like a dozen sports rolled into one, so it�s a bit of an unfair comparison. How about the fact that he inspires people to be better at�well, just about everything? Sure, I wanted to �Be Like Mike.� (Another aside: What a great commercial. If that didn�t get you going, you probably lacked a pulse.) But, millions of people practically kill themselves trying to become 1/1000th the athlete he is. Just check your local bike trails. All wanna-be Lances. Ask some triathletes or runners and they�ll tell you that when the going gets tough, they think about Lance and kick it up a notch. For goodness sake, he made wearing yellow rubber bands the fashion statement of the new millennium. And that�s just people playing sports; think of the impact he�s had on people battling cancer and other terrible diseases. Unreal. There�s a lot more cool about Lance Armstrong, but you get the picture. The guy is undoubtedly the best cyclist ever. Best ever to lace up skates and pick up a stick. Gretzky. Best ever to dribble a basketball. Jordan. Best ever to hop on a bike. Armstrong. This �best ever� List is pretty short, and Lance is most definitely on it. The List doesn�t fit baseball or football because there are just too many positions in those sports to find a single greatest player. It probably makes sense for some other sports like tennis, swimming, and golf, but it�s kind of hard to get worked up over country-club sports. [I would mention boxing, but I�m pretty sure that thing is finished, except at the movies and on NBC.] Even the way the Lance is finishing his career builds on his unbelievable story. Seven straight Tour titles, the last of which no one even came close to catching him. Let�s hope that we get to see another �Lance Armstrong� transcend his sport and impact people�s lives in a meaningful way, but it�s not likely going to happen.|W|P|112225611361109296|W|P|Guest Writer Here at SBG!|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/24/2005 09:11:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Armstrong surely is the greatest athlete ever. His domination of a sport as grueling as the Tour is unbelievable. We'll never see an athlete of his condition and determination in our lifetime. Simply incredible!

Thanks for the post!

- Miller Man7/24/2005 11:30:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Hey Drew,

How's everything at the salt mine?

Moss enjoyed your Gleeman-length essay on Mr. Armstrong and his accomplishments. Moss has a few random points, most probably not even relevant.

1) Those of us familiar with the Twin Cities' sports scene (and its bandwagon-hopping tradition) will recall that Greg Lemond (who does/did live in the Medina area) was the first American to win the Tour, and was equally amazing. He won his second tour after recovering from a shotgun blast to the chest! Just need to get the name out there...


2) Moss is amazed at how slim the margin of victory is in the Tour. Put in terms of distance, a four-minute advantage is in the neighborhood of a two-mile spread, over the course of 2k miles, between Armstrong and his nearest competitor. That is razor-thin -- just astonishing. That shows how good the competition is, and how tough it is to be consistently the best.

3) People (Drew being one -- a person, that is) say that Armstrong is the best biker ever. Moss is not sure that the point should be conceded. Armstrong only dominates one event, the Tour. To Moss' recollection, Mr. Armstrong has not fared well at the Olympics or in many of the other big-time events. Plus there are other forms of cycling, such as criterium (on city streets) and track racing (at velodromes). Obviously Armstrong is the best Tour rider ever, but it is not so clear-cut that he is the best cyclist ever. He's just the most visible, especially here in the States where cycling gets no attention whatsoever (except when Armstrong wins the Tour).

[One qualifier -- Armstrong very well could be the best cyclist in other events if he wanted to be, but he just hasn't demonstrated it.]


4) Moss shared a city (Austin, TX) with Mr. Armstrong for some time before his first Tour win. Moss has admired Armstrong's accomplishments for some time, but Moss' respect for Armstrong as a person has dwindled over the years.

Armstrong is something of a robot, even moreso than athletes who take flack for having no personality such as Pete Sampras. Moss wonders whether Armstrong even enjoys life at all.

Furthermore, Moss thinks that Armstrong is a bit of a sell-out in at least a couple ways. He trains only for the Tour, ignoring every other event, so that he can enjoy the glory that comes with winning the most presigious event. Moss also believes that Armstrong sold out his family life for fame and celebrity. He left his wife (who would not qualify as unattractive, BTW) for Sheryl Crow and the jet-setting scene in Austin (the Brad Pitts, Jennifer Anistons, and Matthew McConaugheys of the world). According to the ex (who stood by him through the cancer and subsequent fertility issues), Armsrong changed a great deal when he started winning Tours de Freedom. As a result, he turned his back on his wife and effectively his children. Moss isn't impressed by such actions.

5) Moss wonders why on one hand Drew is so impressed by Armstrong, whose dominance is due to his physical traits, while on the other hand he is not impressed by Shaquille, who Drew maintains has no talent that is not due to his physical traits. [Moss just throws out that point so SBG, an unabashed O'Neal lover, can mix it up with Drew.]

Anyway, that's about all Moss has to offer...7/24/2005 11:43:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|After re-reading your post, Drew, the answer(s) to point 5 are obviously covered. Moss was just throwing it out there...

But to put point 4 above into terms you used, Moss no longer thinks of Armstrong as "cool." He seems to have wanted to be cool too much, and as a result has sold out. And Moss really does wonder whether he enjoys life, and if not it is probably because he either does not like himself or has a chip on his shoulder.

Moss doesn't mean to go psychoanalytical, but Moss has read one of Armstrong's books and there are themes that come out in the story. For instance, it is Moss' opinion that Armstrong lacks humility in any form. He is so full of himself that he (if Moss remembers correctly) absolutely denies the possibility of a higher power, or that there was anything other than his own willpower that got him through the big C.

In short, Armstrong as a person leaves a bad taste in Moss' mouth. The athletic accomplishments speak for themselves, but Moss for one doesn't look at Armstrong as much of a role model and wouldn't care to buy Armstrong a drink.

Moss is just saying....7/25/2005 12:14:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|For those of you who don't know, Moss and Drew are co-workers of SBG. These types of discussions are not uncommon. That may explain why SBG enjoys discussing the blogging efforts of his fellow bloggers and why he's stunned by the ad hominem attacks leveled upon him by some of the followers and the writer of a certain site that was the topic of conversation here about a month ago.

Moss and Drew have made no secret of their dislike of Shaq Daddy and Barry Bonds and have zinged me plenty of times of these topics. Likewise, I've zinged these guys a few times myself. It's all part of the fun.

Moss makes some good points about Armstrong relative to his personal choices. Lance may not be the nicest person, in fact he may be a real ass. But, any long term reader of this site knows full well that SBG divorces judgments of athletic prowess and achievement from personal worth. These are often mutually exclusive. Further, the picture painted by the media can be, at the very least, somewhat misleading. Which is not to say that I can speak authoritatively one way or the other about Mr. Armstrong as a human being. It's entirely possible that he's succumbed to the temptations of fame and celebrity. In fact, there is ample evidence to support that assertion. Nevertheless, his athletic achievements do stand out as unbelievable and yes, inspirational, especially when you factor in his bout with cancer, regardless of whether he is a cad.

One thing I've always had a hard time with is when athletes have been characterized as "robots." I've heard sportswriters complain that Bonds, Jordan, and Woods all seem not to enjoy themselves, all the while dominating their competition. I think that this is an unfair and somewhat absurd criticism. What some see as robotic, I see as supreme competitiveness. No doubt that that competitiveness has been what has driven these uniquely gifted individuals to achieve things that no other people have achieved. I would venture to guess that these athletes have suffered and sacrificed to attain their success and have enjoyed the competition a great deal, even if they don't show it.

Moss, three final points. First, Shaq Daddy is going to go undercover on you at some point in the future. Watch out! Never mess with the Diesel. Second, I threw out that ugly fish in my office. It was taking up too much space. Third, I've yet to see your first article here at SBG, the Online Magazine.7/25/2005 07:30:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I know just enough about the Tour to realize I know nothing. I believe folks who actually follow racing get a little tired of Lance. Sure, they're probably jilted because the competition isn't really a competition and Lance doesn't win other races. However, bike racing is actually a team sport and I think that is why those in the know hold Lance slightly lower in esteem than others. Biking nuts respect his athleticism and all, but the way the teams work they pull their leader along through much of the race and protect him from all comers as well. Basically, I think true fans get a tad bothered by the mainstream's lack of understanding of how the sport truly works.

This coming from someone who just learned what a "pellaton" is this year.7/25/2005 08:09:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Your next lesson, bjhess, is that it is "PELOTON"!

All in fun, Moss.7/25/2005 09:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I think we are all awaiting your first article here at the magazine, Moss. Drew's got his pencil sharpened and ready to go! :)7/25/2005 10:59:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Paul Allen on KFAN just compared Lance Armstrong's dominance in the Tour to Koboyashi's dominance of the hot dog-eating contest. Good stuff!!7/25/2005 04:49:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|you're naive if you think everyone else is doping and Lance is clean. If doping is for performance enhancement, then why would the one guy who's clean perform better than everyone who's dirty? It doesn't add up.7/25/2005 07:45:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Shaq cannot hit a fastball, ride a bike through mountains, skate on ice, eat 50+ hot dogs in 12 minutes, make a free throw, or even drop a ball in a basket that is less than 3 feet above his head without travelling or knocking his defender to the floor.

So why are we talking about Shaq again?7/25/2005 08:05:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|So why are we talking about Shaq again?

I think more than anything we were talking about Shaq because he is part of an ongoing dialogue between three friends who like to jab the hell out of each other. Clearly, this post devolved from a little guest writing to a full out facial.

Moss, who is on baby leave, phoned me at work today regarding this post. I talked to Drew about it at least twice. I don't know if it entertained anyone else, but the three of us got a kick out of it.7/25/2005 08:41:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I'm just pulling your chain. Far be it from me to ever pass up a chance to mock Shaq.

Nice column by Drew, btw.7/25/2005 09:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|fw -- our friend Moss has been a heavy commenter. I have given him access to post here... and nothing. He's apparently afraid to go on the record.7/26/2005 04:25:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|If SBG the Online Magazine could be the '80s Celtics, and you are Larry Bird, would Moss be M.L. Carr?7/26/2005 05:01:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|SBG is no Larry Legend, Moss assures you...7/26/2005 05:21:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'm thinking Moss might be Greg Kite.7/28/2005 05:00:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I don't know if I could handle an entire article written in the third person.7/24/2005 02:32:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Friends, let me assure that I've got no particular talent at picking individual games. Here are the results after one week of the contest.
PlayerPicksRecordPoints
WL
BEM541295
DEP642200
TWJ110100
GEB2110
FRW211-5
AAC422-15
CHC523-105
TEB312-110
ANM734-115
AMR624-215
SBG835-220
RED303-300
Early in the contest, your best buddy SBG is hovering near the bottom. Never fear! There's a lot of contest left, and I'm gonna make a run. If you haven't entered yet, you should get in! Now, let's go to the other charts. J.C. Twin. Not so good. Can't hurt? Hasn't helped. At all.
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
41280003.233.195.428
Losing that series to the Tigers hurts. But, hey, the Tigers are not a bad team.
Twins Second Half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 up to .500 teams.500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-04-41-3
Still hangin on. Look at the A's. Things have really tightened up. Eight teams within four and a half games.
Wild CardWLPctGB
Minnesota5345.541-
Oakland5345.541-
New York5245.5361.0
Baltimore5047.5152.5
Cleveland5148.5152.5
Toronto4949.5004.0
Detroit4949.5004.0
Texas4849.4954.5
|W|P|112223593555118661|W|P|Contest Update and other Charts|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/24/2005 04:49:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Not only is Boone ineffective at the plate, he has been a disaster in the field. MANY missed plays.

BTW, did SBG see the news about the Nat's GM publicly asking for Barry Larkin (who is even older than SBG) to come out of retirement to replace Guzman?? What a kick in the groin! But who did the scouting on that deal? What were they thinking?? Guzman was always unmotivated, so they gave him a relatively long contract for big bucks and took away virtually any motivation he may have had. Beauty.7/24/2005 08:11:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Yeah, I saw that Larkin thing. Larkin's so old, he's older than me!!!! Sheesh. That's old.7/24/2005 12:30:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I see the Twins getting to Bonderman today.|W|P|112222624268050052|W|P|Upset|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/24/2005 12:31:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time Stamp. Didn't realize how late it was, but I've not seen any action today yet.7/24/2005 01:18:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Once again you have reached the perfect blend of analysis and humor and thus have brightened our otherwise drab exisitence with your genius.7/24/2005 01:25:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|It's now the fifth inning and it looks like I'm going down again today. I took the Twins because of the spread, but the way Lohse is getting knocked around here in the fifth inning, it looks like I'll take another hit in the contest.7/24/2005 01:26:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|CC, I can't help myself.7/23/2005 11:24:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Minnesota +122 Detroit -132 I have made a selection. The second game was pretty darned good. Not only did Baker pitch quite well, but Li'l Harmon broke out with a booming double to the opposite field and a long homerun. Of course, the pitcher was pretty young, but number 27 has been looking a lot better the last few days. SBG|W|P|112217939826634771|W|P|Sunday's Line|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/23/2005 03:43:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm taking Detroit in the nightcap.|W|P|112215169242227752|W|P|It Looks Like a Day to Forget|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/23/2005 03:48:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|time stamp7/23/2005 06:01:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|I agree with you SBG. I went to college with Justin Verlander (tigers starter tonight) he is a fantastic pitcher, I just wish the twins had drafted him.7/23/2005 11:54:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I like Silva, but I'm going with Detroit in Game 1. Chart time on a Saturday Morning: Things are going a little bit better here (not much), but a little power would be nice.
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
34270003.229.206.435
Stumbling a little out of the gate with heavy part of schedule coming. Hopefully today will be a good day, with two wins.
Twins Second half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 to .500 teamsvs. .500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-01-12-11-3
The good news is that even though the Twins haven't gotten off to a great post all-star break start (4-5), neither has the rest of the league. Except for Oakland. This team was 17-32 on May 29th. Since then, they are 34-13, including 7-2 since the break. They look to once again be a player in the Wild Card chase. Somewhere, Buster Olney, who said that the only reason that the A's were competitive over the last several years is because they got lucky with Zito, Mulder, and Hudson (of course, the A's traded two of those guys away in the off season) must be quietly stewing over that nonsensical assertion.
Wild CardWLPctGB
Minnesota5243.547-
New York5144.5371.0
Oakland5145.5311.5
Baltimore5045.5262.0
Texas4847.5054.0
Cleveland4948.5054.0
Toronto4848.5004.5
Detroit4748.4955.0
|W|P|112213870394949837|W|P|Game 1|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/23/2005 12:12:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time stamp7/23/2005 07:14:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Just about every year, the A's get off to a slow start. And then they come on like gangbusters starting in late June or July. I hoped that they might need a year for their young pitchers to settle in, but looks like they're ready to take charge now. A tip of the cap to Beane, once again.7/25/2005 02:12:00 PM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Except, one could make a good case the reason Oakland is surging is because their pitching has been markedly better over the past 2 months.7/23/2005 08:33:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|First of all, odds are posted below. Second, I read this doozy in the Strib Saturday Morning:
Scratch Justin Morneau from the list of candidates to get sent down today, when pitcher Scott Baker joins the roster. "We're not going to mess with Morneau," manager Ron Gardenhire said. "He looked like he had some good at-bats [Thursday]."
Too late. You may not be sending him down, but by putting a ton of pressure on this struggling kid by speculating about it in the paper, you've already messed with him. So, what are the Twins going to do?
The Twins plan to send down outfielder Michael Ryan before today's second game. After Baker's start, he'll return to Rochester, and they plan to promote infielder Terry Tiffee.
|W|P|112212624074065246|W|P|Too Late|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/23/2005 09:46:00 AM|W|P|Blogger amr|W|P|Ryan seems a good choice.7/23/2005 12:14:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|I disagree. Ryan has been productive for a player constantly asked to come off the bench and pinch hit. His left handed bat was very helpful on the bench.

I vote Gurrier.7/23/2005 12:32:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Andrew|W|P|I'm not so sure about Guerrier. Thursday Guerrier pitched 3 scoreless innings. Unfortunately it seems with him you either get 2 or 3 good innings, or 1 not so good one. I like him as the first guy out of the bullpen.7/23/2005 03:41:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I left this without my coments because I didn't really know what to say other than I'm glad it wasn't Morneau, and since it wasn't why the hell did they talk about it in the paper?

The Twins are really between a rock and a hard place on the roster right now. They can't send out Boone, and they aren't going to send out Castro or Punto. It's hard to send out L-Rod, considering that he's hitting better than any of these guys.

The other alternative was to send out Guerrier and keep Baker up for long relief. I fail to see how Tiffee is better than Ryan. There may be considerations such as the number of options they have with Guerrier that I'm not up on right now. But, Guerrier down and Baker staying up would have certainly been the lowest impact move, at least in my mind.7/24/2005 01:45:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Andrew|W|P|I agree that the Twins are stuck in a tough place. The most likely candidate to be sent down is the guy who you'd want to send down the least. As for Tiffee, I think the organization did it for the sole purpose of shaking things up a bit. Tiffee helped last year when Koskie went down, so maybe they're hoping he can kick start the team again this year.7/23/2005 08:13:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Today's Odds: Game one: Minnesota -105 Detroit -105 Game two: Minnesota -105 Detroit -105 When you see both teams at -105, that's a toss up by the odds makers. Of course, the "05" allows them to get their cut. I am really hard pressed here, but in the spirit of the contest, I'll make a selection for each. I have made one for the first game and I'll make one for the second game after watching at least part of the first. Have fun!|W|P|112212457864161174|W|P|Pick 'em|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/22/2005 09:33:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|
UPDATE: No ODDS posted yet. I'll post in the morning.
So, I'm perusing ESPN.COM and I read an article by Rob Neyer. The article started as follows:
Ron Gardenhire has been quoted recently suggesting the Twins miss catcher Henry Blanco. If only Blanco were still behind the plate -- or so the argument supposedly goes -- the Twins would be pitching better, and winning more games. Is this true?
Now, maybe Neyer, who I have read and loved for years, thought up this column on his own. But, his analysis pretty much follows my own (without the "Are you fucking kidding me?" statement). Hey Rob, welcome to the site! Why don't you enter the contest??? Seriously, anyone who heard that RIDICULOUS statement could only come up with the same conclusion that I did. And here's Neyer's conclusion:
So Gardenhire misses Blanco, who's currently batting .176 in limited duty with the Cubs. Maybe Gardenhire's right. Maybe the Twins would be in better shape if Blanco had all those at-bats that are currently going to Mauer. Anything's possible. But in all sincerity, I will suggest that if I employed a manager who really believed such a thing, I would seriously consider finding a new manager.
Rob Neyer is a fantastic baseball writer. His conclusion is right on. I think Gardenhire's profanity-laced tirade this week was an unqualified embarassment. However, his comments about Blanco and Mauer are far more embarassing. I really think that Terry Ryan should seriously consider showing this guy the door. Giambi Update: Tonight on Baseball Tonight, the crew were talking about Giambi and how he's been on fire, especially since July 4. Tim Kurkjian, who does NOT read this page (remember the old face of baseball article?) said that no one saw Giambi making a move. I refer you to my July 6 entry.

After a very slow start, Mr. Giambi hit .310/.474/.431/.905 in June. In five games in July, he's hitting that .400/.550/1.133/1.683. He wasn't showing must pop (.431 SLG) in June (just 1 HR and five XBH in 58 At Bats), but since July 1, he's got 3 HRs and five XBH in just 15 at bats. I'm not saying he's ready to return to MVP form just yet, but he's played in nine straight games, batting 10/26 with 9 BB.

Let's put it this way. If Giambi starts hitting, the Yanks could make a run.

I was really thinking that this guy was about ready to take off. If only I hadn't put that qualifier in. Oh, and who thinks that we can trade J.C. Romero and plug Terry Mulholland in as the left-handed late inning guy?|W|P|112208735383156801|W|P|Billions, I tell you, Billions|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/22/2005 10:13:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|What if they trade Romero and try Liriano as the primary lefty reliever?7/22/2005 10:22:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|That's a possibility, for sure. I'm actually not against trading Romero and his contract.

I just wish the old guy would retire.7/22/2005 10:59:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|You are the modern day Nostradamus, SBG. Your writing is like a jelly doughnut. We eagerly anticipate your arrival, then only crave more after you are gone.7/23/2005 04:33:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Except after reading SBG, you don't have powder on your fingers and raspberry jelly all over your shirt.7/23/2005 08:12:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'm not sure, FW, but I think CC does. :)7/23/2005 08:36:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|Gardenhire's tenure started with one bad decision (making Jones an everyday player) and has snowballed downhill ever since. Moss is afraid the team will never improve with the 'tool running the show.

One of Moss' biggest frustrations is when he clings on to those bad decisions, like keeping Jones in the everyday lineup, sticking by Rivas for so long, and playing Stewart in the OF. (Not to mention his tendency toward bringing in Mulholland in situations where he is liable to give away any chance the team has to win (like last nite), or his tendency to bring in Romero with guys on base.)

[BTW -- does anyone else find it embarrassing how teams run with impunity on Stewart? They go first-to-third on singles right in front of him. Last nite, Jones almost threw out a guy from RF trying to go first-to-third, but Stewart didn't even make a throw to third.]

And then, on the other hand, the 'tool's ready to cut down Bartlett, Cuddyer, Ford, Morneau, or even MAUER while protecting the "veteran leaders" who are not producing (Jones, Hunter).

(Note to Gardentool: At this point, Joe Mauer is probably your only above-average position player!! Rent a clue!)

Moss has never been impressed with Gardentool, and has believed that the team's success was largely due to TK and TR, and Rick Anderson. Gardentool's inability to get the most out of his players is in such stark contrast to TK that Moss can't believe any of the local media have ever thought the 'tool was a good manager. As just a couple (of the numerous) examples, 1) 'tool sat Lohse and Rogers in the playoffs when they were key components of the pitching staff (Moss forgets which years); 2) 'tool played Cuddyer as a rookie in the playoffs over Dustin Mohr for no real reason; 3) Guzman and Rivas never learned to bunt or steal effectively, even though they were supposed to have "bionic" speed; 4) 'tool's completely incomprehensible managing in interleague play (e.g. Radke batting vs. Dodgers). Moss could go on.

Incidentally, Moss wonders whether the umps are starting to force calls against the Twins because of the 'tool. Moss hasn't watched much action lately, but when he has, there have been calls that are clearly wrong but are going against the Twins. Moss wonders if the disrespect isn't catching up to the 'tool.

It was a sad day for Moss when Gardentool got an extension, comparable to when Rivas was signed. TR, Moss begs you, please cut our losses and take the 'tool out to the shed!!7/23/2005 09:02:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Moss, I'm finding it more and more difficult to disagree or offer any defense any more.

I don't know about an umpiring bias, but I will say this. He's been tossed 20 times already in his career. I'm sure umpires, who are human beings, too, get sick of his act. Whether they allow that to cloud their judgment is a big leap, but if they have, the 'tool has no one else but himself to blame.

It's clear that his tirade earlier this week was completely uncalled for and absolutely embarassing. I laughed when he talked about calling up Bob Watson. I thought, don't bother calling, because Mr. Watson will be calling you on this one, 'tool.7/22/2005 05:20:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|This one was a tough one for me. Do I continue to go with the era of good feelings or do I get hard-nosed and pick against the hometown nine with a lefty on the mound? Maybe J.C. Twin is going to feast on Mr. Maroth. Maybe Joe Mays is going to keep the good pitching going. Maroth hasn't been too bad lately. Despite a 3-8 record over his last 11 decisions, he's pitched relatively well. In June he was 1-4 with a 3.02 ERA. In July, he's been 2-1 with a 3.93 ERA. Detroit's offense is just about as pathetic as the Twins', but they do play in a big yard. They've averaged 5.6 runs since the break... I saw this game as a real toss-up. That's why I was surprised that the spread was so large. I took the Twins because of the spread. Note: At this time (and this is irrelevant to the contest), the odds are Detroit -116, Minnesota +106. I think that this means that the money has been flowing to Minnesota. I would think that the betting public have thought the same thing that I did.|W|P|112207105070832405|W|P|Tonight's Pick|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/21/2005 10:06:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Ok, enough of that sunshine and light.
First of all, here is tomorrow's line. Minnesota +115 Detroit -125. That's right, the Twins are the underdog. I have made a selection.
Second, how damn good is Joe Mauer? He is getting on base, he is hitting the ball. True, he's had a couple of passed balls lately, but good God, he's just fabulous. Third, SBG is pulling for Justin Morneau. He's got the talent, he's got the skills. Justin, you have got to learn to adjust. Tonight was nice. 1-2 with three walks. I'm dead set against sending him down. I'm also against making his imminent demotion public. Did the Twins do this to Luis Rivas? No. But, for some reason, the 'tool has decided to put added pressure on Morneau. I'll never understand this. SBG's readers agree. Here are the poll results.
What should the Twins do with Justin Morneau?
Send him down to the minors. 9% Put him in the lineup. It's time to find out whether he can do it. 52% Platoon him and at least protect him against lefties. 27% Trade for Doug Mientkiewicz. 6% Sign SBG and play him at first base. 6% I think he should figure it out. My contingency plan is to sign me and play me at first base. I played first base for almost 25 years of baseball and softball. While my bat may be a little slow, I did have some pretty good power (in softball). Fourth, Johan Santana got a win tonight, but it's apparent that for some reason he's just not the pitcher he was last year. While that's disappointing, just remember that Roy Halliday was nothing special last year after winning the Cy Young Award, he was something special this year. The future is still bright for number 57. Finally, I work and toil and think and ruminate over this site. And yet, most of the e-mails I get (other than for the contest) have had a similar theme. More cat pictures! More Lucy! What can I say. My lovely wife is more popular than I am. I can honestly say that I can understand that. Have a good one, everybody.|W|P|112200229324872587|W|P|Ok Enough of That|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/21/2005 11:13:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Your brilliance is like a lighthouse guiding us to shore. You have the knack of penetrating the darkness that is all around us and showing us the way. Plus, you're so sassy.7/22/2005 02:16:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Nick N.|W|P|Roy Halladay isn't really a very good example. He had a dead shoulder last year after pitching about 2,000 innings in 2003. Santana doesn't have any apparent injuries such as that, he just seems to be struggling with his command and consistency.7/22/2005 03:54:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|It is possible that Santana's arm is feeling tired after throwing about 240 innings (inc. playoffs) last year. He's never come close to carrying that kind of workload before--and of course tired pitchers tend to have problems with command and consistency.7/21/2005 06:16:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I am, first and foremost, a Twins fan. When I write this site, I try to be objective. I really have a problem with the manager. I'm pretty disappointed that the Twins didn't try to upgrade their infield in the offseason. My rear end gets chapped when the 'tool criticizes Mauer and Morneau. But, when they win, I'm happy. I'm pretty happy with a three game winning streak, including a 10 spot tonight. So, for one day, no complaining, no negativity. It's just sunshine and light here today! (Oh, and to be Joe Mauer. That's all I ask.) Take care and have a good weekend, everyone!|W|P|112198782790864564|W|P|Damn it, I Like it When they Win|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/21/2005 05:39:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm posting this a little early because I won't be available to post at 6:05. I'm taking Johan Santana and the Twins tonight over Detroit, despite the huge underdog status of the Tigers (+134!). Johan hasn't won consecutive starts since April 10-15. But, he won on Saturday, and I'm going to go with him here again. His ERA is a surprisingly high (for him) 3.84, but his FIP is 3.06, which suggests he's been a little unlucky. The Tigers are coming off a 2 for 3 showing against the ChiSox, which I would think would buoy the spirits of their fans. Their starter tonight, Jason Johnson, likewise has a 3.84 ERA with a FIP of 4.31, which goes to show that all ERAs are not created the same way. Of course, the Twins have made most of the opposing starting pitchers look like Jim Palmer lately. Nevertheless, I think the Twins will take out the Tigs tonight. If you haven't entered yet, you have until gametime to e-mail me with your predictions. Again, the line is Minnesota -144, Detroit +134. Check out my postings from earlier today, located below.|W|P|112198622650087278|W|P|I'm Picking the Twins Tonight|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/21/2005 12:43:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|
Update: Don't forget the line for today and the poll in the post below.
This is perhaps the most unbelievable column I have ever read. Patrick Reusse is blaming the whole Morneau/Ullger situation on... the media? What? Says Mr. Reusse:
The Star Tribune and its easterly competitor both kicked off the 2005 season by giving large play to the M&M theme, promoting the idea that Joe Mauer and Justin Morneau soon could be providing a Midwestern flashback to the days of Mickey Mantle and Roger Maris.
Now, we find Morneau slumping and fans are upset. They want Ullger's hide. Why? Because the media pumped Morneau up! I'm sure the Twins had nothing to do with that at all. Says the 'tool:
There were a lot of people convinced that Morneau was an established big-league hitter. He wasn't. He had a half-season up here. He's a young hitter, and that's what we're seeing right now.
Yep, the Twins knew that Morneau really wasn't an established hitter. He was just a young kid... never mind that they traded away their starting first baseman last year for a single A prospect and installed Morneau in the lineup everyday. Never mind that he hit 41 home runs last year, including 19 at the big league level. Never mind that he slugged .536 in 280 at bats. The Twins knew he wasn't ready yet. Damn media... they just blew everything out of proportion. In a sense, though, the 'tool is right. He's a young kid. He needs coaching. He needs to have a staff of guys in there solving the problems. But, the 'tool has been floating a ton of excuses lately. He said the other day that Morneau hasn't been right since the beaning (of course, he pounded the ball right away after he came off the DL). Now, it's that the media put too many expectations on him. The facts are as follows: Morneau has been a huge prospect. He has torn it up all through the minors. The Twins handed him both a starting job at the major league level and installed him in the cleanup spot. Don't tell me that it was someone else that created these expectations. Get this kid right. Chimes in the "hitting coach" Scotty Ullger:
We haven't done the job offensively. I'm frustrated at times that we work on something, and the hitter seems to be in tune with it, and then it's not there in the game. I'm not going to let those frustrations show.
Nope. You aren't going to let your frustrations show, but you are going to tell the world that it isn't your fault. Damn fans, they are being unfair with Scotty.
What's alarming is this: The demotion of Morneau at least has become a topic of discussion among the Twins brain trust, four months after he was being described in the Twin Cities public prints as one of the game's best young hitters. Unfortunately for Ullger, Twins fans believed what they read, and now they want the batting coach to take the fall for Morneau's flailing.
I guess Mr. Reusse is inviting us not to believe what we read. Is it that your newspaper staff is full of liars and/or know-nothings? I'm sure the Twins said, "Hey, back off on the M&M thing. Morneau's not really ready." Yep. I'm positive that's how it was. Oh, by the way, it isn't just Morneau's flailing that's the problem. Look at the lineup. Who in that lineup has improved their hitting at the major league level? Jacque Jones? Torii Hunter? Luis Rivas (oops, sorry he's finally not in the lineup)? Michael Cuddyer? Anybody? Even though I am frustrated beyond belief with Morneau's struggles, I find it hard to say that his struggles alone are what has fans mad. It's also guys like Jones and Hunter, who have a lot of talent, but have never improved their plate discipline that get me mad. It seems to me that guys like this should have improved -- instead, they have stagnated. I'm not privvy to what goes on in the clubhouse and on the practice field, but the body of extrinsic evidence points to Ullger. Naturally, the 'tool thinks Ullger is doing fine.
Scotty Ullger's still out here at 2:30 every afternoon, working with hitters. Scotty is good at what he does. He's helped a lot of hitters, and he's going to help some of these guys when all's said and done.
So, 'tool, he's helped "a lot of hitters." Name one. Better yet, why not make these types of positive statements about your young talent. I feel dirty. Here a couple of weeks ago, I was questioning the Twins Geek about his comments on the Strib writers. I guess I did qualify my comments with this statement. I doubt that Reusse is reading or being influenced by bloggers.|W|P|112196877187377164|W|P|What is Reusse Trying to Say Here?|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/21/2005 03:13:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|That article almost made me pee my pants it was so funny! You have a rare gift SBG and we are all just living in your world.7/21/2005 03:22:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Perhaps our next podcast can be about that very topic. Living in my world. Maybe a reprise of Pepper! would be the proper course of action.7/21/2005 04:49:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Unknown|W|P|A long-time proponent of a change in hitting coach (and in manager), Moss wonders: what is the down side of replacing Ullger? Certainly things can't get any worse, and maybe something might click for some of the hitters.

The media seem to think that a change in the hitting coach is not the answer. Moss wants to know the risk. The Twins seem to be keen on low-risk, low-impact moves lately, so let's do it!7/21/2005 04:56:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Moss, your brilliance has been sadly missing from this online magazine for some time. Welcome back!

I also love the low-risk, low-impact line. :)7/22/2005 03:05:00 AM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|I don't think it was entirely Flip Saunders' fault that Cassell/Sprewell plan fell apart this year, but did Reusse protest when Flip got the axe? When the Vikes fired Green, did Reusse cry, "Hey, Denny ain't the one running and blocking out there! He can't make Daunte and Moss play any better just because the media told you they were superstars!"

But in the Twins organization, I guess management and coaches can't be held accountable for a lack of results on the field. Why is that? Is it because he assumes that every Twins prospect will be exposed as just another Dave McCarty until proven otherwise?

That must be it: he figures that Ullger can't be expected to turn lead into gold. Or else TK really did condition those guys to fear the consequences of questioning Twins coaches on anything.7/22/2005 09:06:00 AM|W|P|Anonymous Anonymous|W|P|Just one question, and I am serious: Is there any recent former Twin, other than Ortiz, who has gone somewhere else and hit well?7/22/2005 03:47:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Dustan Mohr actually had the best season of his career in SF last year, batting .274/.394/.437. Bobby Kielty struggled through injuries last year, but this season he's hitting a nice .287/.384/.421--his best numbers since 2002.

Maybe Ullger can take credit for helping Pierzynski reach his peak potential in 2003, or maybe A.J. just had his natural career year at age 26. Even then, A.J. was never known for his sound plate fundamentals or pretty swing.

But I don't think the ultimate test has to be whether players did better after leaving the Twins, although the Ortiz case raises some questions. Guys like Kielty, Mohr, and Buchanan weren't expected to be stars. Dougie's bat was always erratic. Koskie is now past his prime, and the damage may already be done to guys like Guzman and Restovich.

I think it's more to the point to ask questions like:

When a club has an All-Star SS at age 23, why did he fall apart after the coaching regime changed?

When the club had 4 hitting prospects who were the envy of baseball a couple years ago, all of them close to breaking into the majors, and all of them subsequently did show flashes of their talent at the major league level, why did one wash out after getting just 129 PA's with the Twins, one is looking like a washout after getting jerked around every which way for the past few seasons, and one is being threatened with his third demotion to AAA if he doesn't shape up by Saturday afternoon?

When the club signed its All-Star CF to a big backloaded deal that will pay him $10m next year with an option for $12m in 2007, why did he regress rather than develop into the player TR expected Torii to become by now?

If these problems, and more, are not the fault of coaching at the major league level, then is Terry Ryan willing to admit that the farm system needs an overhaul?

I don't think the farm is the problem; and like Moss said, it would be easier and less costly to see what might happen by changing the Twins hitting coach first, anyway.7/20/2005 08:58:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Hey! Welcome to another episode of "SBG Discusses the Twins Problems"! Tonight, I discuss a vexing problem, what to do with Justin Morneau. First things first.
Here is the line on tomorrow's game... Minnesota -144, Detroit +134. I have made a selection. If you haven't yet entered, e-mail me your choice for tomorrow's game and get involved! For information on the rules of the contest, go here. For contest standings to date, go here.
Next, I want to say a little something about the team in general. Hey boys, how about a nice 6-2 win! I'll take two dramatic ninth inning wins, but sheesh! the stress of it all. Seriously, maybe these couple of games will kick start the Twins. Maybe some late inning heroics will get Jacque Jones going on a regular basis. Maybe it will become contagious. I hope so. Once again, the real hero of the game was the starting pitcher. Today, it was Brad Radke. Seven innings. Five hits. Two runs. No walks. Five strikeouts. That, my friends, is the definition of a quality start. He gave his team a chance to win. Just like Lohse yesterday. And Silva the day before. And Mays the day before that. And Santana the day before that. And so on. And so forth. These five men are keeping the Twins from completely falling apart. One more thing about Radke. He's 6-9 with a 3.92 ERA. Last year at this time, he was 6-6 with a 3.82 ERA. About the same as last year. Now, to the topic of the night: Justin Morneau. I'm hesitant to criticize this guy... partly because I like him. He looks like a ball player. He's big and strong. Like just about everyone, I had pretty high hopes for him, witness the Li'l Harmon moniker. Here's what I wrote about him in the off-season.
Among AL first basemen with at least 250 plate appearances, Morneau was third in slugging percentage, behind only David "Papi" Ortiz and Mark Teixeira and just ahead of Carlos Delgado and Paul Konerko. Add in the NL and he's sixth, trailing Albert Pujols, Todd Helton, and Jim Thome. In other words, Li'l Harmon is playing with the big boys even at a young age. (By the way, Doug Mientkiewicz was last in the AL and second to last in the majors.) Along with his 19 home runs, Li'l Harmon hit 17 doubles. Nearly 1/2 of his 76 hits were for extra bases. Nice. Even with these lofty slugging numbers, there is room for improvement. Morneau simply doesn't get on base often enough. His batting average and on base percentage are right at the league average. He drew just 28 walks, which is about half as many as I would like to see. He also struck out 54 times, which isn't terrible, but is a little high. If Morneau had converted 28 of his outs into walks, his numbers would look like this: .302/.429/.595. This would leave Morneau with a 1.024 OPS and a GPA of .342. Having seen him bat often enough, I think he could have done this with a little more plate discipline, specifically by laying off fastballs that were up and out of the strikezone. In fact, if Morneau would lay off of the high strike, he probably would have even more impressive numbers than I projected. If pitchers were forced to keep the ball down, he would have had a lot more pitches that he could handle and drive. In 72 games at AAA this year, Morneau batted .306/.377/.615 with 22 home runs, 32 walks, and 47 strikeouts in 288 at bats. His major league numbers are not that far away from these numbers. Again, he did not walk a whole lot at AAA. In his minor league career, he walked 195 times and had 1867 at bats, virtually the same ratio of walks to at bats (.104:1) as he had at the majors this year (.100:1). This seems to indicate that he probably won't improve all that much. Let's hope he does, because if he does, watch out.
One of the things that was apparent to me in the latter days of the 2004 season is that Li'l Harmon was having trouble with the strikezone. He was swing at pitches that were up and out of the strike zone. That had me a little worried, even though I was completely bullish on this guy. Another thing to note was that Morneau tailed off at the end of 2004. I attributed some of this to the hand injury he sustained when Sworn Enemy of the Twins CC Sabathia deliberately plunked him about the time that the Twins blew Cleveland's doors off last year. Flash forward to 2005. Morneau took one off the noggin in the first week of the season and went on the DL. I was quite concerned and said so here on this page. Never fear. Morneau came off the DL and started jacking pitches over the fence with regularity. I was quite pleased. Then, a funny thing happened on his way to 40 home runs. He absolutely stopped hitting. I look at 2004 and 2005 and I have come to this conclusion. Li'l Harmon is having difficulty adjusting to the adjustments that major league pitchers have made to get him out. He's got a ton of power, and he can hit balls in his wheelhouse. But, he apparently can't handle major league pitching when the guys on the mound figure out how to get him out. Let's just stop and think for a while. How f'n good are major league pitchers? They can take a guy like this, who has all the talent in the world and reduce him to a simpering pile of mush. Never, ever, underestimate the quality of play at the major league level. It is phenomenal. (Which is why I want to scream when people say that the St. Paul Saints is a viable alternative. No. Way.) Okay. Back to L'il Harmon. Over at Twins Territory, some have advocated that the Twins should send Justin down to the minors to get his confidence back. To which I say: No. Not unless the Twins trade for more infield help. Yes, he's been dreadful in July and completely toothless since the break. But, I think he will be able to fight through this and contribute in a way that no other replacement player that the Twins have right now could. And, if he can't, well then the Twins have found out this year that Li'l Harmon just isn't a major league hitter. Morneau has crushed minor league pitching. If he goes down there again, he'll probably do the same. But, the book up here won't change. He'll still have to come up here and hit against pitchers who know now how to get him out. He is going to have to learn how to hit up here. Let's face it. There are a lot of Twins bats that suck right now. Morneau's is just one more. I want the kid to break through and learn how to adjust. The only place I think that Justin Morneau can learn to hit major league pitching is right here -- in the major leagues. Update: Check out Reusse's column today. Hoo boy.
What should the Twins do with Justin Morneau?
Send him down to the minors.
Put him in the lineup. It's time to find out whether he can do it.
Platoon him and at least protect him against lefties.
Trade for Doug Mientkiewicz.
Sign SBG and play him at first base.
Free polls from Pollhost.com
Now, it's time for our charts. All that playing is hard work! J.C. gets the day off.

J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
25040001.192.160.352
Hey, winning that series against the O's was a sweet thing.
Twins Second half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 to .500 teamsvs. .500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-02-11-3
If the Twins win, who cares about the rest of them.
Wild CardWLPctGB
New York5142.548-
Minnesota5142.548-
Baltimore5044.5321.5
Texas4845.5163.0
Oakland4845.5163.0
Cleveland4847.5054.0
Toronto4747.5004.5
Detroit4647.4955.0
|W|P|112191445108328359|W|P|What about Justin?|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/20/2005 10:21:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Heavy Critters|W|P|Don't knock the Saints, yo. Kevin Millar turned himself around there and J.D. Drew did a tour of duty. Not to mention Darryl "I love the crack" Strawberry before he signed on with the Yankees.

The Saints have done a lot more good than harm to a lot of careers of would-be major leaguers. Hell, Leon Durham even played for a spell.

Plus, it's outside and the games are WAAAAY more entertaining than Twins games (not that I don't love the Twins).

Keep an open mind about the Northern League. If their season didn't start so late in 2004, Ricky Henderson was going to play for them.

Which reminds me, we should sign Henderson for the MLB minimum, and have him bat lead-off.

He'd bite, you know.7/21/2005 07:17:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Hey BP --

How's it going? I've seen my share of NL games up in Fargo. It's entertaining and all, but for me, I want to see the best of the best! That's why MLB is my league of choice.

Henderson... I'd even cheer for him. Yeah, he sucks now. But, he's been a great character. 25 years of Rickey being Rickey. It could be a marketing campaign!

SBG7/21/2005 09:03:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Another brilliant work of art you put forth SBG! We should send all the anti-SBGlings off to the minors so that they can get a reality check. I cannot wait for your next installment from the SBG-cave.7/21/2005 11:06:00 AM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|CC, you are the biggest sycophant in my coterie. And I mean that with love.7/20/2005 07:51:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Well, three games into the contest, we have a leader. It is new comer to SBG contests, DEP. So far, the participation has been pretty good, considering that this contest is a little different from some of the others. I encourage you to enter and have some fun! After three games, I have a record of 1-2. I got the third game (today's) right, but I got the first two wrong. So far I have picked the Twins twice and their opponent once. My score right now is -115. I have my spreadsheet set up and am ready for all newcomers. Go ahead! Enjoy the season! Here is a rundown of the leaderboard to date.
PlayerGame 1Game 2Game 3Total Score
PickScorePickScorePickScore
DEP0T1000100
CHC0B-105T100-5
AACT-1100T100-10
TEBT-110T1000-10
FRW0B-1050-105
AMRT-110T100B-100-110
SBGT-110B-105T100-115
ANM0B-105B-100-205
How to read the chart above. Columns that say "Pick" indicate what team that player picked (if any). A "T" means Twins, a "B" means Baltimore. The score is how many points each player was awarded (or lost) for each game. The total score is the sum of all previous games. As you can see, only one player is in positive points. This is not all that surprising (after all, isn't that the way real betting works, too?). So, if you think that you won't do all that well, welcome to the club (of which I'm a member). Remember, you have to pick ten games to qualify. I will post the odds for tomorrow's game when they are available. And yes, I'll be picking.|W|P|112190816735512080|W|P|Early Contest Returns|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/20/2005 09:40:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Andrew|W|P|Nothing like bringing up the rear. At least I can take solice in the fact I lost 205 by having the Twins win. I think I'll keep picking against them until they lose, even if it means sacrificing myself in the contest. If it ain't broke, don't fix it, right?7/20/2005 10:12:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'm right there with you. Lots of time left.7/20/2005 12:05:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm taking Brad and the Twins today. This means that the Twins would win the series against the Orioles. Optimism reigns today in the SBG camp. The contest is off to a nice start. I'm getting some contestants every day. I will post results within the next few days. There is still plenty of time for you to enter. Go ahead! Join in the fun! I'm not having much fun yet, as I am oh for two. Today, however, is the day that I bust out. I just know it! SBG|W|P|112187929746803857|W|P|It's Bradke Today, and I'm All Right with That|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/20/2005 12:09:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|Time stamp.7/19/2005 09:59:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|
Tomorrow's game: Minnesota -115 Baltimore 105 This is a noon start. I have made a prediction.

I was watching the game tonight and was writing down my thoughts in sort of a stream of consciousness mode. Some of the thoughts were pretty negative, so I thought I'd delete that mess and start over. It's getting late, and the Twins are battling in another close game. It's been frustrating to watch, because the Twins haven't been able to get over the hump. But, they have been in almost game. Sometimes I wish they'd just get blown out so I didn't have to put up with tough loss after tough loss. Tonight's no different. It's 2-2 in the ninth. I will have to say this. It is entertaining baseball. It's also quite frustating. The O's just got one in the ninth. Crain is on the hook. And then, and then, the Twins get a run in the wild bottom of the ninth! How about Joe Mauer. Two booming doubles, two stolen bases. The kid is absolutely the gem of this organization. Wait! The Twins get one more and win! I'll be goddamned. What a hard fought win! Let's go to the charts. J.C. has a four game hitting streak!

J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
25040001.192.160.352
Pulling one out of the fire changed this chart.
Twins Second half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 to .500 teamsvs. .500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-01-11-3
Welcome back to the Wild Card chase, New York.
Wild CardWLPctGB
New York5042.543-
Minnesota5042.543-
Baltimore5043.5380.5
Texas4844.5222.0
Cleveland4846.5113.0
Oakland4745.5113.0
Toronto4647.4954.5
Detroit4547.4895.0
|W|P|112182921313336614|W|P|Editorial Control|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/20/2005 08:32:00 AM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Oh SBG, you're so hilarious! This is one of your funniest posts ever! Thanks for bringing a smile to my face this morning.7/19/2005 07:07:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I'm taking Baltimore tonight. The Orioles starting pitcher, Daniel Cabrera, has gone 3-0 with a 1.35 ERA in July, allowing just nine hits while striking out 19 in 20 innings. The Twins are sending out Kyle Lohse, who has pitched a whole hell of a lot better this year than he did last year, even if he is maddenly inconsistent. But, this isn't about Lohse, this is about the Twins' offense. A hot pitcher against this team right now? Doesn't sound good. Remember, tomorrow's game is a day game. Get your selections in early. I will post the line when it comes up. This is my site for lines, but the official line is always here on the page (It is the line I use to make my pick. I always pick first, and so everyone gets to use the same line.) Update: I'll be around at my computer. Drop me a comment about tonight's game if you are so inclined.|W|P|112181850141800007|W|P|Game Time -- My Prediction|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/19/2005 07:24:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I post this comment for a time stamp. I made my pick last night but posted at 7:14, before I knew anything about the first inning. As of right now, the Orioles are up 1-0.7/19/2005 03:19:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Friends, a friendly reminder to enter the Next SBG contest. It's really simple. Pick the winner of at least ten of the remaining Twins games for the rest of the year and you are qualified. The top two people with the most points at the end of the season will win gift certificates to the Twins Pro Shop. Tonight's game: Baltimore -105, Minnesota -105. I'll post my selection shortly after game time. E-mail me your selections to start playing. If you win, you will get 100 points. If you lose, you will lose 105 points (because each team is identically weighted). I am currently at -110 points, and so is everyone else who has played. Remember, the winner could have negative points, so don't be afraid to enter. SBG|W|P|112180563091134026|W|P|Contest Reminder|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/19/2005 06:58:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Cheesehead Craig|W|P|Oh SBG, you're so sassy!7/19/2005 07:04:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I'm sass-say.7/19/2005 06:23:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|I was tapping away at my keyboard last night when I lost my Internet connection for some reason. So, instead of watching the game and blogging, Lucy and I watched a movie.
Here is the line for tonight's game. Baltimore -105, Minnesota -105. I have made a selection.
The bad news is that I picked Minnesota and lost, and now I'm at -110 points. The good news is, everyone else who picked also picked Minnesota and is at -110 points. If you enter the contest for the first time tonight, you are already ahead of me! Now it's time for our charts. A bunt single for J.C.! Woo hoo! That's working out pretty well!
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
21030001.182.143.325
The second half is starting a little slow.
Twins Second half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 to .500 teamsvs. .500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-00-01-4
That Wild Card race is tightening up. Look a new leader. Boston?? Where's the Yankees? Oh, they're on top of the AL East. Sigh.
Wild CardWLPctGB
Boston5041.543-
Baltimore5042.543-
Minnesota4942.5380.5
Texas4744.5162.5
Cleveland4845.5162.5
Oakland4745.5113.0
Toronto4547.4895
Detroit4447.4845.5
|W|P|112177251794375053|W|P|Outage|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/18/2005 06:59:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|It's game time. My pick tonight is Minnesota -110. Thanks to all who entered tonight. A word about "the line." I will publish the line as soon as it becomes available. I have a site that publishes a daily line. I will follow those odds. However, the odds for this game will not change from what I post. Otherwise, this contest would be pretty much unworkable for me.|W|P|112173161091266930|W|P|Game Time|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/18/2005 11:54:00 AM|W|P|SBG|W|P|It's easy. E-mail me your prediction on the Twins game tonight and start yourself on the way to a possible gift certificate for $20 or $10 at the Twins Pro Shop. For more details, check out the rules of the new contest.|W|P|112170604503464415|W|P|Go Ahead! Make a Prediction!|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/18/2005 05:02:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Where can I get the current lines?7/18/2005 05:15:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I will post the line here every night. Tonight it is Baltimore +100, Minnesota -110. I will discuss the lines again tonight, including how I select the line.7/17/2005 10:57:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|Seriously! Listen to me ramble endlessly on Cheer or Die's weekly podcast! Shane, CC, COD, and I sit down and discuss various topics! Other than my ramblings, it's quite interesting. I am quite jealous that COD is doing podcasting!|W|P|112165931116708778|W|P|Listen to ME!|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/17/2005 04:45:00 PM|W|P|SBG|W|P|One year ago today I started this website. I was studying for the bar exam -- I was completely stressed out and tired of going over all that material. I had been thinking about writing a blog for some time and played around with it a couple of years earlier. But it was July 17, 2004 that I started in earnest. I have learned a lot over the last year. Number one, writing every single day (or most days) is tough. This is my 367th posting, an average of more than one posting a day. I've learned that in order to gain readership, I have had to work hard. At any one time, I have five to ten ideas in my head that I want to write about. Unfortunately, I often come home late and don't have the time to write what I want. In that case, I try to write something that won't take a lot of time and still has a little value. Many times I have contemplated giving up this page. In fact, about a month ago, I told Shane and Mr. Cheer or Die that I might give it up. When I saw those guys last week, COD laughingly said, "Hey, SBG, I heard you saying that you were going to quit, and then I see you writing long and detailed posts." And so it goes. From day to day, I have vascillated between "I'm going to quit" and "I'm really inspired to write today." I think a lot of bloggers might feel this way. Another thing I have found is that unless I wrote something that I liked, I'd be so bored that I wouldn't survive. So, what I write on this page is something that I like. That's not to say that this page necessarily represents me or who I am (I do have some "shticks" that I like to employ), but it does provide a way for me to express myself. Still another thing that I enjoy about this site is that I have gone on the record about a lot of topics. Sometimes, I've said some stupid things (for example, I praised the Timberwolves at the time for signing Troy Hudson -- egads!), but generally, I'm pretty proud of my predictions. I'm also proud of some of my pet topics (yes, I'm a little opinionated) and I enjoy being a little bit of a gadfly. After one year, I can say this. My site is very humble. I'm not the best Twins blogger. I don't provide the best information or the best analysis. But, I've enjoyed writing it. I've enjoyed meeting the other people that do this and interacting with my readers. I hope you have enjoyed it, too. Thanks for reading. And now, introducing yet another BIG SBG CONTEST!!!!!!!! If you read Aaron Gleeman's blog (if you don't, what's wrong with you?), you will notice that at the end of his column, he usually predicts a couple of games every day and calculates how much money he would win or lose if he bet a $100 (approximately) on every game. As you know, I love predictions, and I've decided to co-opt his idea and turn it into my next contest. Here are the rules! 1. Each day, I will post the odds for the next day's Twins game. The odds are presented as a point amount. Suppose that the Twins are playing the Chicago White Sox. I will post two numbers. Chicago -120 Minnesota +110 How to read this. If you select Chicago and they win, you would get 100 points. If you select Chicago and they lose, you lose 120 points. If you select Minnesota and they win, you would get 110 points. If you select the Twins and they lose, you lose 100 points. 2. You can choose to select either team or decide not to select a game that day. To qualify for the contest, you must make a selection in a minimum of ten games between now and the end of the season. To make a selection, you must e-mail me before game time. Any e-mails sent after the start of the game will be disregarded. 3. The person who gets the most points between now and the end of the season will be awarded be the winner. The winner will get a $20 gift certificate to the Twins Pro Shop. If I win, this prize will NOT be awarded. 4. The person with the second most points will get second prize, and will get a $10 gift certificate to the Twins Pro Shop. Again, if I place second, this prize will NOT be awarded. 5. If I choose to make a selection, I will indicate that I have made a selection when I post the odds. I will not post my selections until the next day, because knowing my bets could skew the contest. I will always make my selection before anyone else selects and I will make a time stamped record of my selections. If anyone objects, remember, this is a contest that I am holding for your enjoyment. I WILL LOSE MONEY regardless of whether I win the contest. No one else will lose money. Trust me. I will be honest. 6. Please send me your name with your selections so that I can keep track of who has made an entry in each game. 7. Remember. This is not a wagering event. You are not risking any money. This contest is for entertainment purposes only. Any prizes are gifts. I am under no obligation to provide these gifts. There is no contractual relationship between me and anyone else. 8. I reserve the right to make modifications to the rules at any time, at my own discretion. If you have any questions, let me know. Thanks! I hope you enjoy the contest and I encourage you to participate.
Game #1 of the New Contest: Baltimore +100, Minnesota -110. SBG has made a selection.
Now it's time for our charts.
J.C. Twin
ABRH2B3BHRRBIOBPSLGOPS
16020001.176.125.301
Twins Second half Record
vs. sub .460 teamsvs. .460 to .500 teamsvs. .500 to .540 teamsvs. teams above .540
0-00-00-01-3
Wild CardWLPctGB
Minnesota4941.544
NY Yankees4941.544-
Baltimore4942.5380.5
Texas4743.5222
Oakland4744.5162.5
Cleveland4745.5113
Toronto4547.4895
Detroit4446.4895
A couple of Twins related notes. Item #1: On today's broadcast, the announcers noted that Joe Mauer had the day off. Then, they said that Ron Gardenhire had told them that he wants Mauer to be more vocal with the pitching staff (including during the games) and said that the Twins really miss Henry Blanco. Good God. Once again, the "players' manager" calls out his best young player. First of all, if you watch Twins broadcasts, you know that Bert Blyleven believes that a pitcher should be in charge of the pitcher/catcher relationship. It is the ultimately pitcher's responsibility to decide what to throw. Bert also said he didn't want the catcher to run out and talk to him. I'm not an expert, but I'll defer to Blyleven, who won 287 games in the majors. Secondly, Mauer is catching his first full season in the majors. If he is having problems, why does the manager insist on airing this dirty laundry in public? We miss Henry Blanco??? Are you fucking kidding me? Look, it's not like the Twins have a young pitching staff that needs a leader. They have a guy in Radke, who has 337 career starts. They have the reigning Cy Young award winner in Santana. They have a guy in Silva, who has 50 starts and whose ERA is 0.70 lower than last year when Blanco caught him. They have Mays, who has 136 career starts, and who is pitching a lot better than I think anyone could have expected. And they have Lohse, who has 130 starts and has an ERA over a full run lower than last year! In fact, the Twins ERA is 3.72, second best in the AL (behind only the 3.56 ERA of Chicago). I've never managed a major league team, but I'm pretty sure that the problem isn't the pitching staff or Mauer's handling of the staff. And yet, Gardenhire says Mauer needs to do a better job and that he misses the guy who hit .206/.260/.368/.628 last year. Oh, and this year, he's hitting .171/.188/.280/.469. Let's see. Mauer has demonstrated an ability to throw out runners, his pitching staff's ERA is 2nd in the league and is significantly lower than last year, and he's the second best hitting catcher in the AL. I'm continually amazed by Gardenhire. And when I say amazed, I don't mean, wow, is that guy brilliant. Item #2 Luis Rivas is sent down to the minors. It's about time. I mean, with JC Twin, there's at least a chance that he'll hit. With Rivas, there's no chance. I'll never understand why they gave that guy a contract this year. Never. But, hey, I'm sure I'm preaching to the choir. Item #3 Mike Cuddyer is reactivated from the DL but will likely not start at third base. Says Gardy, we're going to go with the best players, meaning that Nick Punto will play third. Gardy says that Cuddyer had a half season to prove himself. Let's go to the numbers.
PlayerSeasonSince May 1
AVEOBPSLGOPSAVEOBPSLGOPS
Cuddyer.259.336.384.719.283.363.428.791
Punto.254.321.382.703.258.312.367.678
It's well known that Cuddy got off to a slow start. And yes, he's been suspect defensively. But look, since May 1, each has about the same number of plate appearances. Cuddyer numbers are better across the board for the season and are dramatically better since May 1. But, Cuddy gets the bench. And Punto, with his puny .312 OBP (since May 1) is now leading off. Yes, I've never managed a major league team. I'm just saying. Item #4 The Twins dropped three of four to the Angels. If you've read this page at all, you would surmise that I'm not surprised. But, I am encouraged at how well the staff pitched. If the Twins could somehow start hitting, maybe they could get something going. If only we had a catcher who could handle a pitching staff. Item #5 Torii Hunter has not been as good this year as I thought. I had generally thought Torii was much better than last year. His numbers this year? .264/.335/.465/.800 How about last year? .271/.330/.475/.805. Those numbers are still good, but he's actually been pretty bad except for June. Throw out Torii's torrid June and he's hitting .239/.306/.382/.688. Perhaps and hopefully, Torii has another torrid streak or two in him. We'll see. It'd be nice if Torii would start that offense that they so desperately need as I mentioned Item #4 above.|W|P|112164759246400484|W|P|Happy Anniversary|W|P|sbg@stickandballguy.com7/17/2005 09:03:00 PM|W|P|Blogger frightwig|W|P|Good points on Mauer and Cuddyer/Punto.

I have no question in my mind that Cuddyer is a better hitter than Nick Punto. The only reasonable excuse for preferring Punto is if you're opting for a steadier glove. But what is the team's bigger problem, the glove at 3rd base or the bats in the lineup? If you're going to use a utilityman at 3rd base to compliment the light sticks you're playing in the middle infield, you deserve what you get.7/17/2005 09:35:00 PM|W|P|Blogger SBG|W|P|I agree. Cuddyer really struggled defensively. But, they need bats.

I mentioned that Hunter hasn't been all that great outside of June. I'm hoping that he'll get hot and that his hitting will be contagious. Despite my recent negativity, I'm still a fan and I'm really hoping Hunter will catch fire.7/17/2005 10:53:00 PM|W|P|Blogger Comedy Club|W|P|Yea, I heard Gardenhire on ESPN radio. He was asked what the difference might be between Johan's stellar second half and mediocre first half of this season, and he said, "Well, last season, he and Henry had a great rhythm and chemistry."

There you have it, Joe Mauer is why Johan isn't the Cy Young front runner. Rediculous!